Women’s D-I picks: Nov. 29

Arlan and I waited for the first round to be complete before picking the next round of the Nutmeg, though we could have picked it right away, since our picks for the first round were (barely) accurate.

Saturday, Nov. 29

Yale at Connecticut
Candace: Connecticut looked good in the first round against Clarkson, but I like the Bulldogs in this one. Yale 3-2
Arlan: Connecticut likely threw its best punch versus Clarkson. Yale 3-1

Clarkson versus Quinnipiac
Candace: Quinnipiac won this game last week, and the Bobcats looked better in the first round. Quinnipiac 3-2
Arlan: Likely a stupid pick with how the semis went, but I have a hunch that this game plays out differently that when these two met the first time. Clarkson 3-2

39 COMMENTS

  1. Only 6 or 7 teams (depending on how you count them) would make it from all three Eastern conferences would make it to the NCAA right now. Incredible.

  2. Jim, I’ve got a technical question on the RPI calculation and you seem like the person to ask (nice explanation of the pairwise consequences on NESN last week).

    Are single games “counted” multiple times when computing RPI? For instance, for NU’s RPI, when NU plays BC tonight the result will be reflected in NU’s winning percentage. Will tonight’s result also be used again for BC’s record in “average winning percentage of opponents” and again for NU’s record in “average winning percentage of opponents’ opponents”? Is NU considered an opponent’s opponent when calculating its own RPI?

    I haven’t gone through the all the math so I don’t whether this would have a significant effect after all the averaging. Just curious.

    Go Huskies!!!

  3. Jim, I’ve got a technical question on the RPI calculation and you seem like the person to ask (nice explanation of the pairwise consequences on NESN last week).

    Are single games “counted” multiple times when computing RPI? For instance, for NU’s RPI, when NU plays BC tonight the result will be reflected in NU’s winning percentage. Will tonight’s result also be used again for BC’s record in “average winning percentage of opponents” and again for NU’s record in “average winning percentage of opponents’ opponents”? Is NU considered an opponent’s opponent when calculating its own RPI?

    I haven’t gone through the all the math so I don’t whether this would have a significant effect after all the averaging. Just curious.

    Go Huskies!!!

  4. UNH is approaching bubble territory. They aren’t playing well, and aren’t beating the teams they are supposed to be beating as a “top 5” team nationally.

    • I don’t think they are approaching bubble territory at all. With 26 PWR points, they have a huge difference between the teams in the #10 range. They only have 19 and if you look at the individual comparisons, UNH is leading most of them 3-0, or 4-0, so it would take a lot for those teams to overtake them.
      As to the actual hockey, 96 SOG the past 2 games against 2 of the bigger and hotter goalies and teams in HE, so only 4 of them found the back of the net. They will find the back of the net again. On the defensive side, they are totally different and not in a good way, right now. I also believe it’s time to see Wyer a little more, as DeSmith really continues to struggle.

      • A lot of those SOGs are not quality shots. I was at the game on Sunday, they had some really nice shots that Gilles made great saves on, but the vast majority of the shot selection was poor.

        • I was there as well. I believe there were more quality shots than you give them credit for. Also, against Merrimack (I don’t remember the exact amount) they had more Grade A chances than non-grade A. I also am a firm believer that there is no such thing as a bad shot. No matter what, I don’t believe offense is their biggest concern right now and they would have to collapse pretty badly to fall that far in the PWR.

  5. UNH is approaching bubble territory. They aren’t playing well, and aren’t beating the teams they are supposed to be beating as a “top 5” team nationally.

    • I don’t think they are approaching bubble territory at all. With 26 PWR points, they have a huge difference between the teams in the #10 range. They only have 19 and if you look at the individual comparisons, UNH is leading most of them 3-0, or 4-0, so it would take a lot for those teams to overtake them.
      As to the actual hockey, 96 SOG the past 2 games against 2 of the bigger and hotter goalies and teams in HE, so only 4 of them found the back of the net. They will find the back of the net again. On the defensive side, they are totally different and not in a good way, right now. I also believe it’s time to see Wyer a little more, as DeSmith really continues to struggle.

      • A lot of those SOGs are not quality shots. I was at the game on Sunday, they had some really nice shots that Gilles made great saves on, but the vast majority of the shot selection was poor.

        • I was there as well. I believe there were more quality shots than you give them credit for. Also, against Merrimack (I don’t remember the exact amount) they had more Grade A chances than non-grade A. I also am a firm believer that there is no such thing as a bad shot. No matter what, I don’t believe offense is their biggest concern right now and they would have to collapse pretty badly to fall that far in the PWR.

  6. “the Gophers recorded an empty-net goal in the last minute”
    Could you possibly have worded that any worse? That sounds like UMD had their goalie off for an extra attacker.

    • To be accurate the second Gopher goal was an extra attacker power play goal, six skaters on four. I saw both games in person and was impressed by a few things. The Bulldogs look solid and play a good team game. I thought they took care of the Gophers in a business like manner. Eric Schierhorn rebounded from the poor second game in Madison with a good back to back effort. He will need to play well next weekend since PSU always launches plenty of shots. Hunter Miska and Riley Tufte are talented freshmen. The Bulldogs look like a FF team to me.

    • The whole write up made it sound like it wasn’t a good game. I thought it was one of the better games I have watched in a while. Pretty even first period, UMD owned the 2nd and UM the 3rd. All and all a game you would want to see between 2 top 10 teams.

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