It’s coming down to the nitty gritty, as they say. We have quarterfinal action in five of the conferences and the final regular season action in the Big Ten. We have a lot of ramifications in terms of what would happen depending upon which teams win series this weekend.
From a general overall view, things are going to get pretty boring if all the home teams win each series this weekend. What will be in doubt will be seedings next weekend, but there will be a lot of suspense gone should all the home teams win.
Let’s take a look at what I’m talking about. We have a lot of series where we have a team which seems entrenched in the top 12 of the PairWise Rankings playing teams that are on the bubble. Let’s take a look conference by conference.
ECAC
Cornell at Quinnipiac
Dartmouth at Yale
Rensselaer at Harvard
All of these series have a home team in the top 11, and Quinnipiac and Yale are pretty solid, while Harvard is also pretty much there. A series win by Cornell, Dartmouth or Rensselaer will push them further toward the top 13 with a chance next weekend to take the autobid or a possible at-large spot.
Should the home teams all win, Cornell, Dartmouth and Rensselaer will end their seasons.
The other series is Clarkson at St. Lawrence, two teams on the bubble. The winner stays alive for both the autobid and a possible at-large, while the loser finishes its season.
NCHC
Omaha at Denver
Omaha is in free-fall mode at the moment. The only way to stay in the hunt for an NCAA spot is to win the series this weekend. Denver is pretty solid.
Miami at Minnesota-Duluth
UMD just slipped into the last at-large spot in the latest PWR, but I think it’s safe to say that the losing team here is done. Miami most likely needs to win it all, while UMD can go into next weekend with a chance at an at-large bid.
Colorado College at North Dakota
Western Michigan at St. Cloud State
Upset wins here would give CC and Western Michigan a chance at an autobid, but that’s it. North Dakota and St. Cloud are in, but losses might jeopardize No. 1 seeds.
Hockey East
Boston University at Massachusetts-Lowell
The loser of this series has to sit and wait. So we’ll be talking about the loser next week, that’s for sure. The winner can write their ticket.
Northeastern at Notre Dame
Northeastern has risen up the PWR, but a win is the only way to stay alive. Notre Dame is pretty safe.
Vermont at Boston College
Merrimack at Providence
Vermont and Merrimack need to win it all. Losses by BC or Providence knock them out of the running for a No. 1 seed.
WCHA
Michigan Tech and Minnesota State are the only teams left with a chance at an at-large, and Minnesota State’s chances are slim for even that.
It looks like in order for the WCHA to get two teams into the tournament, Michigan Tech needs to lose the championship game.
Atlantic Hockey
The winner of the tournament will be a 14, 15 or 16 seed.
Big Ten
Ohio State at Michigan State
See you Thursday for the Big Ten tournament.
Penn State at Michigan
Wisconsin at Minnesota
Michigan looks in. But Penn State and Minnesota have shots at at-large bids should they not win the tournament. It will be interesting to see how these games play out this weekend and who winds up with the byes in the tournament next week.
Summing it all up
Things could get a lot less interesting next week should all the home teams win their series this coming weekend. But this is college hockey, where anything and everything will happen.
Dan Renouf played three seasons at Maine and will not return for his senior year after signing with the NHL’s Detroit Red Wings (photo: Shelley M. Szwast).
The Detroit Red Wings have signed Maine junior defenseman Dan Renouf to a two-year, entry-level contract, beginning with the 2016-17 season.
Renouf has also signed an amateur tryout with the AHL’s Grand Rapids Griffins, where he will report for the remainder of the 2015-16 season.
Renouf recently completed his junior season with the Black Bears, leading the team’s defensemen and tying for fifth overall with 15 points (six goals, nine assists) in 38 games.
In three NCAA seasons, Renouf notched 38 points (10 goals, 28 assists), a plus-14 rating and 72 penalty minutes in 111 games. The Pickering, Ont., native was a Maine Scholar-Athlete Award winner after the 2014-15 campaign and was named to the Hockey East All-Academic Team as a freshman in 2013-14.
Michigan Tech goalie Jamie Phillips carries a 3.52 GPA and will soon begin medical school in his native Canada (photo: Rachel Lewis).
The WCHA announced its year-end award winners on Thursday and also unveiled three All-WCHA Teams and an All-Rookie Team.
Michigan Tech senior co-captain Alex Petan, who led the league in scoring during conference play, was named WCHA Player of Year and Scoring Champion. Minnesota State junior Casey Nelson was tabbed the Defensive Player of the Year, while Ferris State forward Corey Mackin — the coaches’ preseason nod — earned Rookie of the Year honors.
Michigan Tech senior goaltender Jamie Phillips, a finalist for the Senior CLASS Award, was named Outstanding Student-Athlete of the Year. After leading the Huskies to a share of the league championship for the first time in 40 years, Michigan Tech bench boss Mel Pearson was recognized as Coach of the Year for the second time.
Minnesota State freshman Cole Huggins was also named Goaltending Champion, but was not named to an All-WCHA Team of the All-Rookie Team.
It’s the last weekend of regular-season play. It’s not the last weekend, however, for Drew Claussen and me to predict how B1G teams will fare.
Last week
Drew: 2-4-0 (.333)
Paula: 2-4-0 (.333)
Season
Drew: 74-51-18 (.580)
Paula: 75-50-18 (.587)
This week
Last weekend was a weekend of missed opportunities for the top three Big Ten teams. While it’s possible for Michigan to finish ahead of Minnesota when all is said and done, it’s unlikely given that the first-place Gophers play the last-place Badgers. It is entirely possible, though, for third-place Penn State to overtake second-place Michigan. It’s also possible for fifth-place Michigan State to sweep Ohio State and tie the Buckeyes in points at the end of the season and take the tiebreaker to finish fourth.
A single win by Minnesota gives the Gophers their third consecutive Big Ten regular-season championship.
A single win by Michigan gives the Wolverines a second-place finish and a first-round bye for the Big Ten championship tournament next weekend.
A single win by Ohio State would secure fourth place for the Buckeyes.
A single win by Michigan State would do nothing for the Spartans in the standings, but would bolster their confidence as they face off against Ohio State again next weekend in St. Paul, Minn.
A single win by Wisconsin would give the Badgers three B1G wins this season, one more than they had in 2014-15.
Ohio State at Michigan State
Drew: Not much to be determined here, except maybe what color jerseys each team wears when they face off at the Big Ten Tournament. I’m sure both teams, and their fan bases, would take getting swept this weekend if it meant that they would get a win on Thursday in St. Paul.
Ohio State is coming off of an impressive sweep of Michigan. The Buckeyes finally won a close game on Sunday and I think they will be one of the more dangerous teams that has to play three games at the tournament. They made it to the finals in the first year of the Big Ten Tournament and it wouldn’t surprise me if they made another run. Ohio State can score with anyone; the problem is that the Buckeyes are also prone to letting a lot of pucks into their own net. Michigan State had a nice rebound win against Minnesota on Saturday and will try to keep that home magic going. Jake Hildebrand got the shutout last Saturday and the Spartans will need him to do his best brick wall impression to do well the rest of the way.
Paula: The Buckeyes scored 13 goals last weekend against the Wolverines and were rewarded for it — a nice change of pace for OSU after having scored 11 against Michigan in December and only earning two points for the effort. Ohio State has averaged six goals per game in its last five contests, all against B1G teams that can give up a lot of goals — Penn State, Wisconsin, Michigan — but allowed 4.4 goals on average in those games. In that stretch, OSU is 4-0-1. The Spartans are averaging 3.2 goals per game in their last five while allowing 2.0 goals, with a record of 3-1-1 in that span.
The Spartans and Buckeyes split a pair of one-goal games (one with an ENG) in Columbus at the end of January. Michigan State is 4-3-3 in its last 10 against Ohio State, and the Spartans were 3-1-0 against the Buckeyes last season. Games are at 7:00 p.m. Friday and Saturday night and are untelevised.
Drew’s picks: Ohio State 5-2, Michigan State 3-2. Paula’s picks: Ohio State 4-2, Michigan State 4-2.
Penn State at Michigan
Drew: Missed opportunities for each of these teams last weekend. Michigan missed out on the opportunity to keep the pressure on Minnesota when the Wolverines got swept by Ohio State. Penn State missed out on making this series very, very interesting when it couldn’t solve Wisconsin’s Matt Jurusik in the third period of Saturday’s loss to the Badgers. A win there would have meant that both of these teams would have come into the weekend with 35 points. As it stands, Penn State needs a sweep or a win and a shootout win to jump Michigan this weekend. The Wolverines swept Penn State when the two played earlier this season. The first game of that series was a home game for PSU with the second being a neutral-site contest at Madison Square Garden.
I see this one going as a split. Ohio State had to have been a wake-up call for Michigan and the Wolverines will want to get on a roll heading into the playoffs. I think Penn State is good enough to capture a win this weekend, but I can’t see the Nittany Lions going into Ann Arbor and sweeping.
Paula: The Nittany Lions came from behind against Wisconsin last weekend in that 4-3 loss, scoring two late in the third period but — as Drew said — Jurusik was the difference, as PSU put up 49 shots on goal to UW’s 26 in that contest. If the Nittany Lions do the same this weekend, the Wolverines’ team defense may be exposed again. During the second period of their 7-4 loss to Ohio State last Friday, the Wolverines played horribly — there is no other word for it. While the Buckeyes won both of those games outright, the Wolverines did very little to further their cause.
After their losses last weekend, the Wolverines slipped from sixth to a tie for eighth in the PairWise Rankings. After their single loss to Wisconsin, though, the Nittany Lions officially became a team no longer under consideration; while still on the PWR bubble, Penn State now ties Minnesota for 17th in the PWR, so the Nittany Lions know that they need to win the Big Ten championship outright to get their first invitation to the NCAA tournament. Besting the Wolverines in points this weekend would help them tremendously in St. Paul.
Michigan knows, though, that a loss to Penn State will hurt the Wolverines’ chances to go to the NCAA tournament as well. This is the first Michigan team that I’ve covered in 21 years of college hockey reporting that has no NCAA tournament experience. While a first-time bid for PSU’s program is a mighty motivator, the Wolverines will be no less motivated — especially since this the last year of Red Berenson’s contract. Games are at 7:30 p.m. on Friday and Saturday night, and each game is carried by Comcast Cable.
