{"id":1495,"date":"2016-02-11T22:38:55","date_gmt":"2016-02-12T04:38:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.uscho.com\/bracketology\/?p=1495"},"modified":"2016-02-11T22:38:55","modified_gmt":"2016-02-12T04:38:55","slug":"after-the-beanpot-the-top-six-historically-have-been-ncaa-locks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.uscho.com\/2016\/02\/11\/after-the-beanpot-the-top-six-historically-have-been-ncaa-locks\/","title":{"rendered":"After the Beanpot, the top six historically have been NCAA locks"},"content":{"rendered":"

Here’s the way the PairWise Rankings<\/a> looked after the Beanpot games Monday:<\/p>\n

1. Quinnipiac
\n2. St. Cloud State
\n3. North Dakota
\n4. Boston College
\n5. Providence
\n6. Michigan
\n7. Notre Dame
\n8. Boston University
\n9. Omaha
\n10. Yale
\n11. Harvard
\n12. Denver
\n13. Massachusetts-Lowell
\n14t. Cornell
\n— projected cut line —
\n14t. Penn State
\n16. Dartmouth
\n17. Clarkson
\n18. Minnesota-Duluth
\n19t. Robert Morris
\n— average position for outsider to make tournament —
\n19t. Michigan Tech
\n21t. Minnesota
\n21t. Rensselaer
\n23t. Bowling Green
\n— lowest any team has ever been ranked and still qualified —
\n23t. Minnesota State
\n25t. St. Lawrence
\n25t. Miami
\n27. Northeastern
\n28t. Ferris State
\n28t. Union
\n30. Northern Michigan
\n31. Air Force
\n32. Holy Cross
\n33t. New Hampshire
\n33t. Vermont
\n35. Western Michigan
\n36t. Ohio State
\n36t. Bemidji State
\n38. Wisconsin
\n39. Mercyhurst
\n40t. RIT
\n40t. Merrimack
\n42t. Bentley
\n42t. Colgate
\n44t. Connecticut
\n44t. Alaska-Anchorage
\n46t. Massachusetts
\n46t. Michigan State
\n46t. Maine
\n49t. Colorado College
\n49t. Army
\n51. Lake Superior
\n52. Princeton
\n53t. Brown
\n53t. Sacred Heart
\n55. Canisius
\n56. Alaska
\n57. Alabama-Huntsville
\n58. Niagara
\n59. Arizona State
\n60. American International<\/p>\n

The Beanpot traditionally ends the nonconference portion of the college hockey schedule. This year, there are still some key nonconference games remaining involving highly-ranked teams, starting with Miami vs. Bowling Green this Friday. The winning team sets up as this season’s potential St. Cloud State. Last season, the Huskies were ranked No. 23 in the post-Beanpot PairWise and wound up going to the NCAA regional finals. St. Cloud became the lowest-ranked team at this point of the season to eventually qualify for the tournament.<\/p>\n

In all, 10 teams that were ranked 20th or lower have made the tournament in the 13 years since expansion to 16 teams. The window is closing, but for teams like Minnesota-Duluth and Michigan Tech, it remains open ever so slightly.<\/p>\n

Those teams are the exception. Over 89 percent of teams that are ranked 1-12 at the end of the Beanpot remain in the tournament field. Historically, the safe zone has expanded to the top six teams in the standings. The highest-ranked team to fall from the eventual field was ranked No. 7 overall, last done by the 2013 Western Michigan Broncos. In all, over 75 percent of teams currently above the cut line (still projected at 14) have made the tournament.<\/p>\n

Those at the very top tend to stay at the very top. In eight of the 13 seasons, the overall No. 1 team has remained the overall No. 1 team. In 12 of those seasons, it has remained a No. 1 regional seed. Only the 2012 Ferris State Bulldogs fell to a No. 2 regional seed. In 2004, not only did all four teams remain in the top four, all four teams entered the NCAA tournament with the same ranking they had after the Beanpot. In all, 73 percent of the top four teams remain in the top four.<\/p>\n

North Dakota remains the outlier here. In 2012, the then-Fighting Sioux were ranked 16th overall at the end of the Beanpot before finishing fourth overall. In fact, they were still ranked No. 13 on March 5 before defeating St. Cloud State, Minnesota and Denver to win the WCHA Final Five.<\/p>\n

Not to be outdone, the next season UMass-Lowell limped into the Beanpot break with consecutive losses to Maine and Merrimack and was sitting 17th in the PairWise. The River Hawks then went on a 12-1 run, won the Hockey East championship, finished No. 3 overall and went to the Frozen Four.<\/p>\n

So history tells us it can be done. Teams like St. Cloud State, the 2010 Northern Michigan Wildcats and 2007 Massachusetts Minutemen have accomplished it, but the odds are stacked very much against teams not already projected in the field.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In 13 years of the 16-team NCAA tournament, no team in the top six of the PairWise Rankings at the end of the Beanpot has missed being in the field.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":120,"featured_media":140328,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[947],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAfter the Beanpot, the top six historically have been NCAA locks - College Hockey | USCHO.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In 13 years of the 16-team NCAA tournament, no team in the top six of the PairWise Rankings at the end of the Beanpot has missed being in the field.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.uscho.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1495\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"After the Beanpot, the top six historically have been NCAA locks - 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