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Atlantic Hockey Picks, Jan. 2- 4

Last week:

Dan: 5-3
Chris: 7-1

On the season:

Dan: 66-42-15 (.598)
Chris: 74-34-15 (.663)

 

This Week’s Picks:

Friday, January 2 and Saturday, January 3
American International vs. Army
Dan: Army enters this game after really showing some guts against the Russian Red Stars. Down 2-0 after one, Zak Zaremba scored twice to help West Point stake a 3-2 lead. Maksim Nikolaev scored to tie it late, but I think the game will really help Army get back on their legs before the start of the season. AIC is coming off an incredibly long road trip to Clarkson, where they lost the game late, 4-3. This is going to be a fun weekend, and I’m calling for a split with the home team winning each night. Friday’s in West Point, with Saturday in Springfield.Army wins on Friday. AIC wins on Saturday.
Chris: Both teams are coming off good efforts, and I too am thinking split, in the same order. Army wins on Friday; AIC on Saturday.

Air Force at Holy Cross
Dan: Huge weekend matchup as Air Force attempts to put the bad taste of the first half to bed against the league’s second best team. The Falcons’ high powered offense sputtered against Bentley last month, and they cannot have that happen against a Holy Cross defense that’s downright nasty.Holy Cross sweeps.
Chris: Air Force is really struggling and Holy Cross is coming off a penalty-filled loss to Yale. Falcons coach Frank Serratore has told me that the Hart Center is one of the toughest places in the league to play, and I think that will be the case this weekend. Holy Cross sweeps.

Niagara at Sacred Heart
Dan: I’m very high on the Pioneers, but I also think Niagara is much better than their last place record indicates. This series starts six in a row on the road for a Niagara team that has to go to Connecticut, Colorado, and North Dakota in consecutive weekends. They win this weekend, but that’s a lot of travel to be wary of later this month.Niagara sweeps.
Chris: This is a tough series to pick. It’s cliche’ to say that both teams are better than their records, but I think either is capable of taking four points this weekend. I think it will be a split, with Niagara winning on Friday and SHU coming back on Saturday.

Canisius at Maine
Dan: Maine has been less than expected this year, going 4-13-1 and winning only once since the calendar turned to November. A big part of their problem is goaltending, which isn’t good news since Canisius averaged three goals per game over their last four games before the break. Over that time, the Griffs went 2-1-1. I think they go up to Orono and take this weekend.Canisius sweeps.
Chris: I think these games are more important to Maine, who is struggling and will be under a lot of pressure to win at home before returning to conference play. Maine sweeps.

Ohio State at Mercyhurst
Dan: Mercyhurst went into the break on absolute fire, going 6-2-2 after November 1st. Along the way, they beat Colgate and Robert Morris while tying Bentley and Canisius. But it’s hard to judge how they’ll do against Ohio State, a team hovering around .500 but with a decidedly tougher schedule. Both of these games will be played at the Erie Insurance Arena to benefit The Warming Center for the Mental Health Center of Northwest Pennsylvania. Mercyhurst wins on Friday. Buckeyes win on Saturday.
Chris: Hopefully this series will draw well and games at the downtown rink will become an annual event. I too like a split with Mercyhurst winning on Friday and Ohio State on Saturday.

Massachusetts-Lowell vs. Rochester Institute of Technology
Dan: UMass-Lowell enters the Mariucci Classic up in Minnesota at 12-3-3 overall, fourth in the nation in scoring offense. They were ninth in the nation in the last USCHO.com poll. Even if RIT’s defense can hold the River Hawks at bay, I don’t think their 32nd ranked offense can keep pace. UML wins.
Chris: The Tigers return to the scene of one of their program-defining wins, defeating the Gophers in the first round of this tournament in 2007, just RIT’s third year at the D-I level. I don’t think they will fare as well this time around. Lowell wins.

Saturday, January 3

Rochester Institute of Technology vs. Merrimack/Minnesota
Dan: Pick your poison for the Tigers here – either they get the nation’s sixth best offense in Minnesota or they draw the ninth best defense in Merrimack. If it’s Merrimack, look out for the Ruby-Tirronen goalie matchup; it’ll be a great watch. That said, this is a much tougher tournament now than it looked back in September. RIT loses regardless of opponent.
Chris: RIT is the only non-ranked team in the field and I’m going with the odds here. RIT loses to either Minnesota or Merrimack.

Saturday January 3 and Sunday, January 4
Robert Morris vs. Bowling Green
Dan: If you’re not a fan of the outdoor game, look away. I’m pretty excited to see what happens outside in Toledo on Saturday, especially since RMU has an outside chance still at an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. They absolutely can’t lose another non-conference game, though. I predicted the computers wouldn’t fall in their favor, though, which means a loss here contributes to the debate. Bowling Green wins on Saturday. RMU wins on Sunday.
Chris: Saturday’s game will be outdoors at Fifth Third Field in downtown Toledo. Sunday the action will shift to RMU’s 84 lumber Arena. I’m going with a split with the home team coming out on top. Bowling Green wins Saturday, Robert Morris on Sunday.

Hockey East picks: Jan. 2-6

Another week in which I was unable to gain ground on Dave, thus he’ll enter 2015 with a two-game lead.