Drew’s picks: Michigan 5-3, Penn State 3-1. Paula’s picks: Michigan 5-4, 5-4.
In two ways this weekend’s series will be similar; Minnesota has a chance to lock up the regular-season championship for its conference and the Gophers play Wisconsin. It’s just not the same, though. Wisconsin is terrible and has been for two seasons now. While the Gophers are leading the conference, their play hasn’t been great this year either. Minnesota has been downright bad at times.
Oh, and that loud arena. I’m sure attendance will be announced as more than 9,000, but I’d be surprised if the building is more than 75 percent full.
Minnesota killed Wisconsin when the two teams played at Kohl Center and there’s no reason to predict anything but a Gophers sweep this time around. Which, of course, means that the Badgers will sweep.
Paula: Both of these teams surprised me this season. Minnesota’s young team is loaded with talent, but the Gophers’ season-long learning curve wasn’t something that I expected. Conversely, I am impressed with how hard the Badgers play. At the start of the season, coach Mike Eaves said that his seniors would be motivated by “redemption” in 2015-16. That attempt at redemption hasn’t shown up on the wins and losses ledger, but the Badgers work hard as consistently as they can. I know that fans of each team are frustrated, but both the Gophers and Badgers have been interesting to watch for reasons beyond their numbers this season.
All of that having been said, I think Minnesota sweeps this weekend, too. Friday’s 7:00 p.m. start is carried by ESPNews and Saturday’s 7:00 p.m. game is televised by the Big Ten Network.
Here’s a look at the ECAC Hockey quarterfinal series:
No. 1 Quinnipiac vs. Cornell
A matchup that had a lot of potential in January now seems to have lost a little bit of its luster. Cornell struggled down the stretch, finishing with a 15-9-7 regular season record before defeating Union in two games in the ECAC’s first round. What hurt the Big Red was a seven-game winless stretch in late January that put them back down in the middle of the pack. Quinnipiac, however, has kept its top position in college hockey since just after the new year. With a weekend off, the Bobcats should come into this weekend’s series well rested and hungry to start playing games that matter — as long as they live up to all the hype. Quinnipiac is 1-0-1 against Cornell this season, with a 5-4 victory on Nov. 7 and a 2-2 tie on Feb. 5.
For a team that has been a model of inconsistency this season, Clarkson has certainly turned it around at the right time. The Golden Knights finished their season with impressive wins over Harvard and Dartmouth, carrying that momentum over into the playoffs with two decisive wins over Princeton. As much success as St. Lawrence has had this season, the Saints might be the easiest target out of the four ECAC teams that have yet to play a playoff series this season. St. Lawrence has gone 1-2-1 in its last four games, including losses to Yale and Harvard. With Clarkson coming in with momentum, the Saints will need to take control of this series and early. Either way, this may turn into a dog fight.
Picks: Clarkson 4, St. Lawrence 2
St. Lawrence 5, Clarkson 2
St. Lawrence 2, Clarkson 1, OT
No. 2 Yale vs. Dartmouth
Yale will open its postseason against a team that seemingly came out of nowhere in the second half of the regular season. Dartmouth was down and out before storming back into the playoff conversation. That momentum was solidified with an opening-round thriller against Colgate in double overtime, sending the Big Green into the second round. Unfortunately for the comeback kids, this season hasn’t been kind against Yale in the season series. The Bulldogs have beaten up on Dartmouth twice this season — once on Nov. 7, a 4-2 win, and once on Feb. 5, a 5-1 win. But as the story lines usually go, pressure is on the higher seeded team to finish its business.
Picks: Yale 5, Dartmouth 3
Yale 3, Dartmouth 1
No. 3 Harvard vs. Rensselaer
These two teams have met fairly recently, a 2-1 win for RPI on Feb. 12. Given Harvard’s finish to the regular season, it’s hard to imagine this series turning into anything other than a wire-to-wire race. The Crimson enter the postseason winners of three of their last five, which followed a tough three-game losing streak against Yale, Northeastern and RPI, all in which Harvard scored one goal each. Offensively, Harvard has had its question marks: Some nights it’ll score one goal, the next it’ll score seven. With that kind of offensive inconsistency, RPI might be able to give Jimmy Vesey and the Crimson a run for their money.
Just 11 teams remain at the D-III level and all have the desire to win that coveted NCAA title.
This year, the schedule breaks down more favorably for those teams playing first-round games as the mid-week games are all moved to Saturday with the quarterfinals to follow a week later. That means some welcome rest and healing for teams coming off tough conference playoffs and a chance to recharge before going after the next big thing.
Picks – Tim Costello
Last week’s championship-round picks went 5-2-0 (.714) with a pair of top seeds being toppled on home ice counting for the losses. That brings the season record to 70-36-10 (.647) and with just three games on the docket on Saturday, I am looking for a clean sweep.
Saturday, March 12
Massachusetts-Boston @ Trinity – the Cinderella first-time Beacons travel to face the defending national champions in the first-round game on Saturday. The teams met last season with the Beacons topping the Bantams by a goal. I do believe in history repeating itself and facility guys at the Clark Center, don’t take the ice down just yet – UMB 4, Trinity 3
Salve Regina @ Geneseo – the ever-intriguing battle of offense vs. defense is showcased here, but alas, the home team can do it on both ends maybe a little better than the Seahawks, who have made every ranked opponent sweat it out. No difference in this game as both teams put on a show – Geneseo 2, Salve Regina 1
Salem State @ Williams – This one is extremely difficult to pick as both coaches are terrific as are their respective teams. The Vikings have been at this place before, but not so for the Ephs, who have been waiting to play a game for a couple of weeks. The Vikings have no rust and Marcus Zelzer steals one on the road for the visitors – Salem State 3, Williams 2
The neat thing about the final 11 teams is I believe that any one of them can string three or four wins together to take the NCAA title – drop the puck!
Picks – Brian Lester
The NCAA tournament begins this week and six teams will be in action, including reigning national champion Trinity.
Geneseo (18-4-6) vs. Salve Regina (17-10-1)
Geneseo just won its first conference crown since 2006 and is making its fifth NCAA tournament appearance. The Knights reached the final four in their last appearance.
Geneseo has won its last three and is 10-1-3 on its home ice. Stephen Collins leads the Knights in goals scored (22) and points (45). Trevor Hills has 20 goals on the year. Devin McDonald is 15-2-5 with a 2.48 GAA.
The Seahawks are in the NCAA tourney for the first time. They skate into this showdown riding a three-game win streak and goaltender Blake Wojtala is coming off back to-back shutouts. He is 13-7 on the year with a 2.17 GAA. Pat Thompson leads the scoring attack with 13 goals and has dished out five assists as well.
Geneseo, 4-2.
Williams (18-5-2) vs. Salem State (22-5)
The Ephs are making their first NCAA tournament appearance this week and are coming off their best-ever regular season in NESCAC play (14-2-2). Williams is playing well entering the tournament, winning 13 of its last 16 games.
No Williams player has scored in double digits in goals. David Italiano is the points leader with eight goals and 13 assists. Tyler Young has struck for eight goals as well to go along with 11 assists. Michael Pinios has played in 16 games in goal and is 12-3-1 with a 1.62 GAA. He has recorded two shutouts.
Salem State is one of the hottest teams in the country, having won 13 in a row, and it is in the tournament for the first time since 2014. Cam Moniz leads the Vikings with 19 goals and 10 assists. Brandon Platt is one of the team’s top playmakers, tallying 21 assists. He has scored seven goals as well. Goaltender Marcus Zelzer is 18-1 and has five shutouts to his credit.
Salem State, 5-3.
Trinity (21-5-1) vs. Massachusetts-Boston (21-4-3)
Trinity begins its quest for a second consecutive national title when it takes on UMass Boston in the opening round of the tourney. The Bantams are averaging 3.59 goals per game and were the top scoring team in the NESCAC. Anthony Sabitsky leads the offense with 12 goals and 17 assists. Goaltender Alex Morin is 14-2 on the year and owns a 1.73 GAA.
UMB is in the NCAA tournament for the first time and has won its last four games. The Beacons are averaging 4.32 goals per game. Matt Lemire leads the way offensively with 14 goals and 29 assists, while Colin Larkin has come through with 10 goals and 25 assists. A total of six players have scored 11 or more goals. Goaltender Billy Faust is 13-2-3 with two shutouts.
Tyler Motte has held without a goal for an entire weekend for the first time since Nov. 20-21 in Michigan’s losses to Ohio State (photo: Michael Dubicki).
Not much has changed in Week 2 of Hobey Watch as our top five candidates remain the same, in the same order. There was some change in order of the others receiving votes category. More on that later.
Six USCHO writers, one covering each of the Division I men’s conferences, picked their top five players nationally, with a first-place vote counting for five points, a second-place vote providing four points, and so on.
Our panel includes current and former Hobey voters.
We’ll update this weekly as the candidates’ stock rises and falls. This week, three of the five were idle due to their teams earning playoff byes, thanks in part to their contributions throughout the season.
1. Kyle Connor, Michigan
Connor picked up three more assists last weekend and continues to lead the nation in points (57).
2. Jimmy Vesey, Harvard
Vesey and the Crimson were off last week, having earned a bye in the first round of the ECAC Hockey tournament.
3. Tyler Motte, Michigan
Connor’s linemate had a pair of assists last week and remains the national leader in goals with 29.
4. Alex Lyon, Yale
Lyon also was off last week thanks to a bye in the ECAC tournament.
5. Thatcher Demko, Boston College
Boston College was idle, earning a bye in the first round of the Hockey East tournament.
Others receiving votes: Kevin Boyle, UMass-Lowell; JT Compher, Michigan; Kalle Kossila, St. Cloud State; Greg Gibson, Robert Morris; Ethan Prow, St. Cloud State; Andrew Poturalski, New Hampshire; Michael Garteig, Quinnipiac; Zac Lynch, Robert Morris.
