NCHC picks: Oct. 24

Last week, I pulled ahead of Matthew by one game thanks to UNO’s sweep of Western Michigan. I went 7-3 (.700), while Matthew went 6-4 (.600). On the year, I am 16-8 (.667), while Matthew is 15-9 (.625).

On to this week’s games!

Friday-Saturday, Oct. 24-25

No. 11 Denver at No. 19 Minnesota-Duluth
Candace: The Bulldogs haven’t looked good at home, but this is Denver’s first road trip, and I’m not sure they can sweep. However, I hate picking Duluth’s winning order. Denver 3-2, Minnesota-Duluth 3-2
Matthew: Even though the Pioneers have a long road trip to make to face Duluth, the way DU played against Rensselaer leaves me thinking the Pios should expect to get at least a split from this series. That’s the way I’m thinking it’ll go, but it’s tough to predict who will win when. Minnesota-Duluth 3-1, Denver 2-0

Colorado College at Boston College (Friday) and New Hampshire (Saturday)
Candace: Colorado College showed it has a ways to go after the loss to North Dakota, though the Tigers might play New Hampshire tightly. Boston College 6-2, New Hampshire 3-1
Matthew: I fear this could be a really rough weekend for the Tigers. BC’s a better team than CC, and UNH has opened the season 1-2-0 but the losses were at Union and at Michigan, and both of those teams gave the Wildcats more problems than UNH will have against CC in Durham. Boston College 4-1, New Hampshire 3-1

St. Lawrence at No. 10 Miami
Candace: Miami looked really good last week against its in-state rival. The RedHawks just need to avoid a letdown. St. Lawrence is probably better than people think, if we can go by last weekend. Miami 2-1, 3-1
Matthew: The RedHawks have gotten off to a pretty solid start to the season, and I think that’ll continue this weekend in Oxford. If Miami can keep up the offensive output that it had last weekend in its home-and-home with Ohio State, St. Lawrence might really struggle to keep the RedHawks from rolling. Miami 4-1, 3-0

No. 5 Providence at No. 3 North Dakota
Candace: A marquee series on the weekend. I’m not convinced Providence is as good as its ranking, so I’ll be an NCHC homer. North Dakota 3-2, 4-2
Matthew: The goaltending battle between Providence’s Jon Gillies and UND’s Zane McIntyre is the main focal point with this series, but both of these teams have top-end weapons that can wreak havoc all over the ice. This is going to be a really entertaining series that to me has split written all over it. Providence 3-2, North Dakota 3-1

No. 9 St. Cloud State at No. 2 Union
Candace: The other marquee set on the weekend. Pick against Union at your peril, though the defending NCAA champs haven’t faced a team of St. Cloud’s caliber. What will the off week do to St. Cloud? Union 2-1, St. Cloud State 3-2
Matthew: It’s almost too bad that UND-Providence is getting so much attention this week, because this series between the Huskies and Dutchmen is bringing together another pair of top-10 teams. I like Union to do well on home ice, but I have a sneaking suspicion that SCSU will take one of these games. St. Cloud State 3-2, Union 2-1

No. 16 Alaska at Western Michigan
Candace: Western has gotten off to a poor start, but this is the Nanooks’ first trip outside Alaska. I think the Broncos will challenge in one, but they’ve also struggled to score, and the Nanooks have been putting up goals in bunches. Alaska 4-2, 3-2
Matthew: After getting swept at home by Nebraska-Omaha, Western could be bringing in an easier opponent this weekend than the Nanooks. Alaska’s gotten off to a very good start to the season, but I’m curious to see what they’ll be able to do on a very long road trip to Kalamazoo. Alaska 3-2, Western Michigan 3-1

Three things: Oct. 19

Denver’s goaltending looks fine    
Coming into this season, the big question surrounding the Denver Pioneers, last year’s NCHC tournament champs, was how they would do without their starting goaltender, Sam Brittain, who played the lion’s share of games for Denver last season and kept them in many tight games with spectacular saves.

