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The field is set

Union’s win means that Western Michigan and Michigan State get the last two spots.

It’s all over except for the seeding.

See you later with our final predicted bracket.

It’s going to be a difficult one this year.

Two spots left, who gets them?

We’re almost done with the games here’s the combinations. The WCHA and Hockey East Championships only matter for seeding at this time, and Air Force has won. Northern Michigan has now been eliminated. That leaves Harvard, Western Michigan and Michigan State for the final two spots.

Harvard win, WMU win – Harvard and WMU in
Harvard win, WMU loss – Harvard and Michigan State in
Harvard loss, WMU win – WMU and Michigan State in
Harvard loss, WMU loss – WMU and Michigan State in

See you later tonight with final bracket predictions.

The bubble: Who to root for?

So you’re a fan of a team on the bubble, who do you root for?

The teams on the bubble at the moment are:

Cornell
Western Michigan
Michigan State
Northern Michigan
Merrimack

Who do you root for? Here are the simplest ways to root.

Cornell
No one but your own Big Red. A win or tie and the Big Red are in. A loss, the Big Red finish the season.

Western Michigan
A win by your team. That guarantees the autobid and doesn’t leave anything else to chance. If that doesn’t work and your team loses, then you’re rooting for Union. Why? Because then Harvard is knocked out and Western can finish no lower than 15th in the PairWise, thus guaranteeing an at-large bid.

Merrimack
Merrimack fans, you need RIT, Colgate and Union to win. If neither of these happens, Merrimack is eliminated. So you need to root for these three teams.

Michigan State and Northern Michigan
It’s really the same scenario for both teams. With only three spots left, you want to eliminate at least three teams from contention.

You know that a Cornell loss drops Cornell from contention. So you’re rooting for Colgate to beat Cornell.

An Air Force win eliminates Merrimack. Or a Cornell win. Or a Harvard win. Thus you’re rooting for Air Force and/or Cornell and/or Harvard. Of course, a Harvard win makes it a little more difficult for your teams. So maybe you want to root like below instead.

You know that a Union win eliminates Harvard. So you’re rooting for Union.

There are other combinations that get you in, but you have to wait and see.

Four more in, three spots left – What I Believe Friday Night Edition

After Friday night we can welcome four more teams into the tournament, and tell you that there are six teams battling for three spots in the NCAA Tournament.

The Locks (13)
13 teams are now in.

Boston College
Michigan
Minnesota-Duluth
Minnesota
Boston University
Ferris State
Miami
North Dakota
Union
Massachusetts-Lowell
Denver
Maine
RIT/Air Force

The Bubble (5)
Western Michigan
Northern Michigan
Michigan State
Merrimack
Cornell

Win And In (1)
Harvard

Let’s take a look at the simplest scenarios. There are three spots.

If Harvard and Western Michigan win and Cornell wins or ties, those are your three spots.

If Cornell wins or ties and Western Michigan win, they get two of the spots, Michigan State or Northern Michigan gets the other spot if Harvard does not win.

If Cornell loses, Cornell is eliminated.

If Cornell wins, Merrimack is eliminated.

Number One Seeds
Boston College and Michigan have locked up number one seeds. In fact, BC is locked into number one overall and Michigan into number two overall.

As for the remaining two spots, you have six teams that can still be number one seeds.

Union, Denver, Ferris State, Miami, North Dakota and Maine.

Union will gain a number one seed with a win, in fact, a win will lock Union into the number three overall seed in Bridgeport.

North Dakota also will gain a number one seed with a win, most likely in St. Paul.

Two gone, one in: What I Believe, Thursday night edition

Two games on Thursday and now I can update “What I Believe”.

The nitty gritty here is that Michigan Tech and St. Cloud are now eliminated from the NCAA tournament and North Dakota is in with at least an at-large bid.

And with the winner of the WCHA now looking like it will be in the top 16 of the PairWise, the cut line becomes 12. If you’re in the top 12 when it ends, you’re in.

What I Believe are the locks (9)
Boston College
Michigan
Minnesota-Duluth
Miami
Boston University
Ferris State
Minnesota
North Dakota
Atlantic Hockey Champion

I Believe this is the bubble
Union
Massachusetts-Lowell
Maine
Denver
Cornell
Michigan State
Northern Michigan
Western Michigan
Merrimack

I Know these teams have to win it to get in
Air Force
Niagara
RIT
Mercyhurst
Bowling Green
Colgate
Harvard
Providence

How?
Some people have asked how certain teams are still on the bubble and not in the tournament. Here’s a few examples for some teams; I am sure there are more.