These were the same as last week, in a slightly different order. Boyle and Gibson moved up while Garteig dropped slightly.
And finally, an update on the real Hobey voting: Ballots from the 60 Division I head coaches were due on March 4, and the results announcing the 10 nominees will be released on March 17.
Voting by the selection committee happens on March 28 and 29, with the Hobey Hat Trick announced on March 31.
The winner will be announced on April 8 at a ceremony at the Tampa Theatre during the Frozen Four.
The playoffs are here, and, as I’ve thought throughout the year, it’s a wide-open race for the Broadmoor Trophy. Based on the way teams have defended and tended goal this season, as well as the vast number of low-scoring, one-goal games (not to mention the ties, dear God, the ties!), it would not shock me if any of these eight teams somehow get to Grand Rapids and keep things rolling from there. Having said that, yeah, I picked all the home teams to move on, but I also picked three of the series to go to a third game on Sunday. Honestly, there are few outcomes that would truly surprise me this weekend. On to the picks!
Alaska at Michigan Tech
Shane: Congratulations, Huskies, on your first MacNaughton Cup title in 40 years and the No. 1 seed for the league playoffs! Your reward? Only the team that mounted a furious comeback against you in one game and took you to overtime in your barn two weeks ago. Sure, you won those games, but now the Nanooks have their best player, Tyler Morely, back from injury. I can’t pick against Tech here, but something tells me these teams might be playing on Sunday. Huskies 4-1, Nanooks 3-2, Huskies 6-2
Jack: I agree that Tyler Morley’s return gives the Nanooks a huge advantage and a much better chance than they might have had. But I think Tech is going to take care of business this weekend. The Huskies want to get back to the NCAA Tournament and the best way to do that is to go 2-0 this weekend. I think this is going to be close, and maybe we’ll go to overtime first, but the Huskies win two. Huskies 5-6, 3-2
Lake Superior State at Minnesota State
Shane: This is a rematch of last year’s first-round series, one in which the Mavericks rolled. They haven’t been quite as prolific scoring-wise this season, except when they played Lake. Superior State in January when the outscored the visitors 13-1 in the two games. This is a good matchup for the co-champs, not so much for the young-and-improved Lakers. Mavericks 5-1, 4-2
Jack: The Lakers are a much better team than they were last year when the Mavericks outscored LSSU 13-4 in a sweep. But like you said, Shane, this was probably the worst matchup the Lakers could have gotten for a first-round playoff matchup (I’m sure they would have much preferred potential series against Tech and BG, both of which they played very closely this season). Alas, this isn’t the case. The Mavs are going back to the Final Five with relative ease. Mavericks 6-1, 4-1
Bemidji State at Bowling Green
Shane: This is an interesting matchup, as the home team has been very good in its own rink this season (10-4-5), while the road team has been very good away from home (9-5-2). There’s no other series in which the first goal of the game carries more weight. If the Beavers can get an early lead, as they did last Saturday in Mankato, look out; they know how to defend. It may not be pretty, but it’s effective. I think the Falcons eke out the win in three very physical games. Falcons 4-3, Beavers 2-1, Falcons 3-2
Jack: Not sure which team has the advantage here. The Falcons play incredibly well in their own rink and the Beavers are excellent on the road. The game could be crowded and rowdy: Although BG is on spring break, Falcon great Rob Blake is going to be paying for free student tickets to the game. Bowling Green played well against the Beavers earlier this season, but BSU is playing much better hockey right now. I think this is going to go the distance and BSU will get the win. Beavers 2-1, Falcons 3-2, Beavers 5-3
Northern Michigan at Ferris State
Shane: Who smells overtime? And lots of it? These two teams each played in 11 overtime games this season, including one against each other. This series is going to go deep into the Big Rapids night at least once, if not two or three times! With the Final Five being played just down the road, I think the Bulldogs get the slight edge, but they won’t get it until late Sunday (maybe early Monday). Bulldogs 4-3, Wildcats 3-2, Bulldogs 2-1
Shane: WCHA detractors are going to hate this series, but in the defense of Ferris and NMU, the Bulldogs did score 13 goals against the Wildcats in four games this season. They split the series (including, yes, one OT game), but I wouldn’t be surprised if this ends up going the other way in that bandbox of a rink in Big Rapids — a bunch of weird bounces and fluke goals in three high scoring (for the WCHA, anyway) games. Bulldogs 6-4, Wildcats 5-3, Bulldogs 3-2
Less than 23 percent of the teams that we’ve followed all season remain, and that sparse herd gets thinned even further on Saturday, perhaps the most dramatic day of the schedule. It can be such a crushing defeat. All year it has been everyone’s dream to play in Durham in a week, and four teams will come so agonizingly close but still be left home.
The quarterfinal round has served up some absolute classics. Marathon games that looked like they might never end have asked the participants to give everything and still demanded more. The best quarterfinal round ever played out nine years ago with three overtime games, and the only host team to advance needed four overtimes to do so.
Where to watch? NCAA.com is a good starting point, and if that proves too laborious to navigate, then go to the schedule page on the host team’s website and look for a video link.
Here are some things to note on Saturday when you do watch.
Kazmaier trio
All three finalists for the Patty Kazmaier Memorial Award will be in action on Saturday, two on the same ice at Boston College.
The day also offers a very rare opportunity to watch winners of three Kazmaiers participating in the NCAA tournament on the same day. Amanda Kessel already owns one; Alex Carpenter does as well. A week from Saturday, either Carpenter will add a second, or Kendall Coyne or Ann-Renée Desbiens will be joining the Kazmaier club.
Whose house is this?
Boston College has won both previous times it played Northeastern at Conte Forum. Obviously — it has won every time it played anyone anywhere. However, both of those wins were one-goal games until a late empty-netter. The Eagles defeated Northeastern in the two games played elsewhere by a 13-1 composite score.
The first five minutes or so have given a good indication of which script the game will follow. When BC has dominated, it took the lead quickly. In the two close games, the Huskies were the squad with the early tally.
Not much thrill for the visitors in this chase
In another game matching two teams with quite a bit of history this season, Clarkson has spent much of the first three games versus Quinnipiac playing from behind, and the Golden Knights have never led. The most one-sided of the three games is the one that stayed scoreless the longest.
Back in November, nobody tallied for the first 36 minutes and change. Once Taylar Cianfarano did score, she doubled the lead 97 seconds later and completed her hat trick just over 11 minutes after that. In the game that ended in a 2-2 tie, the Bobcats led for more than 52 minutes. On Sunday, after 18 minutes of scoreless hockey, Nicole Brown put Quinnipiac back in the driver’s seat.
Undoubtedly, the Golden Knights would like their chances if they could be the team in front for once.
Second-period barometer
Offensively, the second period has been the best period for Minnesota. The Gophers have scored 74 of their goals in the middle stanza, and that’s when they often put opponents away. They’re 28-0-0 when leading after 40 minutes. However, they’ve not won a second period in any of the five games that they failed to win. The scoreless tie had a scoreless second period, obviously. In the overtime loss at Wisconsin, each team scored twice in the second frame. In the other three losses, Minnesota was outscored by a total of 5-0 in the second periods.
How about Princeton? The Tigers don’t much seem to care. They outscore opponents by roughly two to one no matter the period. However, they are winless (0-3-2) when trailing at the second intermission.
More of the same
Such trends are even more pronounced for Wisconsin. The Badgers have won all 24 games where they’ve led after 20 minutes, and all 33 times that they’ve taken a lead into the second intermission. On the other hand, they are winless at 0-3 when trailing at either intermission. Because Wisconsin so rarely allows a goal — they have 22 shutouts in 38 games — games tend to be over once it scores.
That’s not a good sign for Mercyhurst. It has been shut out in three of its last four losses.
Saturday’s game probably comes down to who scores first. The Badgers are 32-0 when they get the first goal, but they have a losing record if they don’t. The Lakers are 14-3-1 when scoring first, and also have a losing mark if the opponent strikes first.
We’re onto the quarterfinals in every conference except the Big Ten. Below are the PairWise Rankings through games of March 6, and as you can see, there are a few changes from last week, and the projected cut line has moved.
1. North Dakota*
2. Quinnipiac*
3. St. Cloud State
4. Providence*
5. Boston College
6t. Denver
6t. Yale
8t. Michigan*
8t. Boston University
10. Notre Dame
11. Harvard
12. Massachusetts-Lowell
13. Minnesota-Duluth
14. Michigan Tech*
15. Omaha
— projected cut line —
16. Cornell
— average position for outsider to make the tournament
17t. Minnesota
17t. Penn State
19. Northeastern
20. Clarkson
21. Robert Morris*
22t. Rensselaer
22t. Miami
22t. Minnesota State
25. St. Lawrence
— lowest any team has been ranked and still qualified —
26. Bowling Green
27. Dartmouth
28. Air Force
29t. Holy Cross
29t. Union
31. Bemidji State
32. Ohio State
33. Northern Michigan
34. Ferris State
35t. Mercyhurst
35t. Vermont
37. Merrimack
38t. New Hampshire
38t. Western Michigan
40t. RIT
40t. Wisconsin
42t. Michigan State
42t. Colgate
44. Lake Superior
45t. Connecticut
45t. Army
47. Bentley
48. Brown
49t. Sacred Heart
49t. Massachusetts
51. Canisius
52. Alaska-Anchorage
53t. Colorado College
53t. Alaska
55. Maine
56. Princeton
57. Alabama-Huntsville
58. Niagara
59. Arizona State
60. American International
As Michigan Tech moved up in the rankings, the cut line is dropped to 15. Minnesota is the top team in the B1G, but I deal with the PairWise, not conference standings. For those, check out Jayson Moy’s Bracketology. Since Michigan is above the cut line, I assume they will win the conference autobid. As Minnesota is the host in St. Paul and it sets up a potential North Dakota vs. Minnesota game in the first round, there are going to be strong opinions. However, for the purposes of this writing, Minnesota — or any team below the cut line — winning a conference autobid is considered an upset.
With that out of the way, onto the historical analysis.
In the 13 previous seasons:
• The team ranked No. 1 overall as the quarterfinals began finished No. 1 overall seven times and never lower than No. 3 overall.