The Pioneers have only played two games, but Denver looks fine in the goaltending department.

Evan Cowley, a sophomore who saw very limited action in his first season, started Friday’s game against Rensselaer and earned a shutout, stopping 26 shots, including 11 in the third period when Rensselaer pressed to get back into the game.

Denver coach Jim Montgomery was pleased with Cowley’s play, saying, “He had to make five to seven key saves, and they were at big moments of the game. He never gave them momentum. He was square to pucks, he was solid, and he played really confidently.”

The next night, Denver started freshman Tanner Jaillet, who only played for two minutes before he was knocked from the game with an injury. Jaillet did make two stops, the only shots RPI had in the first period. Cowley stepped in, and once again shutdown the Engineers, making 14 saves.

Rensselaer finally ended Cowley’s bid for back-to-back shutouts with 35 seconds left in the game when Chris Bradley scored on a power play. Cowley has a .976 save percentage and a .51 goals-against average after two games.

No word yet on Jaillet’s health, but Montgomery did indicate in preseason that he planned to platoon the two netminders at the start of the year and see who plays better in the fire of the NCHC season.

Denver opens NCHC play next weekend, traveling to Duluth to take on the Bulldogs.

North Dakota finds its offense
Coming into this season, the question mark surrounding North Dakota was offense, as the top scorer from last year’s team, Rocco Grimaldi, left after his junior year to play professional hockey.

The question mark seemed even larger after the first weekend of play, as North Dakota was humiliated at home against Bemidji State, losing 5-1. While UND took the second game in Bemidji, it only mustered two goals in winning.

This weekend, North Dakota was in Colorado Springs to face Colorado College. On Friday night, UND once again won a close defensive battle, emerging with a 3-1 win on three first-period goals, two of which were scored by Mark MacMillan during special teams action, one a power play and one while skating four-on-four.

On Saturday, North Dakota erupted for seven goals. MacMillan again got UND started on special teams, this time getting the first goal on a short-handed strike. MacMillan then assisted on the second goal, a power-play goal by Paul LaDue.

Two more power-play goals followed in the period, one by Tucker Poolman and one by Jordan Schmaltz. Jordan’s goal was assisted by his brother, Nick, who also assisted on Poolman’s goal.

In the third period, North Dakota got another power-play goal from LaDue, another power-play goal from MacMillan, and an empty-net short-handed goal from MacMillan to round out its scoring.

MacMillan, a senior, leads the team in scoring with five goals and two assists. LaDue, a sophomore, is second with six points. Nick Schmaltz has started his freshman season off well, notching four points so far.

MacMillan’s classmates have also been putting points on the board, including Michael Parks, Brendan O’Donnell, and Connor Gaarder.

UND will host Providence for a pair next weekend.

Miami can win with offense or defense
Miami played a home-and-home this weekend with its in-state rival, Ohio State, and swept both games. Playing on the road in Columbus Friday, the RedHawks erupted for five goals, getting strikes from some of its big guns, including Riley Barber (one goal, one assist), Blake Coleman (one goal), and Sean Kuraly (one goal, two assists).

Three of the goals were power-play strikes, something that probably pleased Miami coach Enrico Blasi, who indicated that he hadn’t been happy with his team’s power play in its opening two games against Bowling Green.

On Saturday, Miami hosted and emerged with a hard-found 2-1 win. After falling behind in the first period, Louie Belpedio, a freshman defenseman who may end up with back-to-back NCHC rookie of the week honors after his play this weekend, got the tying goal, and Alex Wideman scored the game-winner. Belpedio got an assist on Miami’s third goal Friday.

Goalie Jay Williams, who took over for Ryan McKay after McKay was knocked out of the Bowling Green game last Saturday after six minutes of play, got the nod in both Ohio State games, making 26 saves in the first game and 19 in the second.

Miami hosts St. Lawrence for a pair next weekend, and opens NCHC play against Minnesota-Duluth on Halloween weekend.

