With the holidays over, it’s time to get all “Hee Haw” and do some pickin’ and grinnin’.
And, what’s there to smile about? While my overall 13-16 prognostication record is barely enough pull my neck upwards from looking down on my Chuck Taylor’s in shame, I am (albeit slowly) approaching the .500 mark. Hey, Division I football programs get invited to bowl games with that type of record.
This weekend dishes up some sumptuous match-ups.
Jan. 7
St. Thomas at Wisconsin-Eau Claire: Due to the holidays, both teams have been on hiatus for three weeks after suffering losses. The Blugolds (8- 5, 4- 4) were cooking before the layoff, winning five-straight before their 3-2 loss to Wisconsin-Stevens Point Dec. 11. As MIAC leader, the Tommies (8- 5, 4- 2) have been nothing if not consistent. The question is: Who will start in goal? Tyrone Simcoe is 3-0 since taking over for freshman Geoff Sadjadi in the second period during the team’s 8-6 victory over Wisconsin-Superior Nov. 27. Sadjadii (5-5, 2.96 goal-against, average, .894-save percentage) was tagged with the loss in the Tommies’ last outing, a 5-4 overtime setback to No. 11 Milwaukee School of Engineering on Dec. 11. Home-ice advantage favors the resurgent Blugolds. Wisconsin-Eau Claire 5, St. Thomas 3
St. Olaf at Gustavus Adolphus: The No. 5 Gusties (9-3-1, 3-2-1) are poised to overtake first-place St. Thomas in the MIAC regular-season standings as they have won five of the last six. The team’s top line of Brian Wieck (2-10-12), Ross Ring-Jarvi (4-7-11), and Dane Erickson (4-5-9) produces consistently, accounting for 42 of the team’s 108 points this season, while goalie Josh Swartout (5-3-1, 2.64 goals-against, .905-save percentage) remains a rock in net. St. Olaf (4-5-3, 0-3-3) has had difficulty sustaining anything resembling a winning streak (The Oles won back-to-back games against Lake Forest Nov. 26-27). In their last game before the break, the Oles held a short-lived 4-3 lead against Hamline on Dec. 4 only to surrender the tying goal a minute later to chalk up a league-leading third draw of the season. Gusties have too much firepower to let this one slip away. Gustavus 5, St. Olaf 2
Adrian at Buffalo State: The No. 9 Bulldogs (9-3, 7-1) continue their eastern swing as they earned a split at the Northfield Bank Tournament, defeating Nichols, 7-3, in the third-place game Jan. 1. Senior goalie Brad Fogal turned away 27 of 30 shots to earn the win after being pulled during the third period in the 6-2 loss to Manhattanville Dec. 31. Offensively, Adrian continues to roll with seniors Brad Houston (7-11-18) and Shawn Skelly (7-11-18) leading a six-pack of Bulldog scorers in double-figures. Meanwhile, the Bengals (6-5-2, 4-2-2) have been on a three-week layoff after a losing their straight in a 3-2 setback on the road to Utica Dec. 11. During the three-game skid, Bengal leading scorer Trevor McKinney (7-8-15) has been held scoreless. Adrian won’t be buffaloed in the Bengals backyard. Adrian 6, Buffalo State 3.
DIII men's picks Jan. 7-8
Worcester State looks to build on 2010 finish
One of the most historic weeks in the history of the Worcester State men’s ice hockey program was followed by….nothing. The Lancers started their final week of play in 2010 by knocking off Fitchburg State, who they hadn’t beaten since 2003. Following that was a 4-1 win over Westfield State, who swept the season series last year by an aggregate score of 19-10. The week ended with a wild 5-4 win over Salem State, who hadn’t lost to Worcester State since 1971, a span of 44 games.
The Lancers’ hottest week of the year was followed by their longest break of the year, as the team was off almost four weeks for winter vacation.
For coach John Guiney, the almost month-long layoff allowed Worcester State to savor the wins and serve as a reminder of the level they needed to get back to once 2011 rolled around.
“It was nice to have a month to enjoy what happened,” Guiney said. “It’s nice to enjoy, but if we had played [following Salem State] and lost, it would have been forgotten. But we’re able to build on [the hot finish] and see how we need to get back to where we were [prior to the break].”
That three-game stretch to close the first semester helped Worcester State, a team which hasn’t had a winning record since the 1997-98 season, end 2010 with a 5-2-3 record, including a 4-1-1 mark in MASCAC play that was good enough to secure a first place tie with Massachusetts-Dartmouth.
“From a coaching standpoint, entering that week, we had just lost to Mass.-Dartmouth but were down 2-0 and ended up making it 3-2,” Guiney said. “We said we couldn’t end the semester 0-4 but we tried not to put too much pressure on the kids. I was hoping to finish out going 1-1-1.”
With a 6-3 win over Becker on Thursday to start the 2011 slate, it appears any the Lancers have shaken off any rust from the long break.
“I went to [Becker] a little concerned,” Guiney said, noting that it was Becker’s fourth game since the break while Worcester State had only had two practices.