• The No. 2 overall team finished No. 1 five times and also has never finished lower than No. 3 overall.
• The No. 3 team finished first only once (Boston College in 2005) and in 10 seasons was a No. 1 regional seed.
• The No. 4 overall team has remained in the top four in only five seasons, and never higher than third.
• Seven times, the overall No. 5 team has moved into the top four.
Overall, the top four will remain in the top four 77 percent of the time. Put another way, the top three teams typically remain and the No. 4 and 5 teams trade places.
The worst performance by any of the top four came in 2012 when UMass-Lowell dropped from No. 3 overall all the way to No. 12 after being upset by Providence in the quarterfinals of the Hockey East tournament.
Conversely, the 2013 Notre Dame squad rose from No. 14 to finish No. 4 overall. 2012 is the only season two of the top four teams finished worse than fourth as Minnesota-Duluth joined UMass-Lowell in the exodus. No. 13 North Dakota leapt up the rankings after sweeping through the WCHA Final Five to finish fourth.
The top nine teams are statistically safe. The 2005 Dartmouth Big Green squad is the only team to drop from No. 10 entirely out of the tournament after losing to Vermont in the ECAC Hockey playoffs. Teams that are ranked 1-12 now make the tournament a whopping 94 percent of the time. Overall, 90 percent of teams above the projected cut line remain above the cut line. Only the 2010 Michigan Wolverines and 2013 Wisconsin Badgers have jumped from No. 20 or worse to land in the tournament. The bubble is getting smaller.
Looking at the schedule coming up, the opportunity still exists for teams like Clarkson and Miami to play their way in, but realistically, people should look to Cornell, Minnesota and Penn State to see a team move above that cut line.
I did pretty well last weekend in my picks, going 7-1 (.895). Evidently I forgot to pick the championship games though; woe is me. In the postseason, I am 27-12 (.692), and for the full year, I am 413-104-56 (.769_.
Let’s see how I can do in the quarterfinals of the NCAA tournament.
Saturday, March 12
Clarkson at Quinnipiac
I have to pick one upset, and this one is as likely as any. Clarkson 2-1
Northeastern at Boston College
They’ve played four times, with two blowouts and two squeakers. What will this one be, and more importantly, will the result be any different? Something tells me no. Boston College 3-2
Princeton at Minnesota
Maybe the week off helps the Tigers heal and get ready, but it won’t be enough. Minnesota 4-2
Mercyhurst at Wisconsin
Can Ann-Renée Desbiens continue her shutout streak? Wisconsin 3-0
Friday, March 11, Saturday, March 12 and Sunday, March 13 (if necessary)
Atlantic Hockey Tournament
Quarterfinal Round
Best-of-Three Series Bentley at Robert Morris Dan: Based on our preseason picks, this is actually an incredibly marquee matchup (we had Bentley finishing third behind first place RMU). Beyond that, this is a test of the Rubin jinx. If I pick RMU, I could be picking them solely to jinx them and get the team I work for through to Rochester for the first time since 2009. If I pick Bentley, then there’s the no respect card about picking against the top seed – also, I think that makes me a “wikkid homah.” So I’m divesting this pick to my wife, who says Robert Morris in three. Chris: It used to be that the early playoff rounds were automatic in Atlantic Hockey, but in recent years they’ve been a minefield for top seeds. That said, I think RMU is motivated to get back to Rochester and will if they don’t overlook a Bentley team that they dominated earlier in the season. Robert Morris in two.
Canisius at Air Force Dan: Based on my conversation with Dave Smith this week, I really believe Canisius is the one team best suited to make that trip west and upend the Falcons. But, like Chris points out, Air Force exceeded expectations all season long, and their home ice advantage needs to count for something. Otherwise, nobody would bring it up or try to disprove that it exists. I think Canisius pushes this one to the brink, but I think the Falcons get it. Air Force in three. Chris: The last two times Canisius made it to the AHC Championship game, they were the 7th seed in the tournament, as they are now. One of those times was in 2013, when the Golden Griffins won a quarterfinal series at Air Force. But the Falcons have exceed expectations all season. Why stop now? Air Force in two.
Army at Holy Cross Dan: I really can’t wait for this series. Army West Point is buoyed by a deep offense and tremendous defense/goaltending. Holy Cross is a great defensive team built around a team style. If anyone wants to watch a great series, this is it. Underlying storyline – Holy Cross basketball beat Army in the Patriot League tournament in basketball en route to winning the championship. Army West Point gains revenge here. Army in three. Chris: This might be the most entertaining series of the weekend, despite the defense-first approach both teams take. Every year there’s at least one team that gets hot at the right time and makes a deep run in the playoffs, and I think that’s Army this time out. I’m taking the upset in a series that I expect to go the distance. Army in Three.
Rochester Institute of Technology at Mercyhurst Dan: There’s one thing I fear in picking RIT is that they aren’t quite all the way back. Even though they’re getting healthier, I just feel like it’s too much for them to overcome. Had this series been played in Rochester, it would be one thing. But I’m picking the Lakers to advance with a little bit more postseason “Mercyhurst Magic.” Lakers in two. Chris: This is a rematch of last year’s championship game. The teams split their season series with each sweeping on the road. I expect three close games here and with RIT getting several players back from injury, I think that will give the Tigers a boost. RIT in three.
We are here — the penultimate weekend of the Division III women’s season. Down to eight teams and after this weekend, just four.
Candace and Matt prognosticate the four NCAA tournament games, starting with one Friday night and three on Saturday.
Friday, March 11
St. Thomas at Wisconsin-River Falls Candace: Chloe Kinsel is the difference. Wis.-River Falls 3-1 Matt: Both teams have 20-win goalies, but River Falls has a more explosive offense, which is the difference here. Wis.-River Falls 4-1
Saturday, March 12
Amherst at Plattsburgh Candace: I think losing to Utica just hardened the Cardinals’ resolve. Plattsburgh 3-1 Matt: I’ve said all year that Plattsburgh is on a mission. Nothing stops the Cardinals and nothing gets by Camille Leonard. Plattsburgh 5-0
Massachusetts-Boston at Middlebury Candace: Mass.-Boston’s underdog streak ends after the Norwich upset. Middlebury 3-1 Matt: While I am a fan of underdogs, which UMass-Boston is, this is not the Beacons’ day. Middlebury is too deep and talented for the lone unranked team in the field. Middlebury 5-3
Elmira at Adrian Candace: The hardest game for me to call. I think Elmira’s just been a little too inconsistent. Adrian 2-1 Matt: This looks to be the closest game of the quarterfinals. My gut says Adrian, but I think Elmira pulls it off in overtime. Elmira 3-2 (OT)
Matthew and I did pretty well last week, going 7-1 (.875). On the year, I finished the regular season 114-50-14, while Matthew went 109-55-14. I won our picks race, so I’ll be sure to enjoy some tasty IPAs courtesy of Matt.
For the first round of the playoffs, we just pick the winners in the number of games.
Friday-Saturday, March 11-12; Sunday, March 13 (if necessary)
Omaha at Denver Candace: I was at last Saturday’s game between these two, and while Omaha played well, Denver looks like the strong team overall. Denver 3-2, 3-1 Matthew: UNO will try and shake off its poor recent form, but I’d be surprised if they move on past this weekend. Denver in 3
Western Michigan at St. Cloud State Candace: St. Cloud has too much offense for the inconsistent Broncos to pull the upset. St. Cloud 4-1, 3-2 Matthew: Difficult to see anything other than a Huskies sweep here. St. Cloud State in 2
Miami at Minnesota-Duluth Candace: Duluth swept this one last weekend and took swept 10 of 12 points in the season series. It will get harder to sweep from here out, so I see the Bulldogs in three. Minnesota-Duluth 3-1, Miami 3-2, Minnesota-Duluth 3-2 Matthew: Duluth has taken three of four games against the RedHawks so far this season, but I have a sneaking suspicion Miami will steal this series. Miami in 3
Colorado College at North Dakota Candace: CC surprised the Fighting Hawks in Grand Forks back in January; I don’t see it happening again. North Dakota 4-1, 4-1 Matthew: UND’s trying to lock up a geographically favorable regional, and a sweep this weekend would certainly help there. North Dakota in 2
With a six-game deficit staring me in the face last week, I had to go for some long shots. And for a while on Friday night, it looked like I might pick up an amazing four games on Jim heading into Saturday. My faux thoroughbreds, however, couldn’t hold their leads and wound up in the glue factory.
Now ten games back, I’m all but mathematically eliminated. Jim only needs to parrot my picks, no matter how foolish, and he won’t be able to lose. It’s what I did last year when he closed to within a game in the final week, so I won’t blame him at all.
We’ll see, though, if he wants to be called gutless like I was last year.
Onward, then, to my Bizarro picks.