NCHC Weekend picks: Oct. 17

Well, after Matthew took a big lead from the games on Friday, I rallied, and thanks to Minnesota-Duluth’s win on Sunday over Notre Dame, Matthew and I both went 9-5 (.555) in our opening week.

Every team but St. Cloud is in action this week. Let’s see how we can do.

Friday-Saturday, Oct. 17-18

No. 3 North Dakota at Colorado College
Candace: I’m tempted to pick CC in one of these games, but I’m not sure if a sweep against Alabama-Huntsville is something that indicated the Tigers have turned a corner, even if North Dakota seems destined to get off to a slow start again. North Dakota 3-1, 3-2
Matthew: UND is notorious for starting seasons slowly, and did again last Friday in losing 5-1 at home against Bemidji State, but I think UND has enough going for it against a CC team that struggled at home last weekend against Alabama-Huntsville. North Dakota 4-2, 3-1

Nebraska-Omaha at Western Michigan
Candace: UNO did a little better than I expected last weekend, and Western Michigan did a little worse, all of which means I have zero idea how this series will play out. I’ll pick a sweep and hope I get one right. Nebraska-Omaha 3-1, 3-2
Matthew: Neither of these teams really blew me away last weekend, and this looks on paper like a pretty even matchup. To me, this series has split all over it. Western Michigan 3-1, Nebraska-Omaha 3-2

Rensselaer at No. 16 Denver
Candace: It’s hard to know if RPI’s win over Notre Dame was one of those instances where the opponent was overrated, or if RPI is better than people think it is. Will Denver be able to score on Jason Kasdorf, who played so well for the Engineers in South Bend? I think just enough. Denver 2-1, 3-2
Matthew: After putting up a better-than-expected showing last weekend at the IceBreaker in South Bend, I’m a little surprised RPI didn’t get more love in our national poll this week. After they visit the Pioneers, though, I think the Engineers will come down to Earth a little bit. Denver 3-2, 3-2

No. 20 Minnesota-Duluth vs. No. 12 Minnesota State (home-and-home)
Candace: Minnesota-Duluth had a great weekend last week, while the Mavericks really only played well in one period against UNO. If both games were in Duluth, I’d go with a Bulldogs sweep, but I think Minnesota State does well on home ice. Minnesota-Duluth 2-1, Minnesota State 3-1
Matthew: I really liked what I saw from UMD last weekend at the IceBreaker, and I think there’s a good chance they could sweep MSU this weekend. I’m not positive that the Bulldogs will do the business in Mankato, though, so I’m going to take the safe option. Minnesota-Duluth 4-2, Minnesota State 3-1

No. 11 Miami vs. Ohio State (home-and-home)
Candace: This series should be one of the best of the weekend, and a split seems likely. I’ll take the home squad in each. Ohio State 2-1, Miami 3-2
Matthew: The Buckeyes fared very well last weekend — albeit at home — against a very good Providence team, and I’m starting to wonder if this will be a tougher test for Miami than I first thought it’d be. Ohio State 3-1, Miami 2-1

NCHC experiences topsy-turvy opening weekend

Anyone expected NCHC teams to come flying off the blocks this last weekend and tear into its nonconference opposition will have come away at least a little disappointed.

Unless he or she only paid attention on Saturday and Sunday. Better times were had then.

Seven of the league’s eight affiliate teams opened their 2014-15 regular season slates on Friday, and five of them fell. Colorado College and Nebraska-Omaha won their first counters of the season against Alabama-Huntsville and Minnesota State, respectively, but a quintet of NCHC schools weren’t as fortunate.

North Dakota and St. Cloud State lost at home on Friday to Bemidji State and Colgate, respectively. Miami lost 3-2 on the road against intrastate rival Bowling Green, Western Michigan lost 4-2 at Canisius, and Minnesota-Duluth was edged out by Minnesota 4-3 at the IceBreaker Tournament in South Bend, Ind.

The NCHC’s teams that played last weekend – Denver was the only one that didn’t – fared much better Saturday and Sunday. It started on Saturday night, where the league went 4-1 against several of its counterparts, and only UNO fell in its rematch with Division I college hockey’s other set of Mavericks.