“Our first run through the league went very well,” he said. “We have a lot of new players, 13 or 14 new kids. To be honest, a lot has to do with the recruits from the Western States Hockey League. The kids came out with a desire to play. They have no idea who these teams are, no clue of the history. It doesn’t really matter to them.”
The new group’s resiliency was apparent against the Hawks. After going up 1-0 and then falling behind 2-1, the Lancers showed little panic, scoring three unanswered goals to take charge.
“From a coaching staff, its so nice just to stand on the bench and have players with a will to win and play so hard,” Guiney said.
That work ethic started early, and transcends the whole team, even those who don’t dress on game day.
“Even at the start of the year, when the trainer was working with these kids, he was telling me how hard these kids work and how he hadn’t seen a group like this in a long time,” Guiney said. “Even the kids that don’t play aren’t a problem. We just got off the bus [from Becker] and when the game ended, all the kids that weren’t playing were in packing up and getting shirts. You don’t see that in every program. [With kids] that aren’t playing, there’s usually some moaning, but we don’t have that. They know if they work hard, they will get an opportunity.”
Guiney said the program had a contact in the Western States Hockey League who asked them to come out and check out players in the league. While he wasn’t sure at first how the league and players compared to the Eastern junior leagues, their adjustment to college hockey on the East Coast has been essential for Worcester.
“The kids are very mature and easy to coach,” Guiney said. “The best part is that they’re all nice kids; there’s no problems, and that has a lot to do with our success.”
While Guiney admits Worcester State’s work ethic outshines it talents, the Lancers have had several individual standouts up to this point.
Senior captain Chris Wallin is having a career year, already surpassing his season best in goals, averaging just over a point per game. All this comes after playing mostly at forward after shifting between defense and the front line his first three years. Wallin, the team’s best skater according to Guiney, still will move to defense at key moments late in games.
“Chris is a great, great captain,” Guiney said. “He’s been able to talk to every kid at every level. He’s the right arm of the coaching staff.”
In net, freshman Bryan Kalcynski (2.63 GAA, .934 save percentage) has been a key cog after coming to the Lancers from Erie Community College.
“He does a great job,” Guiney said of Kalcynski. “It’s an old cliche, but every time he plays, he gives us a chance to win. He gives the team so much confidence.”
While Guiney doesn’t believe any team took them lightly in the first half (Worcester State played in only one game that wasn’t a goal or closer), the target is on the Lancers back heading in the second half.
“Our conference is just strong,” he said. “Whether it’s strong in relationship to other conferences doesn’t matter.”
Even with increased pressure, Guiney is looking forward to the second half.
“It’s been enjoyable,” he said. “It’s fun right now, especially with all the new young kids.”
Elsewhere in the ECAC Northeast and MASCAC
Bit of a quiet week, as teams are still getting back into the swing of things following the break and holiday tournaments.
Salem State pushed its record to 9-3 with a pair of nonconference wins over Colby on Monday and New England College on Wednesday. Monday’s win was a 5-4 affair that saw Salem State rally from being down 2-0.
Wentworth fell to No. 4 Bowdoin, 5-3, on Tuesday, while Westfield State’s struggles continued with a heartbreaking 5-4 loss to Assumption. The Greyhounds rallied from a late deficit and scored the game-winner with 2.6 seconds left.
In the day’s other overtime action, Fitchburg State used a Billy Pescosolido goal at the 4:53 mark in overtime to emerge with a 3-2 win over Becker.
Loose Pucks
I’ve said it before, but I think now is the time when the real season starts. With just under two months left and schedules starting to slant toward conference games, every point becomes crucial. And with the top four teams in the MASCAC and ECAC Northeast separated by one point and two points respectively, it should be another good finish.
Candace’s Picks: January 7
Well, I finished the first half strong, going 8-2-1 (.772). Overall on the season, I am 72-29-13 (.688). Almost all of the top teams are in action this weekend, so let’s get right back to it.
Friday-Saturday, January 7-8
Syracuse at Mercyhurst: Syracuse has scored some decent wins this year, showing signs that they may be ready to start challenging better teams on a more regular basis. However, Mercyhurst is simply too strong, and after a tough loss against Wisconsin last week, I expect the Lakers to come out firing. Mercyhurst 5-2, 5-1
Wisconsin at Ohio State: The Badgers erupted for 14 goals last weekend, including seven against Mercyhurst. It looks more and more like the Badgers are the team to beat this year. Ohio State is a good squad, but they don’t have the guns to hang with Wisconsin for 60 minutes. Wisconsin 4-2, 5-2
Minnesota State at Minnesota: It used to be that the Gophers only had to worry about Duluth in the battle for top squad in Minnesota. The Mavericks however, have shown great signs of improvement, including a win against North Dakota and a one-goal loss to Wisconsin and a one-goal loss earlier in the year to the Gophers. I expect this to be a battle, but the Gophers should sweep. Minnesota 2-1, 3-1
North Dakota at Vermont: On paper, this is a mismatch. The Sioux, led by the Lamoureux twins, have way too much firepower, and Vermont has struggled all season. The Catamounts will probably play the Sioux tough, and one tie is possible, but I’m calling a Sioux sweep. North Dakota 3-1, 3-2
Friday, January 7
Quinnipiac at St. Lawrence: The rising new star meets one of the old establishment in this game. The Bobcats are led by freshman Kelly Babstock, one of the leading scorers in the country. St. Lawrence scored a surprise upset of Mercyhurst right before the break. This is a tossup, but I’m going with the Bobcats. Quinnipiac 3-2
Cornell at Yale: The Big Red are the team to beat in the ECAC, and so far are undefeated in conference play. That is unlikely to change this weekend. Cornell 4-1
Saturday, January 8
Boston College at Maine: The Eagles were just stunned by Princeton on New Year’s eve, getting shut out, but they rebounded to beat Yale. BC is undefeated in Hockey East, and I expect them to start the second half strong. Boston College 4-2
Sunday, January 9
Providence at Boston University: The Terriers need to start with a bang to keep pace with arch-rival Boston College. Providence is looking to get untracked against the better schools. These teams played twice earlier in the year, with one tie and a BU win. I’m going with the Terriers on home ice. Boston University 4-2
Finding the bright side at Sacred Heart
A more positive thinker in college hockey than Sacred Heart coach Tom O’Malley, you’re just not gonna find.