Jim last week: 8-1-0
Jim to date: 181-64-36
Dave last week: 4-5-0
Dave to date: 171-74-36
(Each three-game playoff series will include three picks from each columnist. Game three is “if necessary” in all series)
No. 9 Vermont at No. 1 Boston College
Dave’s pick: Could BC actually fail to reach the Garden three years in a row? Inconceivable. Especially since Vermont dispatched the Eagles last year. But even though I’d be picking a BC sweep, Bizarro Dave goes in the other direction. UVM 2, BC 1 (OT); UVM 1, BC 0 (OT); UVM 2, BC 1 (3 OT)
Jim’s picks: The worst part of this, I actually love this Vermont team. I think they have good defense an goaltending has been solid. But this still is a good BC team. If I lose games, I expect them to be in this series. But please, Dave, don’t act like a fool. BC 3, UVM 1; BC 4, UVM 2; BC 3, UVM 2
No. 7 Merrimack at No. 2 Providence
Dave’s pick: I love the way Providence is playing right now. Normally, I’d pick the Friars to extend their winning streak to 10 games, but Bizarro Dave must believe in the Cinderella Warriors. MC 3, PC 2 (OT); MC 4, PC 3 (OT); MC 2, PC 1
Jim’s picks: Providence was upset a year ago. And Dave will quickly learn that not only am I not a parrot, but I also will crush him come season’s end. PC 4, MC 2; PC 3, MC 2; PC 4, MC 1
No. 6 Northeastern at No. 3 Notre Dame
Dave’s picks: Here’s a series I expect to go three games with the winner anyone’s guess. Both teams have played exceptional hockey in the second half. I might naturally lean to Notre Dame and home ice so my conventional pick would be the Irish, the Huskies in game two, and then the Irish. But I’m guessing that Mr. Connelly will also go with the Irish (and home ice) so I’ve got to go with a Northeastern sweep. NU 4, Notre Dame 3; NU 3, Notre Dame 2 (OT); NU 4, Notre Dame 3 (OT)
Jim’s picks: I actually am okay with Dave’s picks here. I’m not sure Notre Dame will win, but I am very happy to match the Northeastern sweep. This is a solid matchup for the Huskies, even on the road. NU 3, Notre Dame 2; NU 4, Notre Dame 2; NU 4, Notre Dame 2
No. 5 Boston University at No. 4 Massachusetts-Lowell
Dave’s picks: I don’t think there’s a chance in the world that either team sweeps this series. These two clubs are evenly matched all the way down to identical league records. What I expect is that the teams split the first two (I’ll give BU Friday night), and then Lowell’s home ice and depth proves decisive on Sunday. But that’s too easy for Jim to mimick so my Bizarro pick will be a BU sweep. BU 3, UML 2 (OT); BU 2, UML 1 (OT); BU 3, UML 2 (2 OT)
Jim’s picks: Going back to the first two series, I’ll pick the entire series with my head. I think Lowell opens with a good win but needs three to advance to the Garden for the fourth straight year. UML 4, BU 2; BU 2, UML 1; UML 5, BU 3
Massachusetts is looking for a new head coach after John Micheletto was fired last Sunday (photo: Shelley M. Szwast).
Before we get to the playoff matchups, let’s first look at Massachusetts, where John Micheletto was relieved of his duties this weekend after four years at the helm.
The move came as no surprise. You don’t finish next-to-last your first two years and then in the cellar the next two and hold onto your job.
The question is: Can UMass become a serious contender in Hockey East?
The Minutemen joined Hockey East for the 1994-95 season and went 3-21 in league play. Unfortunately, that proved to be a harbinger of things to come.
UMass made progress once it hired Don “Toot” Cahoon, recording its only winning seasons in league play in 2003-04 and 2006-07. Both times, the Minutemen advanced to the Garden, losing in the championship game to Maine in triple overtime in 2004 and to New Hampshire in overtime of the semifinals in 2007. The latter year represented the program’s lone trip to the NCAA tournament.
When those successes and other near-.500 seasons weren’t deemed sufficient, Micheletto, an assistant at Vermont, was brought in. The results clearly haven’t been there.
In announcing the change, new athletic director Ryan Bamford said: “Our expectation is to be a top contender every year in Hockey East, the premiere collegiate hockey conference. We will work aggressively to recruit a head coach to our hockey program that can realize those expectations.”
A top contender every year? Is that realistic?
The fact is that programs that have for the most part struggled, programs like UMass, face an uphill battle when it comes to recruiting. If you’re an elite athlete, are you going to look first at Boston College or Boston University or Notre Dame? Or perhaps look at schools more recently at the top of Hockey East, like Providence and Massachusetts-Lowell?
Athletes instinctively gravitate to winning programs. The attitude most often is, “I’ll go to [UMass or another school near the bottom] if I can’t get an offer at a better school.”
Teams like UMass can’t live off the recruiting crumbs that fall off the tables of the schools at the top. Or even worse, those in the middle. In the words of Boston University legend Jack Parker, “The team that usually wins is the team that got off the bus with the most talent.”
It is possible to turn programs around. Just look at what Nate Leaman has done at Providence and Norm Bazin at Lowell. Both schools had experienced some level of success before, but when Leaman arrived the Friars had gone 10 years since their last NCAA tournament appearance. In his fourth year, he led them to their first national championship.
Lowell’s absence from the NCAA tournament had stretched to 15 years by the time that Bazin arrived, but he got the River Hawks there in his first season and led them to their first league title and Frozen Four berth a year later.
So it can be done. But it takes a special coach and considerable support from the school.
Bazin’s success on the smaller campus in Lowell has to be especially galling to those around the Minutemen program. Why Lowell and not its sister school in Amherst?
“I can’t speak to that,” Bazin says. “I have never been to Amherst or worked in that environment. All I know is that Lowell has great leadership and we are very fortunate to have a great chancellor in Jacquie Moloney … and a great president in Marty Meehan.
“Leadership is top down. I feel our support and leadership is so good that it trickles down and our hockey players love playing for this university.”
Can UMass get that same level of support and most importantly, the right coach to take advantage of it?
Cahoon chose to limit his comments, but did point out the need for a long-term focus. UMass isn’t heading to the NCAA tournament next year, no matter who comes in as coach.
“The program is going to be managed by Ryan Bamford, the new athletic director, and everything I know about Ryan and everything I’ve learned about him tells me the program is in really good hands,” Cahoon said. “I would think the process will be better than ever before, and UMass will begin to take a long-term approach to making this program live up to its potential.”
We shall see.
Now, here’s a look at the four Hockey East quarterfinal series playing out Friday, Saturday and, if necessary, Sunday.
No. 1 Boston College hosts No. 9 Vermont
Boston College had to share the Hockey East title with Providence but got the top playoff seed (photo: Melissa Wade).
This looks like a lopsided mismatch. The Eagles excel at both ends of the ice and on special teams, pretty much an ideally well-rounded team. Vermont, by contrast, was the lone team able to advance while on the road last weekend and is a tough defensive team to play, but has significant limitations on the offensive end and on the power play.
“We feel very good about our club in a lot of different areas,” BC coach Jerry York says. “We’ve had a major improvement from last year’s team. Our total whole team is better prepared.
“But we haven’t gotten to the Garden the last two years.”
Two years? Can that be?
Yes, it is. Two years ago, Notre Dame knocked off the top-seeded Eagles, and last year Vermont toppled them, then the No. 3 seed.
“We want to get back there,” York says. “We’ll have to play very well this weekend to achieve that.”
Can the Catamounts do it two years in a row?
“It certainly catches our attention that they came in and played a terrific series last year,” York says. “[Vermont coach] Kevin Sneddon had them ready and it went three games. It was a tough pill to swallow.
“Now we have a chance to go after another Lamoriello Cup and Vermont stands in our way. We certainly won’t be overlooking them based on what happened last year. They have a club that can cause fits for anybody, so we’re prepared for a well-structured, very disciplined team in the Catamounts.”
For Vermont, the idea will be to play a tight-checking game and avoid a shootout.
“We are who we are,” Sneddon says. “We don’t have the ability, in my opinion, to open it up and play wide open against a team that has the kind of talent that Boston College has.
“We can skate with anybody in the country. We have speed. But our best attribute is trying to make teams defend as best as possible and take time and space away from teams that might have a little more skill than we do. It’s just the way that we play against a lot of teams. It’s knowing what you have and adapting to it.
“We’re going to be challenged defensively. We know, having played them just a few weeks ago, that they have elite skill and some special players. There’s no question about it.
“It’s going to come down to needing [strong] goaltending and our special teams to be better than they were last time. We’re going to have to be better all over the ice.”
That said, the Catamounts know they’ve overcome steep odds before.
“There’s no question that last year helps out,” Sneddon says. “We had been plagued with limited to no success against Boston College, like most teams. But we found a way to eke out a series win last year. It definitely gives some confidence that we can do this.
“We know that we were the massive underdog last year and are again this year, but look at what can happen.”
No. 2 Providence hosts No. 7 Merrimack
Last year, Providence won its first national championship; this year, it won its first Hockey East regular season title, sharing that honor with BC while dropping to the No. 2 seed based on tiebreaker to set up this matchup against Merrimack. The Warriors, who started out hot before cooling off, finished strong, defeating New Hampshire in the opening round.
“I’m really proud of our regular season,” Providence coach Leaman says. “It’s our first regular season championship or co-championship. We had some departures and some early departures, so we had some holes to fill, particularly in net and losing two centermen.”
Despite those departures, the Friars boast considerable experience and not just of the playoff variety. They dress nine seniors, always an asset at this time of year, and are battle tested.
“We had a target on our back all season,” Leaman says. “I really like how our team responded in the second half after we had the adversity of getting everyone’s A game. It’s been a [sign] of the growth of our program. The guys have really stayed calm.”
Although the Friars welcomed a rejuvenating week off, it wasn’t enough to bring back star defenseman Jake Walman, who remains out indefinitely with an injury. Fortunately, the Friars learned to play without Walman around the holiday break as well as almost all of the last four games.
Although the Friars come in as heavy favorites, Leaman considers Merrimack a formidable opponent.
“We played them earlier in the year when they were a top-20 team,” he says. “They were really rolling. I was surprised when they had a dip because they’re a very good team and they’re very well coached. I like their depth. They have four lines that have all put up goals this year.”
While Providence rested last weekend, Merrimack needed three games to dispatch New Hampshire. The old question of rust vs. rest naturally arises.
“Coach Leaman’s as good of a coach as there is in college hockey, so he’s going to look at the positives of having that week off,” Merrimack coach Mark Dennehy says. “We’re going to look at the positives of playing and getting in and staying in a rhythm.
“Winning a couple in a row always helps. It gives you a little bit of a swagger. But we’re going in and playing the defending national champs in their barn. It’s going to take all of our abilities and effort and focus to get it done.”
The Warriors, who’ve had some ups and downs this season, may well be peaking at the right time.
“I think we’re playing as well as we’ve played at any point in the season,” Dennehy says. “We can look to that middle portion of the season and come up with excuses and explanations for what happened, but it doesn’t matter. It can either strengthen you or kill you, and I think it strengthened us.
“It’s not something I would recommend going through, especially as a coach, but I think we’re better for having gone through it as a team.”