Jim last week: 7-4-0
Jim to date: 92-46-11
Dave last week: 7-4-0
Dave to date: 94-44-11

Friday, January 2

Connecticut at Massachusetts
Jim’s pick: I really like the way UConn is playing right now and thought they gave UMass Lowell everything it could handle last week. Not sure UMass is that strong, even at home.
UC 4, UMass 2
Dave’s pick: Agreed all the way. I really like the job Coach Mike Cavanaugh has done at UConn.
UC 4, UMass 2

Canisius at Maine
Jim’s pick: I think playing Canisius at home might be exactly what the doctor ordered for a struggling Maine team.
Maine 4, CC 3
Dave’s pick: The Black Bears have fallen to 4-13-1. They need wins wherever they can be found.
Maine 3, CC 2

St. Lawrence at Northeastern
Jim’s pick: I’m not sure which is the stronger team here, so I’ll go with the Huskies on home ice.
NU 3, SLU 2
Dave’s pick: Since opening the season 0-8-1, the Huskies have won five of seven and four of the last five.
NU 4, SLU 2

Mariucci Classic (Minneapolis, Minn.)

RIT vs. UMass Lowell
Jim’s pick: River Hawks continue to play some pretty decent hockey.
UML 5, RIT 2
Dave’s pick: Decent? First place in Hockey East and ninth in the country? I’d call that wickid good.
UML 4, RIT 1

Merrimack at Minnesota
Jim’s pick: This is easily Merrimack’s toughest out-of-conference opponent this year. And I just don’t think the solid first half is enough to pick the Warriors in this one.
MN 5, MC 3
Dave’s pick: Yeah, sorry, Warriors fans. I’d be picking a loss even if it were in your barn.
MN 5, MC 2

Ledyard Bank Classic (Hanover, N.H.)

Brown vs. Boston College
Jim’s pick: My only concern here is BC’s absences due to the World Junior tournament. Still, I think the Eagles will have enough to get past a 3-8 Brown team.
BC 5, Brown 3
Dave’s pick: I think those absences (especially Thatcher Demko’s) could turn this one into a nail-biter, but I agree with Jim. Brown doesn’t have enough to knock off the Eagles.
BC 3, Brown 2

Saturday, January 3

Union at Boston University
Jim’s pick: Without Eichel, I’m concerned a bit about BU. But Union didn’t show me much against Connecticut or Sacred Heart last weekend.
BU 4, Union 2
Dave’s pick: Union’s recent struggles were eye-opening. Maybe it was just holiday rust, but maybe not. I think this is a game BU’s “other stars” rise to the challenge, showing they aren’t just a bunch of second bananas.
BU 3, Union 1

Canisius at Maine
Jim’s pick: Even though I think Canisius is a good enough team to earn a split, I’ll give Maine the home ice benefit of the doubt.
Maine 4, Canisius 3 (OT)
Dave’s pick: Maine hasn’t inspired confidence this season, but I’m going to be a Hockey East homer on this one.
Maine 3, Canisius 2

St. Lawrence at Northeastern
Jim’s pick: I’m pretty sure Dave will call this pick the Hockey East homer in me.
NU 3, SLU 2
Dave’s pick: Not at all. In Northeastern’s recent wins, they’ve toppled nationally ranked Providence and Minnesota. I think the Huskies are the better team and they’re at home, to boot.
NU 4, SLU 2

Colorado College at Providence
Jim’s pick: This might be the easiest pick of the weekend with two teams headed in different directions.
PC 5, CC 1
Dave’s pick: Agreed. Colorado College has fallen on very tough times.
PC 4, CC 1

Vermont at Yale
Jim’s pick: Even though they lost at home to Providence, I’m not picking against Vermont right now.
UVM 3, Yale 2
Dave’s pick: I think this will be very close, especially on the road, but Vermont has earned my pick until proven otherwise.
UVM 3, Yale 2 (OT)

Mariucci Classic (Minneapolis, Minn.)
Championship/Consolation games
Jim’s pick:
With two Hockey East teams in this field, there are a lot of scenarios to pick here. But long story short is I believe the Gophers win their tournament on home ice.
MN 3, UML 2; MC 3, RIT 1; UML 4, MC 2

Dave’s pick: I’ve been loathe to pick against the River Hawks, but Minnesota on its own ice is just too tough a challenge.
MN 3, UML 2 (OT); MC 2, RIT 1; UML 4, MC 1

Ledyard Bank Classic (Hanover, N.H.)
Boston College at Dartmouth
Jim’s pick:
I actually think that the World Junior losses will do in BC in this pre-determined opponent tournament.
DC 4, BC 3
Dave’s pick:
Although goaltending could be a problem with Demko away, not to mention issues with depth, I still think the Eagles squeak this one out, even on hostile ice.
BC 3, DU 2

Sunday, January 4

Colorado College at Providence
Jim’s pick: Providence completes the sweep at home.
PC 4, CC 1
Dave’s pick: No contest.
PC 5, CC 1

Tuesday, January 6

Yale at Northeastern
Jim’s pick: Though I think NU can win two games vs. ECAC opponents to begin the year, Yale won’t be number three.
Yale 4, NU 2
Dave’s pick: Yale may be 7-3-2, but I still think the hot Huskies prevail on their home ice.
NU 3, Yale 2 (OT)

Colorado College at Connecticut (Bridgeport, Conn.)
Jim’s pick: The Huskies continue solid play to start the second half.
UC 3, CC 2
Dave’s pick:  I’ve been too impressed by the Huskies this year to pick a 3-11-1 team to beat them.
UC 3, CC 1

Longtime coach Beaney retires from Southern Maine

The Bangor Daily News and Portland Press Herald have reported that Jeff Beaney has retired as Southern Maine’s men’s coach.