Sunday went even better, with Miami besting BGSU 3-2 in the second leg of a home-and-home series while UMD blanked Notre Dame 3-0 in the third-place game of the IceBreaker.

No NCHC team stood out

I predicted on Friday that we would have a fair few splits to talk about once the weekend finished, but I also expected the teams who were projected to be the cream of the conference this season would look like it right away.

The first bit happened. The second one, not so much.

With respect to BGSU and Bemidji, I thought that UND and Miami had enough in their respective arsenals to pick up sweeps in their home-and-homes against a pair of WCHA teams that aren’t expected to make huge waves this season. In the end, though, I was proved somewhat wrong.

In UND’s series with nearby rival Bemidji, the home team never won. UND looked thoroughly out of sorts against the Beavers during a 5-1 loss at home on Friday, but BSU couldn’t repeat the trick the following night as it lost 2-1 in Minnesota.

Where Miami is concerned, I was looking for the RedHawks to carry some of their momentum from the second half of last season over into the start of this one. An in-state rivalry series against a fellow former CCHA member, I thought, would only get Miami up further.

Instead, the Falcons came away winners at home on opening night, albeit by only a 3-2 margin. Miami turned the tables on Sunday, though, in defeating BGSU by that same scoreline in the friendlier confines of Oxford, Ohio.

In-league action starts next week

Next weekend sees the start of intra-league action among NCHC teams, with North Dakota visiting Colorado College while Nebraska-Omaha makes the trek up to Western Michigan.

Both two-game sets are intriguing in their own ways. UND will try to make its perceived class show against a CC club that has started reasonably well under first-year head coach Mike Haviland, and UNO and Western will battle in a clash between two teams that will likely be fighting for a home-ice spot come the first round of the playoffs.

Elsewhere, Miami and UMD will take part in home-and-homes against in-state competition in the forms of Ohio State and Minnesota State, respectively, while Denver welcomes to the Colorado capital an RPI team that just finished second in the IceBreaker tournament.

NCHC pick: Oct. 12

There’s one game involving an NCHC team this Sunday in the Icebreaker tournament.

Sunday, Oct. 12

Minnesota-Duluth vs Notre Dame
Candace: Minnesota-Duluth gave top-ranked Minnesota all it could handle in the first game of the tournament. Maybe playing their home state rival previously will lift the Bulldogs. Minnesota-Duluth 3-2
Matthew: I really didn’t see Rensselear beating Notre Dame in South Bend, and it’s not great news for UMD that that’s what happened. Fighting Irish coach Jeff Jackson said after his team’s game with RPI on Friday that this season will be a work in progress, which could be designed to tone down expectations, but I think they’ll enough progress against the Bulldogs to win. Notre Dame 4-2

NCHC picks: Oct. 10

OK NCHC fans, we’re ready for the kickoff of season two, and that means your USCHO columnists, myself and Matthew Semisch, will once again engage in our season-long picks race. On the line is a friendly wager for a six-pack of craft brew. I won last year, beating Matthew by five games.

The rules: you have to pick the winner on the correct night, no picking a split and getting it right because it happens on different nights. First game listed in the pick is the first game of the series. Shootout wins are ties. Wins count as a point, ties as a half point.

All teams are in action this weekend, so let’s get to it!

Friday, Oct. 10

Minnesota vs. Minnesota-Duluth
Candace: I think this will be a close game, but Minnesota looks strong this year, and since UMD is going with a new goalie is trying to replace its top scorer, I’ll go with the Gophers. Minnesota 4-2
Matthew: I have a reasonably good feeling about UMD for this season, but I think they’ll run into issues against the Gophers. Minnesota 3-1

Friday-Saturday, Oct. 10-11

Miami vs Bowling Green home-and-home (at BG Friday, at Miami Sunday)
Candace: I like to think Miami might carry some momentum from its second half surge last year. Miami 3-2, 4-1
Matthew: Bowling Green should be a top-half team in the WCHA this season, but with Miami as keen on showing that the last regular season was a fluke, I expect the RedHawks to come out in this series with all guns blazing. Miami 5-2, 4-1