Rain pours in through a leaky roof, and he’s likely to collect the drips to water the office plants.
That wellspring of optimism has carried him well through his coaching career, which is a darned good thing.
He’s needed that sunny side to endure the start up headaches produced during his stops at Wayne State, Boston College (his alma mater), and for the past eight years, Sacred Heart.
Some campaigns have been more trying than others, but with his Pioneers struggling to a 3-14-0 mark — largely against D-III competition — this one has tested O’Malley in a big way.
“It’s been a tough year,” he sighed, moments after watching his charges blow a lead with 12 seconds to play against Southern Maine and wind up suffering a 5-4 overtime loss.
“It’s hard sometimes. We have some very good players on this team. But (sometimes) our best players struggle. You’re never going to hear me make excuses. But it’s been that type of a year. I’m doing my best to keep them focused.”
There is no crying in hockey, of course, and the Pioneers aren’t asking anyone to shed any tears for them.
However, they are the lone independent Division I program in the sport, which means they are truly in a league of their own. A league with no champion.
“We’re not in a league,” said O’Malley, “which means we’re playing Maine one weekend, and we’re playing (a club team) the next weekend. We have ‘D-I’ next to our name. It doesn’t mean we play as a ‘D-I’ team all the time. And we don’t.”
Heck, even giving another D-I team a decent test would be a victory of sorts.
As it is, the Pioneers have played seven games against D-I opponents and have lost them all, by a whopping 51-2 margin. Even Job’s patience would have been tested to the limit.
Little wonder then, that O’Malley blew his stack after the loss to Southern Maine, a fair to middlin’ D-III outfit.
“I just let them have it,” said O’Malley, “because we gave that game away. I can’t be fake with them.”
The dose of reality proved to be helpful the next day, as Sacred Heart turned the tables on USM and took home a 2-1 win.
One win over a D-III doesn’t represent a corner turned, and for the Pioneers, being truly competitive as a D-I seems to be something of a pipe dream.
Finding their way into a conference, even if it means another round of lump taking, would be a great first step. If only they could take one.
“I keep hearing (things), like we’re going to form Atlantic Hockey for women,” said O’Malley. “But it hasn’t happened. It’s something I’d love to do. We had an opportunity to join College Hockey America, two times. And it didn’t happen for us. Whatever the reasons. I’m all for it.”
What can be said for the Pioneers is that they are all in the program by choice. No guns held to anyone’s head. Each player has her own reason for playing hockey at Sacred Heart, which is reason enough.
“We’re out looking for the best possible players we can get,” said O’Malley. “But I’ll be honest with you. The BC’s and the Providences and the UConn’s are going to get their players. I mean, we’re going for their players. But when it all comes down to it, facilities and scholarships are going to play into it. A ‘D-I’ player is worthy of a ‘D-I’ situation. I try to provide that for our team.
“We do the best we can with what we have.”
Ah, there’s that sunny side, again. Poking through the clouds.
Games Jan. 7-8
First of all, I’d like to apologize to Tyler because I apparently forgot his picks for the Mariucci Classic. So, before I get into the results, he had picked Minnesota to lose to Union and beat Ferris State and for Bemidji to do it the other way around.
Now, results! Remember, though: for non-fixed tournaments (so Shillelagh, GLI, Florida), only successful picks count. For everything else, losses count against.
Last … month Theresa: 12-5-2
Season Theresa: 75-48-13
Last … month Tyler: 12-3-2
Season Tyler: 74-31-9
Friday, January 7 and Saturday, January 8
Michigan Tech (3-13-2, 1-10-2 WCHA) at St. Cloud State (7-11-2, 3-8-1 WCHA)
Theresa: This one’s tricky. True, SCSU is coming off of a great win at the Florida College Classic; however, they might be reeling due to losing several players off their roster. MTU, on the other hand, played some tough games at the GLI but couldn’t break through with a win. Do I give SCSU the benefit of the doubt? Or do I call a split, picking Tech to finally break their winless streak? I think I’ll go with the latter – SCSU Friday, MTU Saturday.