Union
You would think that they would be in. Wrong. Two losses do not help Union at all.

Atlantic Hockey
Semifinal #2: Niagara defeats RIT
Semifinal #1: Mercyhurst defeats Air Force
Championship game: Niagara defeats Mercyhurst
CCHA
Semifinal #2: Western Michigan defeats Miami
Semifinal #1: Michigan defeats Bowling Green
Championship game: Western Michigan defeats Michigan
Consolation game: Miami defeats Bowling Green
ECAC
Semifinal #2: Cornell defeats Harvard
Semifinal #1: Colgate defeats Union
Championship game: Colgate defeats Cornell
Consolation game: Harvard defeats Union
Hockey East
Semifinal #2: Maine defeats Boston University
Semifinal #1: Providence defeats Boston College
Championship game: Providence defeats Maine
WCHA
Semifinal #2: Denver defeats Minnesota-Duluth
Semifinal #1: North Dakota defeats Minnesota
Championship game: Denver defeats North Dakota

Massachusetts-Lowell
You would also think the River Hawks are in. Wrong again. It doesn’t help that they are not playing anymore.

Atlantic Hockey
Semifinal #2: RIT defeats Niagara
Semifinal #1: Mercyhurst defeats Air Force
Championship game: RIT defeats Mercyhurst
CCHA
Semifinal #2: Western Michigan defeats Miami
Semifinal #1: Michigan defeats Bowling Green
Championship game: Western Michigan defeats Michigan
Consolation game: Miami defeats Bowling Green
ECAC
Semifinal #2: Cornell defeats Harvard
Semifinal #1: Colgate defeats Union
Championship game: Colgate defeats Cornell
Consolation game: Union defeats Harvard
Hockey East
Semifinal #2: Maine defeats Boston University
Semifinal #1: Providence defeats Boston College
Championship game: Providence defeats Maine
WCHA
Semifinal #2: Denver defeats Minnesota-Duluth
Semifinal #1: North Dakota defeats Minnesota
Championship game: Denver defeats North Dakota

Denver
Even with the win Thursday, Denver is still not there — yet.

Atlantic Hockey
Semifinal #2: Niagara defeats RIT
Semifinal #1: Mercyhurst defeats Air Force
Championship game: Niagara defeats Mercyhurst
CCHA
Semifinal #2: Miami defeats Western Michigan
Semifinal #1: Bowling Green defeats Michigan
Championship game: Bowling Green defeats Miami
Consolation game: Western Michigan defeats Michigan
ECAC
Semifinal #2: Harvard defeats Cornell
Semifinal #1: Colgate defeats Union
Championship game: Harvard defeats Colgate
Consolation game: Cornell defeats Union
Hockey East
Semifinal #2: Boston University defeats Maine
Semifinal #1: Providence defeats Boston College
Championship game: Providence defeats Boston University
WCHA
Semifinal #2: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Denver
Semifinal #1: Minnesota defeats North Dakota
Championship game: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Minnesota

Working things out before conference championship weekend

Welcome to the next installment of our Bracketology, and this is the last one until our final predictions for the bracket late Saturday night.

If you want to skip the inner workings and get to the results of the analysis, then click here.

Here are the facts:

• Sixteen teams are selected to participate in the national tournament.

• There are four regional sites (East — Bridgeport, Conn.; Northeast — Worcester, Mass.; Midwest — Green Bay, Wis.; West — St. Paul, Minn.)

• A host institution which is invited to the tournament plays in the regional for which it is the host, and cannot be moved. There are four host institutions this year: Yale in Bridgeport, Holy Cross in Worcester, Michigan Tech in Green Bay and Minnesota in St. Paul.

• Seedings will not be switched, as opposed to years past. To avoid undesirable first-round matchups, including intra-conference games (see below), teams will be moved among regionals, not reseeded.