Beaney was in his 30th season on USM’s coaching staff and 28th as head coach.

Assistant coach Ed Harding has been named interim head coach for the Huskies and ran his first practice Wednesday.

“It would have been my preference to finish the year,” Beaney told the Press Herald. “I wanted to go out at the right time, like any coach wants to go out on their own terms.”

Beaney added in the Press Herald story that his retirement was “rushed.”

Southern Maine is 1-9-0 overall (0-7-0 in ECAC East) and has scored just nine goals in 10 games and just two in the seven ECAC East contests.

“The program needs to move ahead,” added USM athletic director Al Bean. “I’m not going to tell you a lot. It’s a personnel issue, a tough issue. Jeff has done a lot of good things here, helped an awful lot of guys grow. I certainly thank him for his commitment.”

Under Beaney, the Huskies were 260-380-50 and reached the ECAC Northwest title game in 1993, losing to Massachusetts-Dartmouth.

First picks of 2015

St. Norbert goaltender David Jacobson has only allowed eight goals this season (photo: Angelo Lisuzzo).

The year 2015 has arrived, and while there are no flying cars, hoverboards or a world dominated by robots, there is hockey again as teams return to action after the holiday break.

Our two columnists, the dual-esteemed Dan Hickling and Brian Lester, have had their share of holiday fun and are now rarin’ to get back at it, starting with their picks for this weekend’s top games.

BRIAN LESTER – WEST

The matchup of the weekend is one that features No. 1 St. Norbert playing host to No. 8 Wisconsin-Stevens Point in a rematch of last year’s national championship game.

The Pointers (9-2), winners of four consecutive games, have racked up 50 goals on the season and have given up 23. Joe Kalisz has come through with seven goals to pave the way, while Kyle Sharkey has tallied six goals.

A total of 13 players have scored at least two goals for the Pointers, who also have rock-solid goaltending with Brandon Jaeger between the pipes.

St. Norbert has been phenomenal on offense, scoring 63 goals, and their defense has been as tough to crack as a brick wall as the Green Knights have allowed only 10 goals.

Michael Hill has fueled the offense with 10 goals. The Green Knights move the puck well as a team, having tallied 94 assists, and David Jacobson has been tough in goal, giving up only eight goals this season.

Defense will decide the outcome and the edge goes to the Green Knights in what should be a tight game. St. Norbert, 3-2.

Below are a few other games on tap for the weekend ahead.

No. 14 Williams (5-2-1) vs. Gustavus Adolphus (3-4-5): The Gusties come in looking for their first win since Nov. 14th as they have tied five times in their last seven games. Offensively, Jake Bushey has paved the way, scoring four goals and dishing out three assists. The Gusties have scored 32 goals. Defense will be key. Gustavus has allowed 35 goals, with Erik Johnson giving up 32 in 11 starts. A win over a nationally-ranked opponent would be huge for a team hoping to start off the new year on the right track.

Williams comes in having won four of its last six. The Ephs have played well defensively, allowing just 30 goals behind the play of Sean Dougherty.

C.J. Shugart leads the offense with six goals and five assists. Williams has tallied 20 goals in all and if it’s on top of it’s game, it should survive this road test. Williams, 4-2.

Williams (5-2-1) vs. St. Olaf (3-8-1): The Oles won their last game before the break and want to build on that momentum as they enter the new year. They have scored at least three goals in their last three games but have also given up at least three per game during that stretch. They have allowed a total of 38 goals and Steve Papciak will have to be at his best between the pipes. Peter Lindblad leads the offense with four goals.

Williams features a balanced attack where six players have scored at least three goals. The Ephs should be able to use that to their advantage against the Oles. Williams, 5-3.

St. Mary’s (3-5-2) vs. Milwaukee School of Engineering (6-6): The Cardinals went into the break riding the high of a dominating win over Aurora and they hope the second half of the season will prove to be a successful one. St. Mary’s is led by Martin Guse, who has scored seven goals and dished out six assists. Jed McGlasson has tallied six goals and four assists. Phil Heinle has anchored the goalie spot.

The Raiders went into the break on a two-game losing streak, but before that, had won six consecutive games. This game could provide them with an opportunity to get on another roll, especially being at home, where they are 5-1 on the season. Nick LaRue has tallied four goals and three assists to pace the offense. The Raiders have the edge in this one. MSOE, 5-2.

Aurora (1-9-1) vs. No. 4 Wisconsin-River Falls (11-0): The Falcons have been sensational on both sides of the puck, scoring 45 goals and giving up 18. One of the big keys to their success has been their ability to execute on the power play. River Falls has scored 16 goals off the power play.

A total of 12 players have scored at least two goals, with Kyle Gattelaro leading the way with six goals. Ryan Doner, Mike Fazio, Blake Huppert and Alex Murphy have come through with five goals apiece. Tanner Milliron has been solid between the pipes.

The Spartans have struggled and are in the midst of a four-game winless streak. They have score only 31 goals and have given up 65. Rihards Marensis and Trevor Hoth have paced the offense with five goals apiece. River Falls simply has too much talent for Aurora to contend with and this series will end with a sweep for the Falcons, River Falls, 7-2, 5-0.

Nazareth (4-4-3) vs. St. Scholastica (7-4): The Saints dropped three of their last four before the break and need a good start to the new year. Derek Sutliffe leads St. Scholastica with six goals and six assists, while Connor Lucas and Corey Koop have both seen time in goal, with Bruggeman starting seven times and Koop four.