Tyler: David Eddy had a hand in three of SCSU’s eight goals (1 goal, 2 assists) at the Florida College Classic so his addition to the team could be a huge plus for the Huskies in the second half. Eddy will be a scratch this weekend, according to Mick Hatten of the St. Cloud Times. SCSU will ride the momentum coming off their FCC title and sweep Tech.
Robert Morris at No. 2 North Dakota (14-5-2, 11-3-0 WCHA)
Theresa: How can you NOT pick the Sioux right now? Theoretical second half team aside, UND is rolling. Sioux sweep.
Tyler: It’s the second half of the season, which means it’s time for the Sioux to roll. UND sweep.
Canisius at No. 13 Wisconsin (12-7-3, 6-6-2 WCHA)
Theresa: Canisius is one of the better Atlantic Hockey teams this year, but that’s not saying much as a good chunk of the league is muddled together. The Badgers, on the other hand, seem to be gaining their footing so I think I have to go with a UW sweep.
Tyler: Another East Coast mid-major for the Badgers to beat up on in Madison. UW sweep.
American International at Minnesota State (8-8-4, 4-8-2 WCHA)
Theresa: The Yellow Jackets are typically one of the bottom-feeder Atlantic Hockey teams, but have been doing fairly well lately (3-2 in their last five). However, so have the Mavericks – 6-2 in their last eight. In this situation, I’ve got to go with MSU – ‘Kato sweep.
Tyler: The Mavericks have won 6 of 8 and should win 8 of 10 after this weekend. MSU will continue to roll against one of the nation’s worst defenses but should look out for the Yellow Jackets’ power play (24.4 percent). MSU sweep.
Bemidji State (7-10-1, 4-9-1 WCHA) at Alabama-Huntsville
Theresa: I’m trying to think here. The obvious choice here is a Beaver sweep, given that UAH is pretty terrible and BSU is coming off of a “sweep” at the Mariucci Classic. However, these are old conference rivals and both teams are very familiar with the other. Therefore, I think I’m going to go a bit daring and call a split – BSU Friday, UAH Saturday.
Tyler: Both of these teams have a lot of trouble scoring but Huntsville can’t keep the puck out of their own net. BSU sweep.
Minnesota (9-8-3, 6-6-2 WCHA) and No. 5 Minnesota-Duluth (14-4-3, 9-3-2 WCHA) vs. the U.S. Under-18 Team
Theresa: The future stars of tomorrow can sometimes surprise current D-1 clubs, but I see no reason why either WCHA team should have a problem here. Both Minnesota schools win.
Tyler: Also has the Minnesota schools winning.
Hockey East picks – January 7-12
Dave remains in the witness protection program and now trails me in both the wins column and in winning percentage. Going to take a second-half rally (that and a return to society) for him to be the winner this year.
Dave last week: Did not pick
Jim last week: 4-2-1
Dave’s record-to-date: 49-21-18 (.659)
Jim’s record-to-date: 53-17-16 (.709)
Here are this week’s picks:
Friday, January 7
Providence at BC
Jim’s pick: It’s been an impressive year for the Friars thus far but BC, with its World Junior players back, should win this one.
BC 5, PC 3
Northeastern at UMass
Jim’s pick: Both of these teams were beginning to look decent heading into break. I think home ice will be the deciding factor.
UMass 3, NU 2
Massachusetts-Lowell at New Hampshire
Jim’s pick: Lowell is picking the wrong time to play a UNH team ticked off at its loss to St. Lawrence.
UNH 6, UML 2
Saturday, January 8
Boston College at Providence
Jim’s pick: Eagles finish the sweep on the road.
BC 3, PC 2 (OT)
Maine at Merrimack
Jim’s pick: Promised I wouldn’t pick against Merrimack at home until they lost. Well, they did just that against NU and now, suddenly, I’m picking against the Warriors again.
Maine 4, MC 2
New Hampshire at Massachusetts
Jim’s pick: Even though UMass often gives UNH fits, I’m going with the Wildcats in this one.
UNH 4, UMass 3
Massachusetts-Lowell at Northeastern
Jim’s pick: Huskies get back in the win column
NU 5, UML 2
Sunday, January 9
Boston University at Vermont
Jim’s pick: It’s about time for BU to begin its rebound from its holiday tournament letdown.
BU 3, UVM 1
Wednesday, January 12
Boston University at Merrimack
Jim’s pick: Here’s my upset pick of the week, even if the upset is a minor one.
MC 4, BU 3
Revisiting the 25, Part II – The East
…and we’re back.
So yesterday, I looked at 11 players from the CCHA and WCHA that I’d identified before the season as Hobey Baker contenders, and narrowed them down to 6 potential finalists, with one or two who could contend for the award.
Now, it’s over to the east, and the 14 players from Atlantic Hockey, ECAC Hockey and Hockey East that I thought worth keeping an eye on before the season.
Jacques Lamoureux, SR, F, Air Force – Lamoureux was the nation’s leading goal-scorer and a Hobey Baker finalist two years ago, and that generally commands a bit of attention before every season that follows. This season, however, he has just five goals and 10 assists in 17 games. That does put him among the top 100 scorers in the country, and Air Force is contending again in Atlantic Hockey, but I think that we’ve more or less heard the last of him as a Hobey contender.