Here are the NCAA’s guidelines on the matter, per a meeting of the championship committee:

In setting up the tournament, the committee begins with a list of priorities to ensure a successful tournament on all fronts including competitive equity, financial success and likelihood of playoff-type atmosphere at each regional site. For the model, the following is a basic set of priorities:

• The top four teams as ranked by the committee are the four No. 1 seeds and will be placed in the bracket so that if all four teams advance to the Men’s Frozen Four, the No. 1 seed will play the No. 4 seed and the No. 2 seed will play the No. 3 seed in the semifinals.

• Host institutions that qualify will be placed at home.

• No. 1 seeds are placed as close to home as possible in order of their ranking 1-4.

• Conference matchups in first round are avoided, unless five or more teams from one conference are selected, then the integrity of the bracket will be preserved.

• Once the five automatic qualifiers and 11 at-large teams are selected, the next step is to develop four groups from the committee’s ranking of 1-16. The top four teams are the No. 1 seeds. The next four are targeted as No. 2 seeds. The next four are No. 3 seeds and the last four are No. 4 seeds. These groupings will be referred to as “bands”.

Given these facts, here is the top 16 of the current PairWise Rankings (PWR), and the highest remaining seeds in their conference tournaments (through all games of March 13, 2012):

1 Boston College
2 Michigan
3 Minnesota-Duluth
4t Miami
4t Boston University
6t Union
6t Ferris State
8 Minnesota
9 Massachusetts-Lowell
10 Maine
11t North Dakota
11t Denver
13 Cornell
14t Michigan State
14t Western Michigan
16 Northern Michigan
28 Air Force

Here are the highest remaining seeds in their respective tournaments:

Atlantic Hockey: Air Force
CCHA: Michigan
ECAC Hockey: Union
Hockey East: Boston College
WCHA: Minnesota

Notes

• Bracketology assumes that the season has ended and there are no more games to be played. i.e., the NCAA tournament starts tomorrow.

• I will be using the top remaining seed in each conference tournament. This team is my assumed conference tournament champion and awarded the automatic bid.

Step one

From the committee’s report, choose the 16 teams in the tournament.

We break ties in the PWR by looking at how the teams rank in the Ratings Percentage Index, and add in any top remaining seeds that are not currently in the top 16. The only team that is not is Air Force.

From there, we can start looking at the ties and bubbles in a more detailed fashion.

The ties and bubbles consist of Miami and Boston University at 4, Union and Ferris State at 6, North Dakota and Denver at 11, and Michigan State and Western Michigan at 14.

We break all of our ties based upon the RPI.

Therefore the 16 teams in the tournament, in rank order, and adding in any conference leaders not already in the top 16, are:

1 Boston College
2 Michigan
3 Minnesota-Duluth
4 Miami
5 Boston University
6 Union
7 Ferris State
8 Minnesota
9 Massachusetts-Lowell
10 Maine
11 North Dakota
12 Denver
13 Cornell
14 Michigan State
15 Western Michigan
16 Air Force

Step two

Now it’s time to assign the seeds.

No. 1 seeds — Boston College, Michigan, Minnesota-Duluth, Miami
No. 2 seeds — Boston University, Union, Ferris State, Minnesota
No. 3 seeds — Massachusetts-Lowell, Maine, North Dakota, Denver
No. 4 seeds — Cornell, Michigan State, Western Michigan, Air Force

Step three

Place the No. 1 seeds in regionals.

No. 1 Boston College is placed in the Northeast Regional in Worcester.
No. 2 Michigan is placed in the Midwest Regional in Green Bay.
No. 3 Minnesota-Duluth is placed in the West Regional in St. Paul.
No. 4 Miami is placed in the East Regional in Bridgeport.

Step four

Now we place the other 12 teams so as to avoid intra-conference matchups if possible.

Begin by filling in each bracket by banding groups. Remember that teams are not assigned to the regional closest to their campus sites by ranking order within the banding (unless you are a host school, in which case you must be assigned to your home regional).

If this is the case, as it was last year, then the committee should seed so that the quarterfinals are seeded such that the four regional championships are played by No. 1 vs. No. 8, No. 2 vs. No. 7, No. 3 vs. No. 6 and No. 4 vs. No. 5.

We have to place Minnesota first as a host institution.

So therefore:

No. 2 seeds

No. 8 Minnesota is placed in No. 3 Minnesota-Duluth’s regional, the West Regional.
No. 7 Ferris State is placed in No. 1 Boston College’s regional, the Northeast Regional.
No. 6 Union is placed in No. 2 Michigan’s regional, the Midwest Regional.
No. 5 Boston University is placed in No. 4 Miami’s regional, the East Regional.