Western Michigan at Canisius
Candace: Western Michigan got off to a slow start last year, and lost a few key players. However, while I don’t underestimate Atlantic Hockey teams, I think the Broncos should sweep. Western Michigan 2-1, 3-1
Matthew: This is something of a housewarming series for Canisius with its new home rink, and the Golden Griffins will be hungry to send the Broncos home empty-handed. Western will likely be the better team, but they’ve both lost key pieces from last season and it’s tough to predict just how different the two teams are now, so I’m taking the safe option and going with a split. Canisius 3-2, Western Michigan 4-1

Alabama-Huntsville at Colorado College
Candace: A series between two squads that really struggled offensively last year. I like the Tigers in the first series under Mike Haviland. Colorado College 3-2, 3-1
Matthew: It can’t get a lot worse for Alabama-Huntsville than last season’s 2-35-1 effort was, and the Chargers will be better this time around. CC has a lot of questions of its own to answer, but I think the Haviland era will officially open this weekend with a couple of wins at home. Colorado College 4-2, 4-2

Colgate at St. Cloud State
Candace: This is a barn-burner of a series. Colgate is expected to win the ECAC, and St. Cloud to content the first night. This will probably be a split, but I’ll be a conference homer since I’m not sure which night a team will win. St. Cloud 3-2, 4-2
Matthew: Colgate is a lot of people’s favorite to win the ECAC this season, and I’m curious to see how they’ll fare this weekend in St. Cloud. I think they’ll win one of the two games in this series, but who knows which one that will be? Colgate 3-1, St. Cloud State 5-2

North Dakota vs Bemidji State home-and-home (at UND Friday, at BSU Saturday)
Candace: North Dakota has started slowly in the Hakstol era, and is missing its top scorer from last season, but I like UND to get it done. North Dakota 3-2, 4-1
Matthew: UND looked good in the final 40 minutes of its preseason exhibition on Sunday, and although UND tends to start seasons slow, I think they’ll pick up a sweep here. North Dakota 3-0, 3-2

Minnesota State at Nebraska Omaha
Candace: While Nebraska-Omaha has a strong freshmen group, I think it might take a while for them to get used to the collegiate level, and UNO lost four of its top six scorers from last season. Minnesota State 3-1, 3-2
Matthew: UNO got worked 4-0 at home on Monday by the Northern Alberta Institute of Technology, and a big improvement is going to be needed if the red Mavericks are to do well against the purple Mavericks of MSU this weekend. This is such a young UNO team this season that I don’t know if they’ll be able to pick up more than one win against MSU at home. Minnesota State 3-1, Nebraska-Omaha 2-1

NCHC picks: March 22

Well, Matthew and I went 0-2 in our first round picks. Let’s see if we can do better for the consolation and championship games.

North Dakota vs. Western Michigan
Candace: Western Michigan coach Andy Murray made a big deal about playing for a 20-win season and sending his seniors out with a big during the press conference yesterday, but North Dakota is playing for a shot at a 12th straight NCAA tournament appearance, and has demonstrated resiliency and an ability to bounce back from bad losses. North Dakota 3-1
Matthew: For as good as North Dakota had been really ever since right after Thanksgiving, UND really needs to win this third-place game to solidify its chances of nabbing an at-large berth in the NCAA tournament. It’s not going to be easy, and their getting shut out by Miami Friday makes me that little bit less confident in picking UND, but I think they’ll pull it out. North Dakota 2-1