No. 3 Notre Dame hosts No. 6 Northeastern
Notre Dame seemed on the verge of its first Hockey East regular season crown heading into the final two weekends, but got swept by Providence before splitting with Boston University, resulting in the matchup with Northeastern.
“Frankly, it’s been a very positive year for us,” Notre Dame coach Jeff Jackson says. “Going into the season, we didn’t know exactly how we’d do considering that two thirds of our roster is freshmen and sophomores. But the younger guys have really contributed and our seniors have done a great job of leading.
“We ran into two of the best teams in the conference the last two weekends and maybe that’s where our inexperience cost us. We have brain cramps for certain periods of time, and the whole game can change. We’ve had games where we’ve given up leads and we’ve had games where we’ve come from behind. A lot of that has to do with our youth. But at this time of the year you can’t use youth as an excuse.”
Unfortunately for the Irish, those final two weekends have pitted them against a Northeastern team that is 16-1-2 since early December.
“I guess our reward for getting a bye is getting the hottest team in college hockey,” Jackson says wryly. “We know we’re going to have our hands full.”
Of course, Notre Dame had been matching Northeastern blow for blow going into those final weekends, posting a 13-1-3 mark.
“We’ve had some consistency in [goaltending and special teams], and it’s been a real positive for us,” Jackson says. “The last game against BU was like a playoff game, and those two factors came into play. Cal Petersen had a shutout, our power play scored a goal and our penalty kill stopped three attempts.
“There’s no question when you get to this time of year that those are big factors. Goaltending and special teams are important any time of year but it’s magnified in the playoffs.”
Northeastern coach Jim Madigan expected just that type of tight-checking, low-scoring game.
“They’re a team that doesn’t give up many goals,” he says. “They’re very comfortable playing and winning close-checking, tight games. They’ve got a very good goaltender. They’re very disciplined in their systems. They go to the net hard.
“We need to have real good details and focus and execution with discipline in our game to have success at Notre Dame. If one of those four things doesn’t come, chances are you’re not going to win.
“They are an elite team in our league and they were an elite team before joining our league. Our work is cut out for us. Saying that, I’ve got confidence that we can go out there and win. We’ve played well out there in my five years.”
Northeastern has been so consistently excellent over the second half of the year that it hasn’t had so much as a single one-goal win since the start of its 16-1-2 stretch. Sure, there have been empty-netters, but ironically the two overtimes forced by Maine last weekend may have been perfect to add just a little battle-tested edge to the Huskies.
“There were still some close games but this weekend will serve us well going forward,” Madigan says. “Friday night we were down 2-0 after the first period. I liked our approach and our demeanor in the second and third. We chipped away. We didn’t panic.
“On Saturday we gave away a three-goal lead, but then we played our best hockey. I think those two experiences will get us ready for a tight-checking game against Notre Dame.”
No. 4 Massachusetts-Lowell hosts No. 5 Boston University
These two teams finished with identical 12-6-4 league records, but Lowell took the fourth seed and the resulting home-ice advantage based on tiebreakers. That could prove decisive since BU posted a lackluster 6-7-2 road mark while the River Hawks held serve at home to the tune of 12-2-3.
“It could become a factor especially if it comes down to a third game,” Lowell coach Norm Bazin says. “This is the fifth year in a row we have been able to host and we are very proud of that. I think it demonstrates continuity and stability for our program, and to be able to host year in and year out is great. We have had great crowds here at the Tsongas Center this year and we hope to take advantage of that.”
While the River Hawks have relied on scoring by committee, they’ve leaned heavily on senior goaltender Kevin Boyle. In Hockey East games, Boyle leads the league in both GAA (1.62) and save percentage (.941).
“He has been tremendous for us,” Bazin says. “He is a legitimate Hobey Baker [Award] candidate.
“He finished No. 1 in Hockey East for goals against. He finished No. 1 in save percentage, and we all know how good Hockey East is. It is a very difficult league and to finish No. 1 in both of those categories says something about his performance.
“He has been our first star on nine different occasions. That tells you how important he is to our hockey club. He has had a terrific season, and we will need him to be terrific again if we want to move on from this weekend.”
Of Hockey East’s five top teams, the River Hawks have the least room for error in terms of making the NCAA tournament. They sit at 12th in the PairWise Rankings.
“I don’t think that far ahead,” Bazin says. “We’ve got our hands full with Boston University and that is all we are focusing on. This time of year is an awesome time of year to be playing hockey. If we are fortunate enough to play hockey after this weekend then we are obviously very deserving.
“We have had a good year but all we are focusing on right now is moving on and extending Hockey East action, and that’s what my guys are channeling all their energy into right now.”
For BU, the challenge will be getting the best of Lowell’s top-ranked defense and Boyle. That may be tough while five-on-five, so its power play may prove decisive.
“Special teams makes or breaks you this time of year,” BU coach David Quinn says. “We need an effective power play. Obviously, you want to be productive. You want to get goals. But a lot of times you also want to gain some momentum off your power play.
“Over the last month, we just haven’t looked great on the power play yet our statistics have been pretty good. I’m hoping that we’re in store for a good streak because we went through a dry spell. We had a stretch there where our guys were reluctant to go out there.
“But when you’re playing a team like Lowell, you better be productive on the power play. That’s going to be a key this weekend.”
Quinn dismisses his team’s less-than-stellar road record, noting that it started 0-3 away from Agganis Arena.
“We have played much better on the road as of late, over the last two and a half months,” he says. “Our guys like playing on the road, believe it or not. We’re going to have to do that this weekend.”
And in closing …
I’ve got some short stories that will be appearing over the offseason, so if you’d like to be notified when they appear, go to hendricksonwriter.com and sign up for my newsletter.
Next week will be the final Hockey East column of the season, which Jim Connelly will be writing. After that, USCHO will shift into its NCAA tournament coverage.
So thanks to all you readers. Thanks also to my wife Brenda, aka the Greatest Wife Ever, for her support.
St. Norbert’s Blake Thompson, the USCHO.com 2013-14 D-III Rookie of the Year, will have his hands full Saturday night with an upset-minded Augsburg squad (photo: St. Norbert College Athletics).
Four teams from the West region are in the NCAA tournament, including top-ranked Adrian, which opens the postseason March 19 in a showdown against two-time national runner-up Wisconsin-Stevens Point.
St. Norbert takes on MIAC champion Augsburg in a quarterfinal game March 19 as well.
Stevens Point (21-5-2) vs. Adrian (24-3-1)
The Pointers are in the NCAA tournament for the third consecutive season and the 12th time in program history. They are coming off a win over Wisconsin-River Falls in the WIAC tournament title game and are familiar with the Bulldogs, having split with them in the regular season. Stevens Point lost 3-2 at Adrian and earned a 6-4 win at home.
Stevens Point has won nine of its last 11 and has scored 135 goals on the year. Lawrence Cornellier leads the way in goals scored, punching in 20. He is one of five players who has scored at least 10 goals on the season.
The Pointers have been solid defensively as well, allowing three or more goals only three times over the course of the last 11 games. Max Milosek has had a lot to do with that success, fashioning a 2.08 GAA. He has allowed 46 goals and is 16-4-2 on the year, with two of those wins coming in shutout fashion.
Adrian is in the NCAA tournament for the sixth time and is coming off its second consecutive Harris Cup championship. The Bulldogs, winners of seven consecutive games, are seeking a repeat trip to the final four.
Like Stevens Point, Adrian features a high-powered offense, having scored 154 goals.
The Bulldogs are led by Connor Armour, who has come through with eight goals and 30 assists. A total of eight players have scored 10 or more goals, with Mathew Thompson and Trevor Boyd striking for 16 goals apiece. Adrian has scored at least four goals in each of their last 10 games.
Kevin Entmaa will look to carry his regular-season success into the postseason. Entmaa, only a freshman, is the only unbeaten goaltender in college hockey, sporting a 14-0-0 record. He has allowed only 30 goals. The Bulldogs have allowed two goals or less in their last four games.
St. Norbert (23-3-2) vs. Augsburg (17-8-2)
St. Norbert had its dream of an NCHA title dashed by Adrian, but it will aim to make a run at the national title as it begins postseason play against the Auggies. It will be the first meeting between the two teams since November of 2012, when St. Norbert skated to a 3-2 overtime win.
The Green Knights are making their 16th appearance in the NCAA tournament and own a 25-11-1 record in tournament play.
St. Norbert has lost only once in its last 12 games and is led by the play of Erik Cooper, who has racked up 12 goals and 20 assists to lead the team in points. Four other players have scored at least 11 goals, including Michael Hill, who has scored 15 goals to go along with 10 assists.
Tony Kujava has played in 17 games this year at goaltender and owns a 1.28 GAA. He is 14-1-1 on the season.
The Auggies are in the tourney for the first time since the 1997-98 campaign and this will be only their third NCAA trip in program history.
Augsburg won a thriller against St. John’s in the MIAC tournament championship game, edging the Johnnies 5-4 in triple overtime. The Auggies have won 10 of their last 12 games and are led by Nate Flynn, who has come through with 16 goals and 14 assists. Corbin Chapman has been a key contributor as well, scoring 11 goals to go along with 10 assists.
Jordyn Kaufer has led the way in goal, sporting a 16-5-1 record on the year. He owns a 2.01 GAA and has recorded three shutouts this season.
Wisconsin Badgers forward Sydney McKibbon (11) is counted on for offense. (Photo by David Stluka) (David Stluka/David Stlua)
Top-seeded Boston College is only three wins shy of a perfect season as it searches for its first national title. The Eagles hope to reach the Frozen Four and get their first win there; they’ve been stopped in the semifinals five previous times.
Also representing Hockey East is Northeastern. After coming up just short in the past, the Huskies make their debut in this year’s NCAA tournament.
Two-time entrants are Princeton, making its first appearance in 10 years, and Quinnipiac, back for a second year in a row.
There are also programs whose participation has reached double digits. Defending champion Minnesota has the most overall with 14, including 10 in a row. Mercyhurst, after a year away, makes its 11th trip. Wisconsin is back for a 10th season.
Completing the field is Clarkson, just two years removed from its first NCAA Championship.