Cory Conacher, SR, F, Canisius – Conacher was No. 2 in the nation in points per game a year ago, and when he started the season with a hat trick at Western Michigan, it looked like he was going to pick up where he left off. At mid-season, though, he’s 59th in the country in points per game with an even 18 points in 18 games. That’s a solid season for the Golden Griffins, who are tied for fourth in Atlantic Hockey, but again, it’s not going to impress Hobey voters.
Chase Polacek, SR, F, Rensselaer – Polacek was the nation’s No. 6 scorer last season, and made the laudable decision to return for his senior year. It was uncertain how the early departures of Jerry D’Amigo and Brandon Pirri would affect Polacek. As it turns out, Polacek’s points-per-game average (1.39) is higher than it was at the end of last season (1.33), although his goal-scoring has dropped. He’s 15th in the nation in PPG right now, and I think that if RPI continues to play well and make a run at returning to the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 1995, Polacek’s stock will rise. He remains a player well worth keeping an eye on.
Broc Little, SR, F, Yale – Before the season, I wrote “Keep your eye on Little first, but don’t be surprised to see a number of Yale forwards earn consideration.” I think that turned out to be a solid call, although I certainly didn’t expect Yale to have four of the nation’s top seven scorers. Little, however, is the goal-scorer – to the tune of 12 in 13 games for a national-best average of .92 goals per game – and it’s pretty clear that as the top scorer on the nation’s No. 1 team, Little is a serious contender for the Hobey.
Cam Atkinson, JR, F, Boston College – Speaking of goal-scorers, Atkinson is fifth in the country in goals per game at .83 (15 goals in 18 games), and No. 12 in overall points per game. His six goals in last year’s NCAA Tournament en route to a national championship told us to keep an eye on him this year, and he hasn’t disappointed. As the leading scorer for a Boston College team that is once again a top squad in Hockey East and a national contender, Atkinson is a very likely Hobey finalist, but after that, the outlook is murky. When you think about players like Brian Gionta, Nathan Gerbe, Chris Collins, Pat Eaves and other BC forwards who have had similar success under Jerry York, you can’t help but wonder if BC’s playing style – which enables this kind of scoring – works against those forwards when the votes are counted. Will Atkinson do what those others didn’t and hoist the Hobey? Stay tuned.
Brian Gibbons, SR, F, Boston College – Gibbons was on the Hockey East First Team last season, not Atkinson, but as we know, Hobey Likes Goals. Gibbons has lit the lamp 10 times this season as part of his 25 points, but Atkinson is ahead of him in both goals and overall points, and that makes him BC’s leading contender for the Hobey. I think Gibbons has a chance at a finalist nod of his own, but I’d expect to see BC’s eggs go into the Atkinson basket when it comes time to promote Hobey contenders. A return to the Hockey East First Team is quite possibly in the cards, not to mention All-American honors, but when it comes to the Hobey, Atkinson is BC’s man.
Gustav Nyquist, JR, F, Maine – Nyquist, to his credit, had announced his return to Orono before the Hobey ceremony last year, and there’s no doubt that the Black Bears are glad to have him back. They’re fourth in Hockey East and contending for a return to the NCAA Tournament, but Nyquist has not been the same prolific scorer that he was a year ago. Six goals and 16 assists is nothing to shake a stick at, but in terms of the Hobey race, it’s not going to impress. Nyquist is worth keeping an eye on in the second half for a possible finalist berth if he and the Black Bears turn it on, but it’ll take some doing.
Stephane Da Costa, SO, F, Merrimack – I went to watch Da Costa myself when the Warriors played Army last week, and watching him, it’s hard to believe that he only has 12 assists this season. His passes are crisp, and often creative, and he’s clearly legit. Unfortunately, he’s not going to make much of a move in the Hobey race sitting 34th in the country in points per game, although again, if he and the Warriors make a move in the second half, there’s an outside chance that Merrimack could have its first Hobey finalist.
Evan Stephens, SR, D, Dartmouth – This is one pick that just plain hasn’t worked out. It’s not that Stephens is doing anything badly, it’s just that he’s not scoring all that much. He’s got two goals and four assists in 13 games for a Dartmouth team that’s having an okay year. I said before the season that he had an outside chance at a finalist berth if the breaks went his way, and they haven’t.
Taylor Fedun, SR, D, Princeton – Fedun is having a very fine year with the Tigers. He’s No. 8 in the country in defenseman scoring, while the Tigers are 10-5-1 and contending for an NCAA tournament berth. Does it translate to a Hobey finalist nod? Only if Princeton makes it back to the NCAAs, and maybe not even then. Still, he’s doing exactly what they need him to do.
Jeff Dimmen, SR, D, Maine – Dimmen hasn’t played since November 19 due to an ankle injury, but even before he was sidelined, Dimmen had not enjoyed the kind of success he did in his junior season, when he scored 12 goals and handed out 18 assists. He could prove a valuable contributor down the stretch for the Black Bears – which I’m sure is what really matters to him – but the whole possibility of a Hobey finalist bid really didn’t work out.