Denver vs. Miami
Candace: These two battled in the last weekend of the regular season and split in Denver, with the Pioneers winning the first game and Miami dominating the second. This game comes down to how the best NCHC goaltender of the year, Sam Brittain, holds up against the trio of Blake Coleman, Austin Czarnik, and Riley Barber. The RedHawks have been hot, and I think they take this. Miami 3-1
Matthew: It almost seems absurd to think that anyone could’ve predicted back in October that, once we got to the NCHC playoff championship game, it’d be played by two teams that finished the regular season in the bottom half of the league but now are one win away from going to the NCAA tournament. Here we are, though, and I’m going to make a prediction that’s perhaps almost as surprising: I like Miami in this game. They finished last in the league in the regular season, but they seemed to sort out their offense in their first-round sweep at St. Cloud State and then shored up the defense – which has been a bigger worry for the RedHawks – last night in a 3-0 win over North Dakota. Denver’s a very decent team and has maybe the best college goaltender in the country, but can Miami beat the Pioneers? I’m going to say yes. Miami 3-2

NCHC picks: March 21

Well, neither Matthew nor I had much luck picking the games last weekend, what with all the upsets and all. We went 4-5 (.444) on the weekend, and I only correctly picked one series (North Dakota), while Matthew picked Western Michigan to win its series, so he was correct on two, but neither of us picked the correct number of games. On the year, I have a five-game lead on Matthew, going 96-71-22 (.566), while Matthew is 91-76-22 (.539)

Let’s see how we can do this weekend.

Friday, March 21

Miami vs. North Dakota
Candace: In this league of upsets, very little would surprise me, but I think now that North Dakota has gotten to the semifinals, they go all the way. North Dakota 3-2
Matthew: I had thought Miami could steal a game last weekend at St. Cloud State in the first round of the NCHC playoffs, but I’m not sure how anyone could have predicted the sweep Miami pulled off on the Huskies’ home ice. Momentum’s definitely on Miami’s side going into this semifinal against North Dakota, but UND’s a much deeper team than Miami, and I think UND will exploit the RedHawks’ defensive frailty, which feels like just about the only thing Miami didn’t fix last weekend. North Dakota 4-2

Denver vs. Western Michigan
Candace: Back in February when I interviewed Broncos coach Andy Murray, he talked about his team’s prowess in neutral site games and how they would be in great shape if they could make the Frozen Faceoff and NCAA tournament. Both Denver and Western Michigan looked good last weekend in winning their series. Denver won the season series between these teams, in part because Sam Brittain shut down Western’s top scorers. I’m not sure if Denver can do that again. Western Michigan 3-2
Matthew: The fact that this game pits a Denver team with great goaltending but not so great scoring prowess against a Western Michigan team that knows where the net is but hasn’t gotten incredible goaltending makes me think this is going to be a really low-scoring game. I think the Broncos will edge this one, if only because Western has been great in neutral-site games this season (4-0-1) and I have a feeling the Broncos will be less affected by the occasion than Denver will. Western Michigan 2-1

Underdogs rule the first round

Perhaps it’s only fitting that a league that produced so many series splits had only one of the favored teams, second seed North Dakota, advance to the Frozen Faceoff semifinals in Minneapolis. North Dakota barely escaped a tough Colorado College team, winning game three, 4-3, on Sunday night.

Heart-stopping RedHawks
While the Miami RedHawks had had success against the St. Cloud Huskies this year, splitting both a home and away series with the NCHC’s top team, few would have expected the RedHawks to win the first-round series between the two teams, let alone sweep it.

After all, Miami hadn’t swept a single NCHC series all year, and in fact only had two series sweeps during its season, one in its season opener against Ohio State, and one at the beginning of November against Canisius.

However, thanks to good offensive production from its big guns, as well as contributions from unheralded players, Miami emerged with the sweep, and the nature of the victories was heart-stopping, as well as heartbreaking for the hosts.

In the first game, Miami held a late lead in the third period thanks to a Sean Kuraly strike, but St. Cloud’s Kevin Gravel scored an extra-attacker goal with one second left in the game to tie it and send it to OT.

While St. Cloud seemed to carry momentum from the last-second tying goal, it was Miami that emerged with the win when Riley Barber fired a shot on net and kept poking at the rebound in the slot. It seemed that during a scrum, a St. Cloud player pushed goalie Ryan Faragher and the puck squirted free through Faragher’s legs, going in at 10:10.