Nazareth hasn’t won a game since Nov. 22 and tied in its last two games before the break. The Golden Flyers are led by Dominik Gabaj, who has tallied six goals and three assists. Oliver Janzen and Rocky Gruttadauria have come through with four goals apiece. The Saints should have the edge in this one as they start off the new year with a win. St. Scholastica, 4-2.

DAN HICKLING – EAST

Friday

Hobart (6-4-0) vs Southern Maine (1-9-0) at Lake Placid – Hobart 5, USM 1
For the first time in three decades, Southern Maine will take to the ice without Jeff Beaney behind the bench. Beaney, who resigned New Year’s Eve, will be replaced in the interim by Ed Harding. Hobart should have little trouble taking advantage of the fractured situation.

Tufts (4-4-1) at #6 Oswego (7-1-2) – Oswego 5, Tufts 3
The Lakers return from break ready to roll all the way to the Frozen Four. Again. This is where it begins.

Saturday

Skidmore (2-8-1) at Nichols (6-2-2) – Nichols 5, Skidmore 2
The Bison have had ample time to consider what kind of club it is – the one who rolled to five consecutive season opening wins, or the one that mustered just one win in the five starts before the break. This should tell you what they’ve concluded.

No. 3 Babson (11-0-0) at Plymouth State (5-3-2) – Plymouth 2 Babson 1
PSU averaged better than four goals per game leading into the break. The Panthers won’t get that many against Babson, which happens to have the stingiest defense in the nation (0.73 gpg). But since the Beavers probably won’t go undefeated, this just might be the exception.

Sunday

Canton (1-9-1) at Becker (3-8-0) – Becker 7, Canton 6
With these teams, one can just picture three full periods (and perhaps a little more) of end to end rushes. There’s got to be a baker’s dozen worth of tallies in all of that.

WCHA picks: Jan. 2-4

Shane here … Happy new year, everybody! Jack and I weren’t so hot with our WCHA picks last week. Didn’t see that Lake Superior State tournament championship in Florida coming (Congratulations, Lakers!). Didn’t see Michigan Tech and Ferris State losing in the first round of the Great Lakes Invitational. The picks get no easier this week as a few teams return to conference play and others continuing some intriguing nonconference series.

On to the picks …

Minnesota State at Northern Michigan

Shane: The third-ranked Mavericks kick off a tough second-half schedule with a trip to Marquette to face a Wildcats team that has cooled off since its red-hot start to the season. When we last left MSU, it had to cancel a game due to an illness that had spread through the team. The midseason break couldn’t have come at a better time. Same might be said for NMU, which has won one of its last seven games. I like the Mavericks’ offense more than the Wildcats’ defense right now. Mavericks 3-2, 4-2

Jack: The health of Mathaias Dahlstrom might be the key to this series. The NMU goalie missed their series at Bemidji State before the break and the Wildcats went 0-1-1 in Bemidji. If the Wildcazts have Dahlstrom back, they might be able to earn the split. If not, it could be rough on them. I don’t think Dahlstrom’s injury was serious so I’ll call a split assuming he returns healthy. Either way, they need him back healthy soon to try and get back on track. Wildcats 3-2, Mavericks 4-2

Alaska Anchorage at Alabama Huntsville

Shane: The Seawolves struggled in November and December, winning just one of eight games, although they have a win and two ties in their last three. If Anchorage has hopes of getting home ice for the playoffs, it needs to start getting points. There was a time, not all that long ago, when playing the Chargers seemed like an automatic four points. Not so anymore. Although, UAH is on a seven-game winless streak, it did score a tie at Nebraska Omaha on Sunday. Chargers 3-2, Seawolves 4-1

Jack: This could be an underrated fun series to watch. The Seawolves have some firepower but can’t seem to figure out how to close out games, while the Chargers have some good goalies but haven’t figured out how to score consistently. Maybe both teams will bring out the best in each other this weekend and we’ll see a split. Seawolves 3-1, Chargers 4-2

Ferris State at Alaska

Shane: Ferris State last week began a brutal stretch of games in which it will play just two home games in a span of six weekends. The Bulldogs are also the latest team to do the two-week stay in Alaska, which they begin this week against the Nanooks. I really think Alaska is a team that would get home ice (again) if it was eligible, and it will spend the rest of the season reminding people of that. Nanooks 3-1, 2-1

Jack: The fact that Alaska has to miss the playoffs is a real bummer. They’re an exciting team, and Tyler Morley and Colton Parayko probably aren’t getting the accolades they deserve due to the Nanooks’ punishment. Ferris might have a tough time up north so I’ll agree with you, Shane, and go with the sweep. Nanooks 4-3, 2-1

Michigan Tech at Wisconsin

Shane: The fifth-ranked team in the nation plays a one-win team. I’m sure that’s been a scenario in the past between these two teams, only with the roles reversed. I wonder when the last time Tech went to Madison as the favorite against the Badgers. Sometime in the 1970s, I suppose. The Huskies looked really good in the GLI last week, even in the 2-1 loss to Michigan in the first round. Huskies 4-2, 4-1

Jack: The only concern for the Huskies might be that they had a few less days of rest coming off the Sunday-Monday GLI games. I don’t really think that will affect them, though, since as you said, they looked very good in both games despite losing one. Wisconsin, meanwhile, has… not looked good this season. I can’t see anything other than a Tech sweep. Huskies 4-1, 4-1

Bowling Green vs. Robert Morris (Saturday-Sunday)