No. 3 seeds

Our bracketing system has one regional containing seeds 1, 8, 9, and 16, another with 2, 7, 10, 15, another with 3, 6, 11, 14 and another with 4, 5, 12 and 13.

No. 9 Massachusetts-Lowell is placed in No. 8 Minnesota’s regional, the West Regional.
No. 10 Maine is placed in No. 7 Ferris State’s regional, the Northeast Regional.
No. 11 North Dakota is placed in No. 6 Union’s regional, the Midwest Regional.
No. 12 Denver is placed in No. 5 Boston University’s regional, the East Regional.

No. 4 seeds

One more time, taking No. 16 vs. No. 1, No. 15 vs. No. 2, etc.

No. 16 Air Force is sent to No. 1 Boston College’s regional, the Northeast Regional.
No. 15 Western Michigan is sent to No. 2 Michigan’s regional, the Midwest Regional.
No. 14 Michigan State is sent to No. 3 Minnesota-Duluth’s regional, the West Regional.
No. 13 Cornell is sent to No. 4 Miami’s regional, the East Regional.

The brackets as we have set them up:

West Regional:
Michigan State vs. Minnesota-Duluth
Massachusetts-Lowell vs. Minnesota

Midwest Regional:
Western Michigan vs. Michigan
North Dakota vs. Union

Northeast Regional:
Air Force vs. Boston College
Maine vs. Ferris State

East Regional:
Cornell vs. Miami
Denver vs. Boston University

Our first concern is avoiding intra-conference matchups. We have Western Michigan vs. Michigan.

We can’t switch Western Michigan with anyone else but Air Force.

We now have:

West Regional:
Michigan State vs. Minnesota-Duluth
Massachusetts-Lowell vs. Minnesota

Midwest Regional:
Air Force vs. Michigan
North Dakota vs. Union

Northeast Regional:
Western Michigan vs. Boston College
Maine vs. Ferris State

East Regional:
Cornell vs. Miami
Denver vs. Boston University

I honestly like what I see here, but I think that I would like to make one more change: swapping Ferris State and Union.

West Regional:
Michigan State vs. Minnesota-Duluth
Massachusetts-Lowell vs. Minnesota

Midwest Regional:
Air Force vs. Michigan
North Dakota vs. Ferris State

Northeast Regional:
Western Michigan vs. Boston College
Maine vs. Union

East Regional:
Cornell vs. Miami
Denver vs. Boston University

I like that a lot better.

I am done. Pretty simple right now. One more weekend to go; let’s see what happens.

Here’s a summary of everything that we have covered.


This week’s brackets

St. Paul
14 Michigan State vs. 3 Minnesota-Duluth
9 Massachusetts-Lowell vs. 8 Minnesota

Green Bay
16 Air Force vs. 2 Michigan
11 North Dakota vs. 7 Ferris State

Bridgeport
13 Cornell vs. 4 Miami
12 Denver vs. 5 Boston University

Worcester
15 Western Michigan vs. 1 Boston College
10 Maine vs. 6 Union

Conference breakdowns

CCHA — 5
HEA — 4
WCHA — 4
ECAC — 2
AHA — 1

On the move

In: Western Michigan
Out: Merrimack

Attendance woes?

I like it!

Last week’s brackets

St. Paul
15 Merrimack vs. 4 Minnesota-Duluth
9 Miami vs. 7 Minnesota

Green Bay
13 North Dakota vs. 2 Michigan
11 Denver vs. 5 Ferris State

Bridgeport
14 Cornell vs. 3 Massachusetts-Lowell
12 Michigan State vs. 6 Boston University

Worcester
16 Air Force vs. 1 Boston College
10 Maine vs. 8 Union

What I Believe

Let’s play “What I Believe” again.

Before we play, I need to put out a disclaimer. There are a lot of scenarios out there and I don’t have an algorithm, or computer program to look at it (though someone should write one for me), so “What I Believe” is only what I have taken a look at thus far. I can be proven wrong, and have been known to have been.

If you find a scenario that disproves “What I Believe”, please post it or email me.