Blake Kessel, JR, D, New Hampshire – Ask Kessel, and I’m sure he’ll say that the important thing is that New Hampshire is tied for the Hockey East lead, and in contention for a top seed in the NCAA Tournament (and while play regional games at Verizon Wireless Arena in Manchester if and when they make the tournament). However, he’s another blueliner who hasn’t delivered on his scoring promise this season. He’s having a good enough year, with three goals and nine assists in 17 games, but I don’t see him in the Hobey picture at all. Could he turn it on in the second half? Sure. Would he be able to get into the Hobey picture? I doubt it. Does it matter to him? Probably not.
Allen York, JR, G, Rensselaer – I think it’s safe to say that this one has worked out so far. Second in the nation in goals-against average, sixth in save percentage, playing for an RPI team that’s seventh in the Pairwise and making a strong bid to return to the NCAA tournament for the first time in 16 years. He stopped 28 of 29 shots in a win over Boston University, and stopped 20 of 23 shots in 4-2 loss to Yale. That last stat might not sound terribly impressive, but when you consider that the .869 save percentage in that game is a good bit higher than the .855 that opposing goaltenders average against Yale, it adds a bit more context. Look for York to make a strong push for Hobey finalist consideration during the second half of the season. Whether he gets more than that remains to be seen, but given goalies’ history with the Hobey, it doesn’t look good.
Keith Kinkaid, SO, G, Union – Kinkaid has been solid for a Union team that is contending again in ECAC Hockey and looking for that elusive first NCAA Tournament bid. Solid, but not spectacular. Of course, Kinkaid and the Dutchmen have 16 of their 22 ECAC Hockey games left to play, so there’s time for him to make a push, but I see him as a finalist at best.
So, in the East, we have a couple of true contenders out of my preseason list in Atkinson and Little, some strong finalist candidates in guys like Gibbons, York and Polacek, and a bunch of outside chances.
All I can say is that this definitely beats “casting” for roles.
ECAC East/NESCAC Game Predictions – 1/7 – 1/12/2011
The holidays are over and now it’s moving time. Moving as in up or down in the league standings as it’s back to conference play this weekend in January. Four points on the line and each of them very valuable based on happenings in both conferences so far this season. Time to get it going boys!
Picks are just on the plus side of .500 and with another 28 games to pick this week hopefully the percentages go up a bit.
Last Week - 11-11-5
Overall Record - 45-44-11 (.505)
Winners in bold
Friday, January 7, 2011
Bowdoin @ Norwich – The Cadets are coming off two sub-par performances against Manhattanville and Plattsburgh. Bowdoin and their offense won’t make it any easier for the Cadets – Bowdoin 4, Norwich 3.
Colby @ St. Michael’s – Colby seems to play much better when they are not at home so this road trip may be a welcome event – Colby 4, St. Mike’s 1.
Castleton @ Trinity – After a weekend of ties, the Bantams would like to discover two points but this isn’t the team to expect it from. The Spartans top line will get attention from the Bantams so look for some other scorers in green – Castleton 4, Trinity 2.
Skidmore @ Wesleyan – Both of these teams want to pick it up in the second half and this one may be just the basic formula of who wants it more. Skidmore does – Skidmore 4, Wesleyan 1.
Conn College @ UMass-Boston – A new year for the Beacons who want to put the Codfish Bowl and 2010’s last game behind them. Nothing better than a first win in 2011 to start things off – UMB 5, Conn Coll 3.
Tufts @ Babson- Paging Dr. Jekyll, paging Dr. Hyde… Who knows which one of these teams will show up with their A game as both had seen promising glimpses but not enough to be consistently in the win column. With or without Barchard in goal, the Jumbos have the jump – Tufts 3, Babson 2.
Middlebury@ Hamilton – Interesting match-up of teams trying to really rev it up and move up in the league standings. Hamilton has played well in the New Year but so have the deeper and more experienced Panthers – Middlebury 3, Hamilton 1.
Williams @ Amherst – This may be the match-up of the weekend for a lot of reasons. Williams has not played since the break so this is the first time out in 2011 and against a tough team. The Ephs haven’t given up more than a goal a game average but do here – Williams 3, Amherst 2.
St. Anselm @ Southern Maine – The Huskies certainly have some firepower and this one could be a pretty wide open affair on the big sheet. It comes down to one big save and USM gets it – USM 5, St. A’s 4.
NEC@ UNE – If someone, anyone other than a Uola scores for NEC then this game should be a lock. Meanwhile not many people have stopped Niko Uola this year and UNE won’t either – NEC 4, UNE 2.
Saturday, January 8, 2011
Bowdoin @ St. Michael’s – The Polar Bears won’t let down here as they stay right in Williams’ rear view mirror. Bowdoin 6, St. Mike’s 2.
Colby @ Norwich – Don’t know and can’t remember the last time the Cadets dropped three in a row and definitely not three in a row at home – Norwich 4, Colby 2.
Castleton@ Wesleyan – The Spartans won’t take their foot of the gas on the road and Wesleyan already has trouble in the goal scoring department – Castleton 5, Wesleyan 2.