Shane: This series should be a good one between the 13th– and 19th-ranked teams in the country and will begin with an outdoor game at Fifth Third Field in Toledo (home of the Mud Hens!) before moving to Pittsburgh. The Falcons have lost just one of their last nine games and will be a force in the WCHA over the second half. It looks like the Colonials are pretty solid, too. Falcons 4-2, Colonials 3-2

Jack: The real question is if Bowling Green and Robert Morris will make like the host Toledo Walleye and wear some Star Wars-themed jerseys for the occasion. After all, playing a hockey game outdoors does remind one an awful lot of Hoth, doesn’t it? Anyway, I’m expecting a really entertaining series like you. I see a split as well. Falcons 5-3, Colonials 3-2

Last week: Shane 4-4-0, Jack 3-5-0

Overall: Shane 66-39-9, Jack 62-43-9

Hockey East’s top three teams set for second-half showdowns

Goaltender Brody Hoffman and Vermont are in third place in Hockey East as the second half starts (photo: Melissa Wade).

With a limited schedule since Hockey East teams returned from the holiday break (hats off to UMass-Lowell and Providence, however, for winning their respective holiday tournaments), all of the USCHO writers will be providing you with a not-so-brief look ahead to the second half.

And an exciting second half it should be. A resurgent Boston University team has grabbed tons of headlines and will continue to do so. Lowell is hunting for its third straight postseason title. And upstart teams like Merrimack will try to maintain momentum.

Here, then, is my look at what lies ahead:

Key matchups

There will be a number of key games and series ahead in the second half. Here’s a look at some of them.

Boston University vs. UMass-Lowell (at BU, Jan. 18; at Lowell, Feb. 6)
Boston University at Vermont (Jan. 23-24)
Vermont at UMass-Lowell (Feb. 27-28)

It’s hard to imagine, but none of the top three teams in Hockey East (Lowell, BU and Vermont) have faced one another thus far. That translates to what should be a few monumental games that we all have to keep our eyes on in coming weeks.

The first of those comes on Jan. 18. While much focus in Boston could be on the New England Patriots playing in that weekend’s AFC Championship game, the college hockey world should be thinking about a BU-Lowell clash at Agganis Arena.

The focus for Lowell will be shutting down the BU top line highlighted by Jack Eichel, who will be less than two weeks back from World Juniors. The Terriers’ job won’t be as easy, needing to target multiple Lowell players who have successfully found the net throughout 18 games this season.

The back end of that series is three weeks later on Feb. 6. BU will be challenged to not overlook the game should it successfully win its Beanpot semifinal against upstart Harvard the previous Monday, making the Beanpot final just three days away.

On Jan. 23 and 24, Vermont will host BU in a clash of offense vs. defense, part I. The Catamounts defense has been nothing short of stellar and has featured a pair of standout goaltenders in Brody Hoffman and Mike Santaguida. The Catamounts have limited opponents to a stingy 1.63 goals this season.

Conversely, BU’s offense led by Eichel, Danny O’Regan and defenseman-turned-forward Ahti Oksanen, has potted a cool 3.38 goals per game. Something’s got to give.

The final battle of this triumvirate won’t come until the final weekend of the regular season when Lowell hosts Vermont for two. Few will forget a season ago when these teams not only ended their season against one another but then faced off in an exciting best two-of-three quarterfinal series two weeks later with the River Hawks prevailing, two games to-one.

Many can argue that was Lowell’s biggest test on its way to a second-straight Lamoriello Trophy. This year will offer the clash of the offense vs. defense, part II, as Lowell is the only offense in Hockey East clicking at a higher pace than BU.

Providence at Boston College, Jan. 30

When these two teams met right after Thanksgiving, the pair combined for 81 shots but just a single goal. Thatcher Demko’s 37 saves were topped by Jon Gillies 43 stops and a shutout in a 1-0 Friars win.

Although there will still be a month left in the season, this could prove an important game for these two teams that haven’t quite lived up to their 1-2 preseason ranking in the coaches’ poll.

Merrimack at Vermont, Feb. 20-21

Merrimack’s play at Lawler Arena, where it posted a 7-1-1 mark in the first game, is nothing short of spectacular. And it has put the Warriors in position to be in the running for an NCAA bid come season’s end. But how will Merrimack play on the road? That’s a question that might be best answered when it travels to Vermont to take on the Catamounts twice in the second-to-last weekend of the regular season.

There are certainly a number of additional big games to keep our eye on in the second half. It should be plenty of fun.

Re-picking the champion: Boston University

Yes, I was like a sheep in a flock preseason when I picked Providence to win the league. And who knows, that might still happen (the play of the Friars the recently completed Catamount Cup certainly is a good sign).

But with a chance at a mulligan, I’m going to make a change and pick Boston University to win the regular season title. Yes, Eichel has taken this team and this league by storm and, despite being a rookie, is possibly the best candidate Hockey East will put forward for the Hobey Baker Award.

But Eichel’s arrival has been timed with the maturity of a number of players offensively and led BU to a 7-1-2 league mark, an 11-3-2 overall record and a deserved No. 1 ranking at the break. Goaltender Matt O’Connor proved he is capable of being a true No. 1 netminder, allowing a stingy 1.67 goals per game in 13 appearances.

And Danny O’Regan, a player everyone knew was a natural goal scorer, has already passed his 10 goals from a season ago with 12 in the first half.

There are a lot of tests that still lie ahead for this BU team, but the ability to keep this train rolling should lead to the club’s first regular season title since 2008-09.