So here we go, here’s “What I Believe”

I Believe that there are eight spots already taken.

What I Believe are the Locks (8)
These teams are in the tournament regardless of what happens. I have yet to find a way for these teams to not get an at-large bid. Some can drop as low as a four seed, but, they are in.

Boston College
Michigan
Minnesota-Duluth
Miami
Boston University
Ferris State
Minnesota
Atlantic Hockey Champion

I Believe This Is The Bubble
These are teams that may or may not receive at at-large bid. They need results to fall their way if they don’t win their conference tournaments, or are already eliminated from their conference tournaments and are waiting to see if they get an at-large bid. These teams can get anywhere from four to eight remaining at-large bids.

Union
Massachusetts-Lowell
Maine
North Dakota
Denver
Cornell
Michigan State
Northern Michigan
Western Michigan
Merrimack

I Know These Teams Have To Win It To Get In It
The headline says it all. These teams have to win their tournaments to get into the NCAA Tournament.

Air Force
Niagara
RIT
Mercyhurst
Bowling Green
Colgate
Harvard
Providence
Michigan Tech
St. Cloud

So there you have it, the first edition of “What I Believe” this week.

CCHA: Minimum/maximum

So, play with the PairWise Predictor, and see what fun you can have.

For example, the CCHA can have a minimum of three teams in the tournament, but what is the maximum? I have not been able to find a way to get seven CCHA teams into the tournament. Six, yes, but seven? Not yet. Can you find it?

Let me know in the comments.

PairWise Predictor 2012 is live: share your scenarios

Screen Shot 2012 03 12 at 12.12.11 AM 300x273 PairWise Predictor 2012 is live: share your scenariosWith the final four teams set in each conference — or six, in the case of the WCHA — USCHO.com’s PairWise Predictor is now live.

We’d like to see your scenarios. Can you come up with some strange combinations that put your favorite team in, or your hated nemesis out? How high or low can you move a team in various permutations of projected PairWise possibilities? Can you get a current No. 18 in? Can you keep a No. 12 out of the NCAAs?

Let us know in the comments below. Our expert bracketologist Jayson Moy will share the best, weirdest and most and least likely in his upcoming bracketology brainstorms.

Check it out. USCHO’s PairWise Predictor is live for one week only at http://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwise-predictor/.

Shuffling No. 3 seeds to keep them in their region

Welcome to the next installment of our Bracketology, and we’ll keep bringing you a new one every week until we make our final picks before the field is announced.

If you want to skip the inner workings and get to the results of the analysis, then click here.

Here are the facts:

• Sixteen teams are selected to participate in the national tournament.

• There are four regional sites (East — Bridgeport, Conn.; Northeast — Worcester, Mass.; Midwest — Green Bay, Wis.; West — St. Paul, Minn.)

• A host institution which is invited to the tournament plays in the regional for which it is the host, and cannot be moved. There are four host institutions this year: Yale in Bridgeport, Holy Cross in Worcester, Michigan Tech in Green Bay and Minnesota in St. Paul.

• Seedings will not be switched, as opposed to years past. To avoid undesirable first-round matchups, including intra-conference games (see below), teams will be moved among regionals, not reseeded.

Here are the NCAA’s guidelines on the matter, per a meeting of the championship committee:

In setting up the tournament, the committee begins with a list of priorities to ensure a successful tournament on all fronts including competitive equity, financial success and likelihood of playoff-type atmosphere at each regional site. For the model, the following is a basic set of priorities:

• The top four teams as ranked by the committee are the four No. 1 seeds and will be placed in the bracket so that if all four teams advance to the Men’s Frozen Four, the No. 1 seed will play the No. 4 seed and the No. 2 seed will play the No. 3 seed in the semifinals.

• Host institutions that qualify will be placed at home.

• No. 1 seeds are placed as close to home as possible in order of their ranking 1-4.

• Conference matchups in first round are avoided, unless five or more teams from one conference are selected, then the integrity of the bracket will be preserved.

• Once the five automatic qualifiers and 11 at-large teams are selected, the next step is to develop four groups from the committee’s ranking of 1-16. The top four teams are the No. 1 seeds. The next four are targeted as No. 2 seeds. The next four are No. 3 seeds and the last four are No. 4 seeds. These groupings will be referred to as “bands”.