Skidmore @ Trinity – A home split for the Bantams isn’t great but certainly beats no points on the weekend. Another close affair in Hartford – Trinity 3, Skidmore 1.
Tufts @ UMB – This is a backyard brawl that will see special teams be a big part of the outcome. Would predict a tie here but think a lucky bounce throws it to the Jumbos – Tufts 4, UMB 3.
Conn College @ Babson – Splits seem to be the call in a lot of rinks and that is not hedging any bets on my part. Competition is just that close and little things make the difference. Terry Woods is the difference here – Babson 5, Conn Coll 3.
Middlebury @ Amherst – Two teams that always seem to have a tight battle and the magic number seems to be 4. Whoever can score that usually wins but no one gets there on Saturday – Amherst 3, Middlebury 2.
Williams @ Hamilton – This is likely the trap game of the weekend just based on the schedule and travel from Friday. That said if you can’t score on them you can’t beat them – Williams 2, Hamilton 1.
NEC @ USM – The second half is traditionally where Jeff Beaney’s team kicks it into gear. A four point weekend has them on the right path – USM 5, NEC 3.
St. Anselm @ UNE – League play continues to plague the Nor’easters who are getting more competitive every time out but close isn’t good enough here – St. A’s 5, UNE 3.
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Babson @ Suffolk – A mid-week non-conference game is just what the Beavers need to start a second half winning streak – Babson 5, Suffolk 1.
Castleton @ Potsdam – An easy one to look past for the Spartans but this team seems to be all business every time out on the ice and Coach Todd is loving it – Castleton 4, Potsdam 1.
Fitchburg State @ NEC – The Pilgrims have been very inconsistent and Fitchburg will bring a very physical presence to the game. Robert Vorse has been out with a concussion but Bobby Leiser has been a very solid replacement in the Falcon net. No easy ones for NEC – FSU 4, NEC 3.
Hamilton @ Amherst – This travel partner game definitely finds the advantage with the home team based on not having to take the long bus trip and find their legs. Always close but Cole Anderson is the difference maker here – Amherst 4, Hamilton 2.
Conn College @ WNEC – Here the road team just has too much depth for the Golden Bears. Andrew Margolin has proved to be pretty consistent in goal for the Camels and he shines in this one – Conn Coll 5, WNEC 2.
Johnson & Wales @ Tufts - This is a rivalry game that goes back to old ECAC days and still plays like a conference game. The Jumbos are the more talented team and it shows here – Tufts 6, J&W 1.
Trinity @ Westfield State – Wins against any team can help to build some momentum so the Bantams aren’t likely to take this trip to Massachusetts lightly. Frustrations from the weekend go away here – Trinity 5, Westfield State 1.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Franklin Pierce @ UNE – The Nor’easters have shown steady improvement and have had their best successes this season against other ECAC Northeast and NE-10 teams. The storyline is similar in this one – UNE 5, Franklin Pierce 4.
We are back to the full grind of the season. Teams looking to avoid the injury bug, flu bug, travel issues, weather issues and overall just about anything that would have an impact on not playing their best every time out. The race is on and January is where we start separating the contenders from the pretenders.
4 points up for grabs – drop the puck!
AHA picks 1/7
It’s all two game series this weekend with some AHA teams looking to slay some Goliaths.
Friday, January 7 and Saturday, January 8
RIT at Army – Neither the Tigers nor the Black Knights usually come away with four points in series played at West Point, and I think this weekend will be no exception. RIT 3, Army 2; Army 2, RIT 1.
Niagara at Holy Cross – Holy Cross is winless in its last seven games, while Niagara has been off since Dec. 11. But I like the Purples Eagles to shake the rust off and pick up a road sweep. Niagara 5, Holy Cross 3; Niagara 4, Holy Cross 2.
Air Force at Sacred Heart – This is a rematch of last year’s AHA semifinals, where the Pioneers came out on top. But Air Force is clearly the better team so far this season. Saturday’s game will be played at the Arena at Harbor Yard in Bridgeport, where the Falcons played in a memorable NCAA Regional two years ago. Air Force 4, Sacred Heart 2; Air Force 5, Sacred Heart 2.
Mercyhurst at Connecticut – I’ve been picking against the Huskies a lot this season, and they’ve been making me look bad. I keep waiting for Mercyhurst to pull things together offensively, and it looks like it may be happening after some high scoring games of late. . But I’m not going against UConn at home. UConn 3, Mercyhurst 2; UConn 4, Mercyhurst 3.
AIC at Minnesota State – The Mavs are tough at home and should prevail. Minnesota State 4, AIC 2; Minnesota State 5, AIC 3.
Robert Morris at North Dakota – The Colonials have had the most success of any AHA team out of the league, but I don’t think they’ll be able to steal a win at the Ralph. North Dakota 4, Robert Morris 2; North Dakota 5, Robert Morris 2.
Canisius at Wisconsin – Another tall order for an AHA team, and the Griffs have had trouble scoring goals. Wisconsin 5, Canisius 2; Wisconsin 5, Canisius 3.