The Huskies came out strong in the second game, and took a two-goal lead after two periods. Kuraly got the RedHawks on the board early in the third, and then Austin Czarnik tied it, but St. Cloud captain Nic Dowd got a five-on-three power-play goal to give the Huskies a lead.

Miami’s Antony Louis tied it back up at 12:08 on a power-play goal, and then Miami got the last-second goal to win when Justin Greenburg scored with only three seconds left.

The Huskies are still in good shape for the NCAA tournament, sitting at a tie for ninth in the PairWise with Providence. Miami moves on to Minneapolis; the RedHawks would need to win the NCHC autobid to make the NCAA tournament. Miami next plays North Dakota in the semifinals of the Frozen Faceoff in Minneapolis on March 21. North Dakota won three of the four games between the clubs, including a 9-2 shellacking in Grand Forks on Feb. 15.

North Dakota strengthens NCAA picture
Prior to Sunday’s game against Colorado College, North Dakota was in a precarious position, sitting at 15th in the PairWise. It meant that North Dakota’s chances of making the NCAA tournament likely required beating CC; a loss could have dropped them out of the tournament picture, or left them very vulnerable should a team outside the PairWise 16 win a conference tournament.

North Dakota was in that position thanks to a 44-save effort from CC goalie Josh Thorimbert and a goal from Alex Roos in CC’s 3-2 overtime win on Saturday night.

In the finale Sunday, North Dakota struck three times in the first period to take a 3-1 lead. CC scored at 17:17 of the second to go into the third trailing by only a goal, but Brendan O’Donnell came up big for UND, scoring at 2:29 of the third to get a cushion. That proved crucial, as Roos scored an extra-attacker goal with 1:29 left in the game to pull CC back within one, but it was as close as the Tigers got.

UND now has a stronger PairWise position, sitting in a tie for 12th, but another loss in the Frozen Faceoff could put them right back on the bubble.

Home not so nice
Minnesota-Duluth continued to suffer at home, losing a pair of one-goal games to Western Michigan and getting swept. The Bulldogs could only manage a 5-10-3 record on home ice, while going 10-6 on the road and 1-0-1 in neutral sites. The two losses dropped the Bulldogs down to 21 in the PairWise, and their season is likely done.

The first game ended with a wild finish. After Western Michigan’s Will Kessel scored an empty-net goal at 18:18 of the third to give the Broncos a 3-0 lead, it seemed the game was over, but Cal Decowski scored four-on-four at 18:30 and Max Tardy pulled UMD to within one with an extra-attacker strike at 19:44, but it was too little, too late.

On Saturday, UMD took an early two-goal lead, but Broncos leading scorer Shane Berschbach pulled his team back within one with a power-play goal at 15:35 of the first, and then Chase Balisy tied it early in the second.

Duluth retook the lead on a Joe Basaraba goal at 12:00 of the second, but the Broncos rallied in the third, getting two goals in a 1:27 span to take the lead and hold on. Balisy, who assisted on the first goal, assisted on both third-period strikes to have a hand in all four goals, while Frank Slubowski made 34 saves.

The dominant stat from both games is goaltending. UMD’s Aaron Crandall made 19 saves in the first game, while Western Michigan’s Lukas Hafner made 31. In the second game, Crandall only made seven saves, as Western could only muster 11 shots on net, but it was enough.

Western Michigan next faces Denver in the semifinals of the Frozen Faceoff on in Minneapolis March 21. Denver took three of four from the Broncos during the regular season. The Broncos sit tied for 18th in the PairWise, but likely need to win the NCHC Frozen Faceoff to make the NCAA tournament.

Power outage
Nebraska-Omaha won many of its games this season with a high-flying offensive style, but the first round of the NCHC playoffs against Denver was not the place for a sudden dearth of goals.

After winning the first game Thursday, 4-3, with Brock Montpetit getting two goals and an assist, UNO only managed one goal in the next 120 minutes of hockey, dropping the series on 5-1 and 2-0 losses.