Each is looking to win on Saturday to reach the Frozen Four in Durham, N.H. Once there, they’ll need just two more victories on March 18 and 20 to realize the dream they’ve been chasing all season.
Northeastern Huskies at No. 1 Boston College Eagles, Saturday, March 12, 1 p.m. ET, noon CT
The best news for Boston College is that so far this season there hasn’t been any bad news. The closest thing to a sour note may be that BC has been tasked with dispatching Northeastern for a fifth time rather than an expected fresh opponent in Princeton.
That seems unlikely to slow the Eagles more than anything else has. They persevered through a fourth date with Connecticut last weekend, and then seemed to relish the chance to inflict another beating on rival Boston University.
No, the only true victim in the bracket curveball is Northeastern. In truth, a destination of Boston rather than Minneapolis likely hurts more in terms of the experience than it does competitively. The Huskies would have faced many of the same disadvantages with either opponent. The Eagles, like the Gophers, have more scoring depth up front, a more-experienced blue line, and a battle-tested goaltender.
Each team knows well what awaits it on Saturday. The difference is that Boston College knows exactly what it must do to win, while Northeastern has to wonder whether even a perfect game on its part will be enough.
Statistical comparison
Category
Northeastern
Boston College
Record
28-8-1
38-0-0
Versus NCAA field
2-4-0
4-0-0
Common opponents
25-3-1
30-0-0
Goals-scored/game
4.38
5.37
Goals-allowed/game
2.41
1.18
Power play pct.
21.3
33.1
Penalty kill pct.
84.2
91.7
Avg. penalty minutes
9.4
7.3
NCAA appearance
First
Eighth
Northeastern Top scorers: Kendall Coyne, Sr., F, (49-34-83), Denisa Krížová, So., F, (20-39-59), Hayley Scamurra, Jr., F, (14-28-42), Jordan Krause, Sr., D, (5-25-30) Goaltender: Brittany Bugalski, Fr., (20-7-1), 2.15 goals-against average, .919 save percentage, three shutouts
Northeastern’s last postseason win over Boston College came in a Hockey East semifinal in 2013. The next day, Boston University ended the Huskies’ season, as it did in 2014 and 2015. The Terriers knocked Northeastern out of the league tourney for the fourth straight year last weekend, but this time, the Huskies are the team that gets to advance to the national tournament.
Kendall Coyne leads the country in goals, goals per game, points, points per game, short-handed goals, and likely a few more categories that nobody has thought to quantify. She’s in the midst of one of the best seasons in NCAA history.
Coyne is not the only bright spot for Northeastern. Her linemates, sophomore Denisa Krížová and junior Hayley Scamurra, have taken huge steps forward in terms of production. Senior Jordan Krause did the same on the blue line. Sophomore forward Shelby Herrington put up 23 points after having just one as a rookie. Freshman goaltender Brittany Bugalski’s save percentage matches that turned in by Chloe Desjardins as a senior.
The problem is that for every superlative one uses to describe the Huskies, the same and more can be said about their opponent.
With defenseman Tori Hickel being the only other senior on Northeastern’s roster besides Coyne and Krause, one might be tempted to say that having tasted the NCAA tournament, they’ll be positioned to return soon, but faced with replacing a generational player like Coyne, one gets the sense that this is the Huskies’ best shot in the near future.
Boston College Top scorers: Alex Carpenter, Sr., F, (41-41-82), Haley Skarupa, Sr., F, (32-41-73), Makenna Newkirk, Fr., F, (21-27-48), Megan Keller, So., D, (12-36-48) Goaltender: Katie Burt, So., (33-0-0), 1.16 goals-against average, .945 save percentage, 13 shutouts
Unlike last year, when Boston College perhaps peaked too soon and had nowhere to go but down, the Eagles have continued a steady climb from their lofty heights as the months have passed.
A year ago, the secondary scoring dwindled as the season went along. Perhaps there is a difference in the level of difficulty down the stretch in the two campaigns, I can’t say, but the goals have continued to come at a steady pace.
Alex Carpenter has completely rewritten the Boston College record book, and now, there’s only one thing missing from her personal resume. Such is the level of talent on the roster that in spite of the pending graduations of Carpenter, Haley Skarupa, who would have garnered more buzz had 75 percent of her career not overlapped Carpenter’s, Dana Trivigno, Lexi Bender, Kaliya Johnson, and Meghan Grieves, the Eagles will still be a favorite to reach the Frozen Four next season.
Why the Huskies will win: Go big or go home. This would certainly qualify as going big. Why the Eagles will win: They always win.
Mercyhurst Lakers at No. 2 Wisconsin Badgers, Saturday, March 12, 8 p.m. ET, 7 p.m. CT
Statistical comparison
Category
Mercyhurst
Wisconsin
Record
19-10-5
34-3-1
Versus NCAA field
0-5-1
3-2-0
Common opponents
3-1-0
2-0-0
Goals-scored/game
2.71
3.84
Goals-allowed/game
2.00
0.68
Power play pct.
15.5
20.9
Penalty kill pct.
87.3
94.5
Avg. penalty minutes
11.6
6.6
NCAA appearance
11th
10th
Mercyhurst Top scorers: Rachael Smith, Fr., F, (11-18-29), Jenna Dingeldein, Sr., F, (14-12-26), Emily Janiga, Sr., F, (11-13-24), Brooke Hartwick, So., F, (10-8-18)
Goaltender: Sarah McDonnell, Fr., (17-5-5), 1.59 goals-against average, .923 save percentage, four shutouts
A lot of people first started paying attention to Mercyhurst in 2006-07 with the addition of superstar Meghan Agosta. By then, the Lakers had already experienced two NCAA tournaments, including more than 72 minutes of sudden-death overtime.
Those teams didn’t have any more star power than Mike Sisti’s current squad does. Both times they’d gone on the road in the national tournament, and they hadn’t received easy draws, playing the eventual national champion the second time, and the national runner-up the first.
Yes, the Lakers have had star-laden teams, but they’ve always been at their best when they’ve been able to assume the mantle of the underdog. That’s certainly the case here.
Look at Mercyhurst’s roster. It doesn’t lack for good players. For a variety of reasons, those players didn’t have great seasons, but it doesn’t mean they won’t have great and memorable postseasons. My guess is that the NCAA tournament has never seen a sub 20-win team that was more dangerous.
Through 10 previous quarterfinal games, Mercyhurst has either won, or, if we discount empty-net goals, it has lost by a goal. Home or away, the Lakers are always a tough out.
Wisconsin Top scorers: Annie Pankowski, So., F, (22-34-56), Emily Clark, So., F, (22-20-42), Sarah Nurse, Jr., F, (24-11-35), Sydney McKibbon, Jr., F, (8-27-35) Goaltender: Ann-Renée Desbiens, Jr., (32-3-1), 0.73 goals-against average, .961 save percentage, 20 shutouts
Wisconsin has the country’s fourth-best scoring offense, but there are still stretches where it can become that gang that couldn’t shoot straight. Offensively, it is sometimes less than the sum of its parts.
In both the Super Bowl and the AFC Championship game, we were reminded what wins championships, and it wasn’t offense.
That’s where the Badgers shine, because their defense is more than the sum of its parts. Perhaps that isn’t exactly true. For sure, the five skaters on the ice knit together well, and as a unit, are capable of more defensively than their individual talents would suggest.
However, the final part, the one standing in the goal crease, adds immeasurably to that sum. We may have to be some days removed from it before we fully appreciate the season that Ann-Renée Desbiens has had. For a goalie, 10 shutouts is a great season. She’s effectively had two great seasons in one, and she’s not done.
The Badgers have other great players. They might put up five or six goals in a game in winning a championship. Their odds of winning one increase dramatically if their goaltender never allows a goal, and for the remainder of this season, she may not.
Why the Lakers will win: Based on past history this season, the Badgers don’t do so well the week after they either win a trophy or defeat Minnesota, and they did both last weekend. Why the Badgers will win: Wisconsin is 3-0 all-time versus Mercyhurst in the NCAA tournament, allowing a total of two goals.
Princeton Tigers at No. 3 Minnesota Golden Gophers, Saturday, March 12, 5 p.m. ET, 4 p.m. CT
For the second-straight season, Minnesota hosts a team of Tigers in the quarters, and again, they arrive under unusual circumstances. A year ago, RIT had a sub-.500 record after winning its conference auto-bid from the lowest seed. Princeton comes in off a bye week after falling in a best-of-three ECAC Hockey quarterfinal, having done enough during the regular season to gain the final at-large invitation.
The year before the NCAA started sponsoring the national tournament, Minnesota lost in the final of the inaugural WCHA tournament. The Gophers then had a couple of weeks to sit around and wait for the ECAC to play its tournament to see whether or not they’d receive an invitation to the national tournament sponsored by the AWCHA. Minnesota was invited, and it went on to win its first national title.
Princeton would welcome something similar —- the winning coming off of a bye part, not the Minnesota wins part.
When these teams played in the NCAA tournament 10 years ago, the Gophers hosted a quarterfinal having already lost 10 that season times. This year, Princeton had to sweat out its inclusion in the event with only eight losses and two ties.
Statistical comparison
Category
Princeton
Minnesota
Record
22-8-2
32-4-1
Versus NCAA field
2-3-1
2-3-0
Common opponents
4-0-0
4-0-0
Goals-scored/game
3.12
4.73
Goals-allowed/game
1.72
1.24
Power play pct.
14.4
43.1
Penalty kill pct.
92.0
84.0
Avg. penalty minutes
7.7
5.0
NCAA appearance
Second
14th
Princeton Top scorers: Karlie Lund, Fr., F, (17-22-39), Kelsey Koelzer, Jr., D, (17-15-32), Molly Contini, Sr., F, (9-14-23), Morgan Sly, Jr., F, (9-13-22) Goaltender: Kimberly Newell, Sr., (18-7-2), 1.72 goals-against average, .941 save percentage, four shutouts
After finishing third in ECAC Hockey and being ranked for much of the season, Princeton isn’t exactly under the radar. Still, they are a better squad than most believe.