Boston University’s Jack Eichel has set himself up to be Hockey East’s first player since Paul Kariya to earn rookie of the year and player of the year honors in the same season (photo: Melissa Wade).

Who gets the hardware?

It’s unusual for me to feel comfortable making postseason award predictions at the end of the season, let alone at the midpoint, but there is no doubt in my mind about two of the league’s major awards: Rookie of the year and player of the year will go to the same guy: Eichel.

Yes, I too feel this column has been a wet kiss to the 18-year-old phenom, but at this point in the season it is entirely deserved.

Eichel is the best freshman in the league since Maine’s Paul Kariya, who was the only player in league history to win both the ROY and POY. Sure, Eichel won’t reach Kariya’s 100 points his freshman season, but the game has also changed significantly and offense isn’t what it used to be.

To give some perspective, Kariya’s Maine team, which went 41-1-2 that season, averaged 6.75 goals per game. These days, the top offense rarely cracks 4.00 GPG, thus if Eichel records, say, 60 points this season, I think the comparison of the two players is perfectly on par.

As for the remaining major award in Hockey East, coach of the year, I think there are a number of candidates. You have to consider BU’s David Quinn to complete the awards trifecta. But you also need to consider Vermont’s Kevin Sneddon, who has slowly brought his program back from its six-win low point in 2012; Lowell’s Norm Bazin, whose club will make a run at the regular season title despite being picked seventh; and Merrimack’s Mark Dennehy, who may lead his club to the NCAA tournament despite being picked 10th to start the year.

The bold prediction: Notre Dame gets first-round bye, makes NCAA tournament

Yes, this is as bold as I am willing to get, although I think it really is going out on a bit of a limb. At 9-9-2, Notre Dame hasn’t exactly been a power through 20 games. But this team seems to have too many of the necessary components to not be a top-four team in this league.

There are enough offensively talented players (Vince Hinostroza, Mario Lucia, Thomas DiPauli, Robbie Russo, Sam Herr) and a decent enough goaltending tandem of Cal Petersen and Chad Katunar so that this team under the direction of a coach like Jeff Jackson should be able to put forth significant accomplishments.

If there is one must for this team — and it’s a big one — Notre Dame must get its power play going. With a 6.1 percent efficiency rating, Notre Dame is ranked 58th of 59 nationally (Niagara at 5.6 percent is worst) and didn’t get off to the greatest start after the break, going 0-for-8 in a 3-2 overtime win over Miami in the first game back.

The NCAA tournament: Who will make the field?

It’s probably too early to even look at the PairWise Rankings and talk about the NCAA field, but this wouldn’t be much of a look-ahead column if I didn’t do so.

Certainly, BU has put itself in the best position, ranked fifth in the PairWise and holding an 11-3-2 mark at the break. The Terriers have done so against the seventh-toughest schedule to this point, making them Hockey East’s clubhouse leader to make the tourney.

After that, Vermont and Lowell have the record at the break but will need to still perform well in the second half. Despite the Catamounts at 14-4-1 and Lowell at 12-3-3, neither of their schedules has held its end of the bargain. Vermont’s schedule is ranked 27th and Lowell’s 23rd.

Providence and Merrimack are both alive in the NCAA discussion, and Merrimack could put to the test an argument I have been making for some time. I have often contended that you don’t have to play what appears to be the toughest out-of-conference schedule to make the tournament. Instead, you need to win out-of-conference games.

Outside of Hockey East, Merrimack has played Holy Cross, Mercyhurst and Clarkson twice, and Princeton and Connecticut (in a tournament) once each. That’s not thought of as the most demanding schedule, but the Warriors’ strength of schedule is ranked 13th (Merrimack has already played Providence and BU twice each in conference).

Merrimack is 6-1-1 out of conference, bettered in the league only by Vermont (7-1). Merrimack still has some tough nonleague games on the docket, beginning Friday at Minnesota, but if the Warriors remain a .500 team in league and hold on to an NCAA spot, it may prove that it’s not the difficulty of the out-of-conference schedule that is as important as your out-of-conference success.

A holiday letter from the D-I Women’s coaching family

You must all be familiar with those letters that people enclose in their Christmas cards summarizing the activities and accomplishments of everyone in the family, in some cases out to distant relatives and family pets. As the digital age has advanced, these letters have started to feature more pictures than prose, but I’m a writer, not a photojournalist, so we’ll be doing a throwback version of a Christmas letter.

Since much of my year consists of going to hockey games, and I’ve already written about those, I’ve decided to write a letter that would be included in a Christmas card that you’d receive from the D-I women’s hockey coaching family.

Disclaimer: the content below may contain statements that are untrue — even more so than most of my columns.

Greetings hockey fans!

We are midway through a typical season where each success comes with a setback for another member of our family. That tends to spark argument among us as to whether we present that as good or bad news, so we’ll just offer a glimpse as to what is new with each of us.

First, we’d like to introduce you to a future member of our family, Erin Hamlen. Her work at Merrimack thus far doesn’t include games or players, but it also means one attribute of our dream job, no parents. (Wait — are we sending this to parents?)

Union’s Claudia Asano Barcomb is using the break to look up home remedies on the Internet for treating bruises after Shenae Lundberg made over 600 saves thus far; no other goalie has yet reached 500 saves for the season.

Amy Bourbeau has reason to celebrate after Brown scored five or more goals four times in its first 13 games, after failing to score more than four in any game last season. Her secret? She trashed the “Hockey For Dummies” text the team was using and replaced it with a text she authored, “Hockey For People Smart Enough To Get Into Brown.”