Given these facts, here is the top 16 of the current PairWise Rankings (PWR), and the No. 1 seeds in their conference tournaments (through all games of March 6, 2012):

1 Boston College
2t Michigan
2t Massachusetts-Lowell
2t Minnesota-Duuth
5 Ferris State
6t Boston University
6t Minnesota
8 Union
9t Miami
9t Maine
11 Denver
12 Michigan State
13 North Dakota
14t Cornell
14t Merrimack
16 Northern Michigan
29t Air Force

Here are the current No. 1 seeds in their respective tournaments:

Atlantic Hockey: Air Force
CCHA: Ferris State
ECAC Hockey: Union
Hockey East: Boston College
WCHA: Minnesota

Notes

• Bracketology assumes that the season has ended and there are no more games to be played. i.e., the NCAA tournament starts tomorrow.

• I will be using the No. 1 seed in each conference tournament. This team is my assumed conference tournament champion and is awarded the automatic bid.

Step one

From the committee’s report, choose the 16 teams in the tournament.

We break ties in the PWR by looking at how the teams rank in the Ratings Percentage Index, and add in any No. 1 seeds that are not currently in the top 16. The only team that is not is Air Force.

From there, we can start looking at the ties and bubbles in a more detailed fashion.

The ties and bubbles consist of Michigan, Massachusetts-Lowell and Minnesota-Duluth at 2, Boston University and Minnesota at 6, Miami and Maine at 9, and Cornell and Merrimack at 14.

We break all of our ties based upon the RPI.

Therefore the 16 teams in the tournament, in rank order, and adding in any conference leaders not already in the Top 16, are:

1 Boston College
2 Michigan
3 Massachusetts-Lowell
4 Minnesota-Duluth
5 Ferris State
6 Boston University
7 Minnesota
8 Union
9 Miami
10 Maine
11 Denver
12 Michigan State
13 North Dakota
14 Cornell
15 Merrimack
16 Air Force

Step two

Now it’s time to assign the seeds.

No. 1 seeds — Boston College, Michigan, Massachusetts-Lowell, Minnesota-Duluth
No. 2 seeds — Ferris State, Boston University, Minnesota, Union
No. 3 seeds — Miami, Maine, Denver, Michigan State
No. 4 seeds — North Dakota, Cornell, Merrimack, Air Force

Step three

Place the No. 1 seeds in regionals.

No. 1 Boston College is placed in the Northeast Regional in Worcester.
No. 2 Michigan is placed in the Midwest Regional in Green Bay.
No. 3 Massachusetts-Lowell is placed in the East Regional in Bridgeport.
No. 4 Minnesota-Duluth is placed in the West Regional in St. Paul.

Step four

Now we place the other 12 teams so as to avoid intra-conference matchups if possible.

Begin by filling in each bracket by banding groups. Remember that teams are not assigned to the regional closest to their campus sites by ranking order within the banding (unless you are a host school, in which case you must be assigned to your home regional).

If this is the case, as it was last year, then the committee should seed so that the quarterfinals are seeded such that the four regional championships are played by No. 1 vs. No. 8, No. 2 vs. No. 7, No. 3 vs. No. 6 and No. 4 vs. No. 5.

We have to place Minnesota first as a host institution.

So therefore:

No. 2 seeds

No. 7 Minnesota is placed in No. 4 Minnesota-Duluth’s regional, the West Regional.
No. 8 Union is placed in No. 1 Boston College’s regional, the Northeast Regional.
No. 6 Boston University is placed in No. 2 Michigan’s regional, the Midwest Regional.
No. 5 Ferris State is placed in No. 3 Massachusetts-Lowell’s regional, the East Regional.

No. 3 seeds

Our bracketing system has one regional containing seeds 1, 8, 9, and 16, another with 2, 7, 10, 15, another with 3, 6, 11, 14 and another with 4, 5, 12 and 13.

No. 9 Miami is placed in No. 8 Union’s regional, the Northeast Regional.
No. 10 Maine is placed in No. 7 Minnesota’s regional, the West Regional.
No. 11 Denver is placed in No. 6 Boston University’s regional, the Midwest Regional.
No. 12 Michigan State is placed in No. 5 Ferris State’s regional, the East Regional.

No. 4 seeds

One more time, taking No. 16 vs. No. 1, No. 15 vs. No. 2, etc.

