Atlantic Hockey Picks, Jan. 22- 27

Last week:

Dan: 8-3-1
Chris: 9-2-1

On the season:

Dan: 85-55-21 (.593)
Chris: 95-45-21 (.655)

 

This Week’s Picks:

Thursday, January 22 and Saturday, January 24
Canisius at Niagara
Dan: Niagara is in a bit of a funk this year, but that doesn’t mean they can’t steal some points. Of course, Canisius is on fire the last couple of weeks against quality opponents. I think they continue it this week. Side note – as much as I’ve come around on the unbalanced schedule, there needs to be protected rivalries for four games. This one is a perfect example why. Canisius sweeps.
Chris: These are the only regular season meetings between the Western New York rivals, and Niagara needs to come away with at least a split here if it wants to get its mojo going. I think that will happen because, you know, throw out the records and all that. Niagara wins Thursday, Canisius wins Saturday.

 
Friday, January 23 and Saturday, January 24
Rochester Institute of technology at Bentley
Dan: Two electric scorers go head-to-head when Matt Garbowsky and Max French step on the same ice. The annual USCHO Atlantic Hockey Bowl for Chris and me. One point differential in the standings. What more could you want? Bentley sweeps.
Chris: If the games were in Rochester, I’d go with a split between these teams, which are separated by a single point in the standings. But I like Bentley to get back on track at the JAR. Bentley sweeps.

Robert Morris at Holy Cross
Dan: My biggest fear about Holy Cross was that their offense would experience a power outage, and this team would only go as far as defense and goaltending would take it. If the offense is starting to plateau, that’s bad news for a defense facing one of the best offenses in the league/country. RMU’s scored more goals than anyone this year (91), and their per-game average is second best behind only Michigan. RMU sweeps.
Chris: A couple of weeks ago, Holy Cross was right on RMU’s heels for first place. But the Crusaders have just one win in their last seven games. It’s a great match-up between Holy Cross’ defense and RMU’s offense, which found its groove again last weekend. I’m picking the offense. RMU sweeps.

Mercyhurst at Sacred Heart
Dan: For the second time in three weeks, these two teams are playing, but the series is shifting out east. Based off what was said after that weekend, the score didn’t indicate how tight SHU played the Lakers. I think the Lakers have to play better in order to ensure four points, which is why I’m picking the always-dangerous split. Sacred Heart wins on Friday. Mercyhurst wins on Saturday.
Chris: Mercyhurst dominated SHU two weeks ago, outscoring the Pioneers 11-4. The venue has changed but I think the results will be the same. Mercyhurst sweeps.

Air Force at American International
Dan: Air Force is picking up steam in the second half of the year once again, winning four straight games. They’ll make it six this weekend, but I’ll throw an asterisk that their second half surge is coming against the bottom of the AHC. Still, this is what they needed for momentum to swing their way. Air Force sweeps.
Chris: Both teams have had their ups and downs so far, and I think AIC can certainly take at least two points at home, but I have a hunch that Air Force will come out on top in a pair of close games. Air Force sweeps.

 
Tuesday, January 27
Army at Princeton
Dan: Princeton is a bad hockey team this year, having not won a regular season game since November 28th. They have to be cautious to not expend too much here since they’re coming up on a four-game road trip with series at Yale/Brown and Colgate/Cornell. Bad timing for this game for them. Army wins.
Chris: Princeton has just two wins so far this season, and I think Army will handle the Tiger’s anemic offense and win a low scoring game, even without leading scorer Tyler Pham, who will be serving a one-game suspension. Army wins.

33 COMMENTS

  1. Notre Dame could have crapped the bed a week earlier. Terrible performance against SCSU. Miami looked back to form, should be a good game. As for WMU getting “screwed”… they did it to themselves getting swept at home in the CCHA quarters.

  2. I’m going to throw Witt into this discussion, he’s the only reason NEU is doing anything this year. I don’t know what happend to this kid over the summer, but he’s blocking 60 shots a game for a team that plays zero defense. Hellebyuck, Ouellette, and Gilles play in very defensive based systems, Witt is a kid on an island out there and he’s playing up to the task so far. Regardless, I’d love to see it go to one of these four netminders, they’re carrying their teams.

  3. This list looks like it was left over from last year without consideration of how well or not well they are playing this year and no consideration of players with a surprising start. The column is a huge disappointment.

  4. with a BC loss last night and minn. losing tonite no way union should not be number one!!!! – go dutchmen – all the way!!!

      • that’s cuz the western teams are afraid to play union year after year – shouldn’t be punished for that – bc and minn have had their ups n downs the past couple weeks – union is nothing but consistent – union is number one!!!

  5. The most obvious reason the third place game should not have been eliminated is that it could, and has in the past, allow another ECAC Hockey team to make the NCAA Championships. Given that, what possible reason is there to eliminate it?

  6. For Colgate, the deciding seems to be beating/losing to Quinnipiac. If they win, they’re in. If not, they’re only thinking about classes after Friday.

    IF Colgate beats Quinnipiac, then…
    *Colgate would pass Vermont in the rankings EVEN with a loss in the finals.
    *Colgate would pass Minnesota State (as long as they don’t win the WCHA.
    *Colgate would make the tourney EVEN if North Dakota loses. Yes, a bid is stolen, but Colgate would still pass North Dakota in the rankings, keeping them safe.
    *Colgate (and Vermont and Cornell) would stay ahead of New Hampshire in RPI, just as long as New Hampshire DOESN’T win HEA tourney.
    *Colgate would stay ahead of Cornell, IF Cornell doesn’t beat them in the final.
    For Colgate to win once and still miss the tourney, it seems the worst of all scenarios has to happen:
    *Cornell to beat Union, then beat Colgate in the final
    *Minnesota St. to beat Bowling Green and likely then Ferris State to win the WCHA.
    *New Hampshire to beat UML, then win the HEA final, stealing a bid.

    And something quirky like Michigan losing to Penn St. again could happen. I’d rather be Colgate than Vermont or Cornell, but it’s never fun knowing you’ll have to beat Quinnipiac to make the tournament.

  7. If Cornell wins one game, then they, too, should make it, largely because then they would have beaten the #3 team in the country.

    For them to miss the tourney after beating Union, these things have to happen:

    *Minnesota State winning the WCHA
    *New Hampshire winning the HEA
    *Colgate beating Quinnipiac and Cornell to win the ECAC

    If Cornell and/or Colgate win their first round games, what happens in the NCHC doesn’t seem to matter.

  8. Now if Colgate loses to QU, they REALLY need Bowling Green to beat Minnesota St. And that’s with everything else breaking their way.

    If Cornell loses, they’re screwed.

    • Just spoke with Hagwell: Still too early to note or predict ticket sales, but Cornell and Union each requested more than the vague “standard block” of tickets, so the Dutchmen and Big Red should be quite well represented. Not sure about QU/Colgate’s level of fan interest so far… Hagwell anticipates actual numbers by Tues/Wed, so stay tuned.

  9. The only way Cornell will defeat Union is if they hire Feola to disallow a few more goals – like happened this past weekend. Union is going all the way in the NCAAs this year….too solid a team.

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