Penn State’s Josh Brandwene is spending as much of his time in University Park as possible around Russ Rose, in the hope of learning secrets to building a championship team. Rose’s advice thus far has been essentially, “You need more height on your roster.”

Earlier this month, John Burke’s Rensselaer squad defeated Brown, scoring seven goals in the process. That was the most goals the Engineers had scored in a game in more than five years, though it must have felt a little like taking a Charlie Brown Christmas tree home and having all needles fall off when the Bears outscored RPI, 5-0, over the final 19 minutes.

Robert Morris’ Paul Colontino starts every day by watching the movie “Groundhog Day” in the hope that it will yield some insight into how he can go back and redo the season to date. Thus far, he has merely learned Sonny Bono’s vocal performance on “I’ve Got You Babe” would not have enabled him to win any season of The Voice, even if he’d been the only contestant.

Given none of their teams have more than two Hockey East wins to this point, Providence’s Bob Deraney, Connecticut’s Chris MacKenzie, and Vermont’s Jim Plumer are wondering who favored the change to best-of-three quarterfinals in the league playoffs this year. They are working with USA Hockey to send most of the Boston College roster to PyeongChang, South Korea, three years early.

Doug Derraugh’s Cornell squad is off to its slowest start since 2006-07, his second season as head coach, but it has won three straight. A barometer of success going forward: the Big Red are .500 overall, but are 5-0-0 when senior Jillian Saulnier scores a goal.

Clarkson’s Matt Desrosiers is basking in the afterglow of the ultimate NCAA success, but also learning that coaching 20 women gets a lot more complicated without access to the bailout response of, “You should probably talk to Shannon about that.”

Boston University’s Brian Durocher is back to working on a project he first started three years ago while Marie-Philip Poulin was injured: how to clone a human without the prolonged waiting period inherent in going the “Dolly the Sheep” route. His previous attempts failed, but he has since made a few tweaks after he discovered on the Internet that typical human cloning doesn’t work when the original is superhuman.

Greg Fargo is looking into the idea of having Colgate join the Ivy League. His first three Raiders teams have failed to reach five wins by the break, so one solution would be to play fewer games in the first half. It’s like the old joke where the guy tells the doctor, “It hurts when I do this,” and the doctor replies, “Well, don’t do that.”

Syracuse’s Paul Flanagan thinks it would be nice if hockey games were like Christmas gifts. That way, one could stop and savor that first-ever win for the Orange over Mercyhurst, and just take the games at Boston College and Clarkson back to the store and never think of them again.

Northeastern’s Dave Flint tries to avoid watching Pittsburgh Penguins games, because once he does, the rest of his day is invariably spent in frustration as he ponders why Taylor Crosby became a goaltender.

Yale’s Joakim Flygh is trying to decide if the glass is half-full or half-empty in New Haven. Yes, some might have anticipated a bit more from Yale, whose .500 record includes a win over Sacred Heart. It’s still an improvement for a team that didn’t record double-digit wins last season and three short years ago finished 1-27-1.

Minnesota’s Brad Frost is battling depression in Minneapolis after the third straight semester in which his team failed to go undefeated.

Two years ago, Ohio State’s Nate Handrahan’s team went into the break ranked No. 10, but then opened the second half of the season by going 2-9-1. He has solved that problem by only giving the Buckeyes one weekend off for the holiday, and thus, less time at home with mom’s baking.

Dartmouth’s Mark Hudak is quickly becoming a believer in the theory that hockey games are a race to three goals. The Big Green are undefeated when scoring at least three, but have lost all six when scoring two or fewer. Dartmouth didn’t tally as many as three times in any of its 20 losses last year, either.

North Dakota’s Brian Idalski and his team are appreciating the family time that the holiday break offers all the more this year after the serious automobile accident involving sophomore Lisa Marvin that necessitated her hospitalization for a week in November.

Wisconsin’s Mark Johnson recently announced that he’ll be leaving Madison at the end of the season to become the next coach at Minnesota-Duluth. Just kidding, Badgers fans. Like the drive to grandma’s house, these things get a little long, and sometimes you need a little something to wake you up and get you refocused.

Jeff Kampersal gets to enjoy the holidays a bit more this year, after having to prepare for coaching the United States in the Under-18 World Championships the previous two seasons. He’s in his 19th season at the helm at Princeton, and the Tigers have recorded double-digit wins in his first 18.

Boston College’s Katie King Crowley is getting into the holiday spirit in Chestnut Hill by doing the “Elf on the Shelf” thing. So far, all of her pictures have displayed the elf in a hockey net. She says with her players, that’s where everything ends up.

Scott McDonald and RIT got off to a strong 5-2-1 start to the year, but finished with a rough 2-9-2 stretch that leaves the team four games below .500 for the first time since moving to Division-I. Most of the losses have come without star goaltender Ali Binnington, who carried the Tigers to their first CHA championship in March.

Minnesota State’s Eric Means is spending more time working with kids in Mankato this year. I thought it was nice that he is giving back to the community by helping out youth, but he says it is actually his varsity team.

Shannon Miller recently learned that the 16th year isn’t that sweet after all, at least not in Duluth.

Maine’s Richard Reichenbach and his wife and assistant Sara welcomed daughter Mia into their family on Aug. 30. We always hear of children growing up around hockey, but usually not so literally. Link: http://www.goblackbears.com/sports/w-hockey/2014-15/videos/20141217-knmbmvwr

Eric Rud is adjusting to being back in St. Cloud after spending three years in Colorado, where both the arena and the fans are a mile high.