No. 16 Air Force is sent to No. 1 Boston College’s regional, the Northeast Regional.
No. 15 Merrimack is sent to No. 2 Michigan’s regional, the Midwest Regional.
No. 14 Cornell is sent to No. 3 Massachusetts-Lowell’s regional, the East Regional.
No. 13 North Dakota is sent to No. 4 Minnesota-Duluth’s regional, the West Regional.

The brackets as we have set them up:

West Regional:
North Dakota vs. Minnesota-Duluth
Maine vs. Minnesota

Midwest Regional:
Merrimack vs. Michigan
Denver vs. Boston University

Northeast Regional:
Air Force vs. Boston College
Miami vs. Union

East Regional:
Cornell vs. Massachusetts-Lowell
Michigan State vs. Ferris State

Our first concern is avoiding intra-conference matchups. We have North Dakota vs. Minnesota-Duluth and also Michigan State vs. Ferris State.

Let’s take care of our WCHA-WCHA matchup first.

So let’s swap North Dakota with Merrimack.

Now, we take care of Michigan State vs. Ferris State. Usually we will swap the lower seeds. But in this case, why can’t we bring Boston University back out east and Ferris State out west? Makes sense to me. So let’s swap BU with Ferris State.

We now have:

West Regional:
Merrimack vs. Minnesota-Duluth
Maine vs. Minnesota

Midwest Regional:
North Dakota vs. Michigan
Denver vs. Ferris State

Northeast Regional:
Air Force vs. Boston College
Miami vs. Union

East Regional:
Cornell vs. Massachusetts-Lowell
Michigan State vs. Boston University

I honestly like what I see here, but I think that I would like to make one more change: swapping Miami and Maine. They’re tied at 9 in the PairWise, so it’s not a big stretch to make.

West Regional:
Merrimack vs. Minnesota-Duluth
Miami vs. Minnesota

Midwest Regional:
North Dakota vs. Michigan
Denver vs. Ferris State

Northeast Regional:
Air Force vs. Boston College
Maine vs. Union

East Regional:
Cornell vs. Massachusetts-Lowell
Michigan State vs. Boston University

I like that a lot better.

I am done.

See you here next week for the next Bracketology.

Here’s a summary of everything that we have covered.


This week’s brackets

St. Paul
15 Merrimack vs. 4 Minnesota-Duluth
9 Miami vs. 7 Minnesota

Green Bay
13 North Dakota vs. 2 Michigan
11 Denver vs. 5 Ferris State

Bridgeport
14 Cornell vs. 3 Massachusetts-Lowell
12 Michigan State vs. 6 Boston University

Worcester
16 Air Force vs. 1 Boston College
10 Maine vs. 8 Union

Conference breakdowns

HEA — 5
CCHA — 4
WCHA — 4
ECAC — 2
AHA — 1

On the move

In: Cornell
Out: Northern Michigan

Attendance woes?

I like it!

Last week’s brackets

St. Paul
16 Air Force vs. 1 Minnesota-Duluth
11 Michigan State vs. 7 Minnesota

Green Bay
14 North Dakota vs. 3 Michigan
10 Maine vs. 8 Miami

Bridgeport
15 Merrimack vs. 4 Ferris State
12 Northern Michigan vs. 5 Boston University

Worcester
13 Denver vs. 2 Boston College
9 Union vs. 6 Massachusetts-Lowell

Tidbits

See you in the Fall: Here are the teams that have concluded their seasons, the 13 teams eliminated from the NCAA tournament.

AHA: American International, Army, Canisius, Sacred Heart
CCHA: Alaska, Ohio State
Independent: Alabama-Huntsville
ECAC: Brown, Clarkson, Princeton, St. Lawrence
Hockey East: Northeastern, Vermont

Northern Michigan: Northern Michigan is sitting, hoping and waiting. Losing in the first round of the CCHA tournament has the Wildcats rooting for certain teams to falter. Basically, if you’re hoping that the Wildcats get in, you’re looking for everyone below you to lose, and some teams ahead of you to lose, too. In this case, if you’re a Wildcats fan, you are rooting hard for Maine to beat Merrimack, Dartmouth to beat Cornell, Bemidji State to beat North Dakota and Miami to sweep Michigan State.

A lot of teams to root for this weekend, Wildcats fans.

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