On Friday, Denver’s Trevor Moore put the Pioneers up by two entering the third with a goal at 18:43. UNO got one back at 1:10 of the third on a goal by Brian Cooper, but couldn’t get any more, as Matt Tabrum, Matt Marcinew, and Will Butcher put the game out of reach.

In the final game of the series, Denver got the game-winner at 6:16 of the third from Ty Loney, and Zac Larraza added an empty-netter at 18:09 to secure the win.

Denver goalie Sam Brittain was outstanding, making 34 saves to secure his fifth shutout of the season. Brittain also made 30 saves in Friday’s win and 26 saves in Thursday’s loss.

NCHC picks: March 13

I finally got a bigger lead on Matthew in our picks race. Last weekend, I went 5-3 (.625), while Matthew went 3-5 (.375). On the year, I am 92-66-22 (.572), while Matthews is 87-71-22 (.544).

The first round brings some brutal matchups, so let’s see how we can do.

Thursday-Saturday, March 13-15

Denver at Nebraska-Omaha
Candace: UNO won three of four in the season series, taking two in overtime, though those games weren’t actually as close as might have been indicated. Denver’s defense has been iffy at times, relying too much on the heroics of Sam Brittain, and if that happens again, this series could be over quickly. Nebraska-Omaha 3-2, Denver 2-1, Nebraska-Omaha 4-2
Matthew: Considering pretty much everyone picked UNO to finish at or near the bottom of the NCHC, the Mavericks did really well to finish third, and I think they’ll do enough to make it through this week and get to their first conference championship weekend in a decade. Denver will be a very tough out, though, especially considering Sam Brittain, a senior, is the best goaltender in the league and will want to end his time with the Pioneers on a good note. UNO 3-2 Thursday, DU 2-0 Friday, UNO 2-1 Saturday

Friday-Sunday, March 14-16

Miami at St. Cloud State
Candace: Miami is the one NCHC team that had the most success against St. Cloud this season. I think that Bob Motzko and the Huskies will be extra on guard, and win in two tight contests. One may go to OT. St. Cloud 2-1, 3-1
Matthew: I mentioned in our Tuesday Morning Quarterback column earlier this week with Jim Connelly that I think Miami has the potential to pull off a big upset here. I’m not picking that to happen, but I think people forget these teams split their four games earlier this season, and with pieces like Blake Coleman on form, I think the Huskies will need to be on high alert this weekend. St. Cloud 3-2 Friday, 3-2 Saturday

Colorado College at North Dakota
Candace: The problem here is that no matter how well CC goalie Josh Thorimbert plays, his team doesn’t score goals, and that will hurt them in the playoffs, especially in North Dakota, where UND swept CC in two tight games in early January. I think that holds true here. North Dakota 3-1, 4-2
Matthew: I’ve liked the way CC has continued to battle and try to make thins work in the home stretch of the season, and they could give North Dakota some problems this weekend in Grand Forks. UND’s the more talented team here though, and I think they’ll come into this weekend a little steamed after letting the Penrose Cup slip away last Saturday on the final night of the regular season. North Dakota 3-1 Friday, 3-0 Saturday

Western Michigan at Minnesota-Duluth
Candace: The Bulldogs won the season series 3-1, but are at home, where they have a losing record. Western has been better on the road, and its one win against the Bulldogs came in the first game in Duluth in the first half of the year, but Western hasn’t been that great in first games in the second half. Western Michigan 2-1, Minnesota-Duluth 3-2, Minnesota-Duluth 2-1
Matthew: Duluth is very much on the PairWise bubble and needs to advance as far as it can in the NCHC playoffs to keep itself in contention for an NCAA tournament spot. The problem for the Bulldogs, though, is that they’ve been a lot better on the road this season than they’ve been at home, and although Western hasn’t been amazing away from Kalamazoo this season, I think the Broncos could take advantage of the issues UMD’s with getting wins on its own ice. WMU 3-2 Friday, UMD 3-1 Saturday, WMU 2-1 Sunday

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