Guest Analyst
The guest picker is back after a holiday break. Next up is Eric Richardson, who does color for AIC’s radio broadcasts. Here are his picks, in his own words:
RIT @ Army
While Army is a good team, RIT’s stats are much higher, I predict a sweep
by RIT. 3-1, 4-2
Niagara @ Holy Cross
This is a good matchup, and I predict a split, Holy Cross in the first
game, Niagara in the second.
2-0, 3-1
Air Force @ Sacred Heart
Air Force is flying high, and I think they will sweep the series. 5-1, 4-0.
Mercyhurst @ Connecticut
Mercyhurst hasn’t won an conference game since they played Sacred Heart,
and I believe that will continue. I predict that the Huskies will sweep
them
3-2, 3-0
American International @ Minnesota State
I think this will be an interesting matchup, I think AIC will be able to
pull an Air Force style upset the first game, and then Minn. State will
get angry at them. Split.
AIC 3-1, MN 5-0
Robert Morris @ North Dakota
North Dakota is absolutely hot this season, and I think they will defeat
RMU for a sweep
5-2, 4-3
Canisius @ Wisconsin
Wisconsin is a better team this year, but I think Canisius might surprise
them. I think this will be a split
3-2 CAN, 4-1 WIS
Saves For A Cure
Todd Sheridan’s playing days at Brockport may be over, but that hasn’t slowed him down when it comes to his charitable foundation, Saves For A Cure. In fact, he is expanding the effort.
A cancer survivor himself, he got a second chance to play college hockey as the goaltender for Brockport. He rewarded the team with some of the best hockey years ever seen at the school. He didn’t forget about his illness, especially those of the children he saw going through treatment.
“These kids are some of the toughest people I have ever met,” Sheridan, who is now the goalie coach at Brockport, said.
Thus, he started Saves For A Cure, not just to help battle cancer, but to help ease the experience as much as possible for children fighting the disease. He got people and companies to pledge money for each save Brockport goalies made. For the past two years, a game at Brockport was designated to raise funds. Special uniforms were made up, and they were auctioned off afterwards.
Now, Sheridan has gotten other teams to commit to the effort. This year, there will be three SUNYAC schools who will host a Saves For A Cure game, wearing special uniforms to be auctioned off. Naturally, Brockport is one of them, which will be on January 29 vs. Neumann. Morrisville has also signed on for their February 5 game against Plattsburgh.
First up is Oswego this weekend on January 8, as they host Curry. It’s no surprise Oswego jumped on board as their assistant coach, Mark Digby, used to play with Sheridan at Brockport. Digby then became the assistant coach for the Golden Eagles before moving to Oswego.
“With the help of the Oswego Athletic Department and coaching staff, assistant coach Mark Digby made this early expansion of Saves For A Cure happen,” Sheridan said.
Bids are already being accepted for the auction(/), and so far every gold jersey has at least one bid. Bidding ends at 6:00 p.m. on January 9, with the winners announced the next morning.
Game of the Week
Obviously, off the ice, the Oswego Saves For A Cure game against Curry is the Game of the Week. Even on the ice, the game is intriguing. Curry has a bunch of new transfers this semester, and even though they did not fare well against Plattsburgh, the more they gel, the better they should get. I still see Oswego winning this game, but it could be interesting.
On the ice, I like two contests. The first is this Friday and once again provides us another look at Adrian against a team outside the MCHA and outside of the West Region. The Bulldogs travel to Buffalo State. The Bengals have lost three in a row and haven’t won in their last four, but two of those losses were close contests against Utica.
Buffalo State is still a much improved team over last year, and Kevin Carr is still the real deal as the freshman goaltender. However, being a young team, they will have their ups and downs as the season goes along. I expect Buffalo State to break out of their slump and beat Adrian, but it won’t be easy.
The other game is Saturday, and consists of the old bitter rivalry between Elmira and Plattsburgh. This series has way too much history to go into now. However, with all sorts of rumors concerning league realignment and Utica already applying to the SUNYAC, this game takes on a certain ironic twist to it.
After all, it was an incident many years ago down in Elmira that was the final straw for the SUNYAC to once and for all completely breakaway from the ECAC West. Could we see down the road these teams once again together in a new New York State super league? Or will the wedge between these conferences get dug in deeper up in Plattsburgh Saturday night?
The Cardinals have been playing extremely well lately, but so has Elmira. This is a tossup. Since I know my esteemed colleague, Scott Biggar, will most likely pick Elmira, I’ll have to play the bias role also, and stick with the SUNYAC team to take this showdown.
Slew of Nonconference Games
Since the last time we checked back in early December, I went 13-3 in the games I picked, for a season total of 43-16-4 (.714)
There are a whole bunch, a whole bunch, of nonconference games this week. Sixteen in total, and that’s just through Tuesday. So, let’s run through the rest of the games quickly.
First the weekend contests. Geneseo will sweep Franklin Pierce. Neumann will sweep Potsdam.
Manhattanville will sweep their SUNYAC opponents, first beating Cortland and then taking Morrisville.
Brockport and Western New England will split their two games. Cortland will lose to Utica while Fredonia will drop their game to Hobart.
On Tuesday, Castleton will beat Potsdam, Hobart will beat Buffalo State, and Elmira will beat Fredonia. However, if I had to take an upset special, it would be Fredonia beating Elmira.