The Tigers match up well against Minnesota in many respects. Like their hosts, they have a senior goalie with national-team experience, and the two netminders have equivalent save percentages. Princeton ranks sixth in scoring defense, just two spots behind the Gophers. Each has a freshman forward who is a contender for national rookie of the year.
Princeton has some areas where it is superior. It’s PK ranks third, while Minnesota’s is 16th. That advantage is tempered, because the Gophers are the least-penalized team in the country, so they’ve only allowed three more power-play goals. Plus, Minnesota’s power play converts roughly three times as often as that of the Tigers.
The Tigers’ Kelsey Koelzer had a more productive season on the blue line than did any of the Minnesota defensemen. The question is, will she be available, after being injured in Princeton’s most recent game versus St. Lawrence.
Minnesota Top scorers: Dani Cameranesi, Jr., F, (32-35-67), Hannah Brandt, Sr., F, (24-35-59), Sarah Potomak, Fr. F, (12-37-49), Kelly Pannek, So., F, (22-25-47) Goaltender: Amanda Leveille, Sr., (26-4-1), 1.26 goals-against average, .941 save percentage, 10 shutouts
Minnesota’s winning percentage is actually a touch higher than it was last year when it came to the tournament as the top seed. It’s offensive numbers don’t tell the whole story, as the potential is even higher than the numbers.
The Gophers’ two biggest offensive threats are Hannah Brandt, who was injured for most of the year, and Amanda Kessel, who has only played in 10 games.
Even without those two, they have other ways to score, with five other forwards that have between 34 and 67 points, four defensemen with more than 20 points, and a power play that has been the most productive in NCAA history.
Defensively, Amanda Leveille has been a big-game goaltender throughout her career, and that’s been even more true as an upperclassman.
This season, something has been a little off in terms of the team’s defense. Breakdowns come at the wrong time, and Leveille is asked to save her team too often.
Should they put it all together, the Gophers could still wind up on top, but time may run out before the puzzle is fully solved.
Why the Tigers will win: With four Minnesotans on the roster and a couple more recruits from the state on their way to Princeton, expect the Tigers to have more fan support than usual for a team playing a quarterfinal game this far from home. Why the Gophers will win: This is the ninth time Minnesota has won at least 30 games, and it won its first game in the national tournament the other eight years.
Clarkson Golden Knights at No. 4 Quinnipiac Bobcats, Saturday, March 12, 2 p.m. ET, 1 p.m. CT
I could start to analyze this game in any number of ways, and I’m always going to conclude by saying the same thing: there’s just not going to be many goals scored.
Quinnipiac only yields an average of 17.6 shots per game, and Clarkson only allows 18.9. When the goaltenders stop far above 90 percent of the shots, maybe a team scores a goal or two.
The Bobcats have only given up more than two goals four times, and three of those occurred back in October. Clarkson has also allowed more than a pair of goals four times, and not at all in 2016.
The teams have other similarities beyond excellent defensive numbers. They each have five ties. Both have one loss to Colgate. Outside of the two losses to Quinnipiac, Clarkson’s other loss was to Rensselaer; Quinnipiac lost to Yale. RPI and Yale finished a point apart in the standings.
The question right up there with, “Who wins?” is, “How many overtimes will it take before someone does?”
Statistical comparison
Category
Clarkson
Quinnipiac
Record
29-4-5
30-2-5
Versus NCAA field
2-2-1
4-0-3
Common opponents
25-2-4
23-2-3
Goals-scored/game
3.61
3.19
Goals-allowed/game
1.34
0.92
Power play pct.
19.3
25.7
Penalty kill pct.
88.0
92.2
Avg. penalty minutes
7.1
5.9
NCAA appearance
Fifth
Second
Clarkson Top scorers: Cayley Mercer, Jr., F, (24-25-49), Olivia Howe, Sr., F, (16-21-37), Geneviève Bannon, Jr., F, (11-26-37), Erin Ambrose, Sr., D, (7-21-28) Goaltender: Shae Tiley, So., (26-4-5), 1.36 goals-against average, .929 save percentage, eight shutouts
Clarkson finished with 33 points. The year before, it only had one more when it shared the season title. The Golden Knights had to settle for second this time not because they were worse, but because Quinnipiac was better.
The same was true in the league tourney. Clarkson played three strong games, winning all of them, to reach the final. There, it got edged out by a 1-0 score by the Bobcats.
Now Clarkson could trump that frustration win a quarterfinal win. The setting, though on the road, won’t be an unfamiliar one. The Golden Knights will have traveled to Quinnipiac three times in the last month, including just six days before. Plus for Clarkson’s upperclassmen, it’s the site of their greatest triumph, as Quinnipiac hosted the Frozen Four where Clarkson won in 2014.
Quinnipiac Top scorers: Taylar Cianfarano, So., F, (28-24-52), Nicole Connery, Sr., F, (13-14-27), Emma Woods, Jr., F, (11-23-34), Melissa Samoskevich, Fr., F, (16-16-32) Goaltender: Sydney Rossman, Jr., (30-2-5), 0.89 goals-against average, .948 save percentage, 16 shutouts
Quinnipiac seems like a team destined for great things. Maybe those have already been achieved. A 30-win year, the regular-season title, the playoff crown to boot. Somehow, it seems that there is yet more to follow.
The Bobcats just might play the best team defense in the country. They take a lot of pride in it. They relish playing great defense. Quinnipiac did so a year ago, plugged in a new head coach and starting goaltender, and played great defense once more. Sixteen shutouts then, and 16 more now.
Along with stout goaltending, a confident and rugged blue line, and forwards willing to forecheck and backcheck all day long, there is just enough polish up front, with veteran forwards who score big goals at big times and budding prodigies capable of dazzling at any moment.
This is the time for a program to get greedy. With so many impact players set to graduate, who knows when Quinnipiac will be back in this position. It could be just a goal or two away from its first Frozen Four and an NCAA game against an opponent from outside the ECAC.
Why the Golden Knights will win: Given how even these two teams are, it seems odd that Clarkson would go a fourth game without a win in head-to-head play. Why the Bobcats will win: The previous time that ECAC Hockey had a first-time winner of its season title, that team went on to win the NCAA Championship. Quinnipiac’s first-round opponent can speak to the validity of that fact.
Matt Lemire helped lift Massachusetts-Boston to the NEHC crown with a thrilling overtime win over Babson (photo: Sportspix).
For almost 10 years, the Beacons of Massachusetts-Boston had come so painfully close to winning their first ECAC East title that in the first year of the NEHC, one might have thought coach Peter Belisle was seeing ghosts as his team faced a Babson team who had knocked the Beacons out of the tournament in each of the past four seasons and had a winning record on the Beacons home ice at the Clark Center.
It was a moment of truth for the Beacons who had often come so close, but were unable to close the deal — until this year.
With a sold-out Clark Center rocking and an overflow crowd watching big-screen televisions in the lobby, the Beacons knocked off Babson by a 3-2 score in overtime and no one could be prouder than their head coach.
“We have waited for this for so long,” said Belisle. “It was so nerve racking the whole game. I thought even in the overtime they had a couple of great chances to beat us, but then Matt [Lemire] got his feet moving and good things happen when he gets the puck in transition.”
The Beacons leading scorer along with defenseman Tyler Bishop created a great scoring chance that resulted in Colin Larkin’s rebound goal and an eruption of excitement in the Clark Center.
Lemire’s 45 points on the season is among the tops in the nation and along with linemates Larkin and Frankie DeAugustine, the Beacons top line is a threat every time they are on the ice in any situation. The line has combined for 39 goals and 111 points, including 15 power-play goals and six game winners for the Beacons.
“This team has been so great this season and not just the big name players who get all the points,” noted Belisle. “Even in Saturday’s game, Alex Demchuk and Andrew Crawford were so big for us. This team just kept finding ways to get it done and now in our first NCAA tournament, we open with the defending champions [Trinity]. It is a big hill to climb, but we have some experience playing them and we are thrilled to be playing more hockey. The ice in our rink is usually down by now – I may have to send an email to remind the facilities guys that we are still playing. Hopefully, for a little longer.”
Is another celebration like this in store for Trinity this season? (photo: Larry Radloff for Trinity College).
Last year, the Trinity Bantams earned an at-large bid to the national tournament and turned it into a championship run.
This year, coach Matt Greason’s squad focused on winning an elusive NESCAC title that comes with the automatic qualifier to ensure their opportunity to defend their national crown.
“It is far better winning the conference title and getting in than waiting after a loss and hoping the season was good enough to qualify,” noted Greason. “Getting in the way we did last year might have enabled us to sneak up on some teams in the tournament. I am very sure that is not going to be the case this year, starting with our game on Saturday night against a very good Massachusetts-Boston team. They beat us last season in a one-goal game, so we know they can play and must be really excited to be playing in their first national tournament. Our students are on spring break, so we may need to import a few extra locals to cheer us on, but we have been playing pretty well down the stretch and need to keep our strong team defense going against the Beacons.”
Sophomore Alex Morin has been the big beneficiary of that strong team defense that starts in the other end of the ice with an aggressive forecheck. Morin has earned the bulk of the playing time from last year’s national title goalie, Nathaniel Heilbron, and his coach thinks that last year has set a great routine for his young goaltender this season.
“‘Nano’ did a great job leading us last season to the national title and really set a great example for Alex in his freshman season,” stated Greason. “Alex saw the work ethic and effort every day from Nano and they compete hard every day against each other, but with a focus on making themselves and each other better. I think Alex learned a lot from watching that disciplined approach and it certainly has shown benefits in his play this year as they continue to battle and make each other better goaltenders.”
While the Bantams started the season with a very inexperienced D-corps, the season has seen the emergence of some solid players that have contributed greatly to the team’s solid play in their own zone. Junior T.J. Sherman has become a reliable shutdown defenseman and adds a little offense to the mix as well.
“T.J. has been just so solid for us,” said Greason. “He really is just so very consistent in the way that he positions himself on the ice, skates well and rarely makes a mistake with the puck in our own end. I thought he was terrific on Sunday against Amherst and we will need him to play a lot of minutes on Saturday against UMass-Boston.
“We aren’t sneaking up on anyone this season, so we better be ready to play on Saturday.”