First-year coach James Scanlan has the shortest break of any coach with only 12 days off between games. It really amounts to just another bye week, one of five for Bemidji State over the course of the season.

Rick Seeley is enjoying the view from atop the ECAC standings. Still, he gets a bit of an uneasy feeling to see that his team has 13 wins. Over the previous four seasons, Quinnipiac has had an average of exactly 13 wins at the break, but didn’t reach double digits in victories after the new year in any of those campaigns.

Contrary to popular belief, Mercyhurst’s Mike Sisti has found that his head actually feels heavier on those rare instances when he isn’t the one wearing the crown.

Lindenwood’s Scott Spencer and New Hampshire’s Hilary Witt are lobbying the NCAA to adopt the approach of the International Olympic Committee or FIFA for the World Cup and allow the hosts to automatically participate in upcoming Frozen Fours in St. Charles and Durham.

Harvard’s Katey Stone is back in Cambridge after traveling the world during the early part of the year. Sochi, Russia, was one of her destinations, but apparently that trip lasted a few minutes too long.

The holiday break is a hard time for St. Lawrence’s Chris Wells. He’s not accustomed to going four weeks without pulling his goalie for an extra attacker.

Like many families, we have our share of differences. For example, we can agree that on-ice officials are wrong about half the time, but we disagree about which half. So we’ll close by saying Happy New Year, and the very best wishes for whatever other holiday you may celebrate that we couldn’t agree on how to spell.

WCHA settles in for a three-team race for the MacNaughton Cup

Minnesota State has positioned itself for a run at the MacNaughton Cup (photo: Jim Rosvold).

Halftime of the college hockey season is just about done, and it’s time to look ahead to the rest of what shapes up to be a pretty competitive year. Let’s take a look into our crystal ball and try to determine what’s ahead for the WCHA’s 10 teams:

Key games/series

Shane: As of right now, the race for the MacNaughton Cup appears to be a three-team race. Minnesota State and Michigan Tech are tied atop the standings, and Bowling Green is three points behind with two games in hand.

Minnesota State swept Michigan Tech in mid-November, handing the Huskies their only two conference losses so far, and the two teams meet again Feb. 27-28 in Mankato in a series that just might determine who wins the league’s regular season title.

Another team to keep an eye on is defending champion Ferris State, which can get back in the hunt with a crazy month of games from Jan. 16 to Feb. 14 when it plays eight games in a row against Minnesota State and Bowling Green.

Jack: Looking beyond the race for the MacNaughton Cup, the competition for that fourth and final home-ice slot will also be quite intriguing. At the break, Ferris State and Northern Michigan are tied for fourth place with 12 points apiece.

Alaska, which isn’t postseason-eligible, is in sixth with 10 points while Bemidji State is seventh with nine points. Because Alaska is out of the running for the playoffs but can still earn points, games against the Nanooks are still going to be key for everyone involved.

Ferris opens up the second half this weekend in Fairbanks, which will be a key series for the Bulldogs to put some separation between themselves and the rest of the field competing for home ice.

Given how the league’s standings are always-changing, it may not do much good to look beyond January, but if both Bemidji State and Northern Michigan are still in the middle of the league table in February, that Feb. 13-14 series in Marquette could go a long way to deciding who will be hosting a first-round playoff series.

Predicted champion/standings

Shane: As tight as I believe this race is, I remain confident that the Mavericks are the best team in the conference and will win their first MacNaughton Cup by season’s end.

The Mavericks have too much firepower, making it difficult for defenses to key on one line. Their schedule is not easy going forward, and their goaltending needs to get more consistent, but an underrated aspect of the team is its puck-possession time, which has kept opposing team’s shots to a minimum. My final standings look like this:

1. Minnesota State
2. Michigan Tech
3. Bowling Green
4. Ferris State
5. Alaska*
6. Bemidji State
7. Northern Michigan
8. Alaska-Anchorage
9. Alabama-Huntsville
10. Lake Superior State
* — ineligible for postseason

Jack: I’m inclined to agree with you, Shane. I think the Mavericks have proven themselves to be the best team in the league. They’ve already swept Tech on the road so I think technically they hold some sort of tiebreaker if the teams finish tied.

That being said, Michigan Tech is a good hockey team. Jamie Phillips should be a Hobey Baker Award candidate this year and if the Huskies can score a little more in front of him they are going to be scary come tournament time:

1. Minnesota State
2. Michigan Tech
3. Bowling Green
4. Ferris State
5. Northern Michigan
6. Bemidji State
7. Alaska*
8. Alaska-Anchorage
9. Alabama-Huntsville
10. Lake Superior State
* — ineligible for postseason

Bowling Green’s Chris Bergeron is in contention for WCHA coach of the year honors (photo: Todd Pavlack/BGSUHockey.com).

Predicted award winners

Shane: Right now, the races for the conference’s individual awards and statistical leaders are wide open. That’s really no surprise. But there are a lot more players to choose from now than when we were picking preseason awards.

That being said, it’s generally the second half of the season that makes the biggest impact on voters.

Player of the year: Bryce Gervais, Minnesota State
Rookie of the year: Brad McClure, Minnesota State
Defensive player of the year: Colton Parayko, Alaska
Coach of the year: Chris Bergeron, Bowling Green

All-WCHA
F Bryce Gervais, Minnesota State
F Tanner Kero, Michigan Tech
F Matt Robertson, Ferris State
D Zach Palmquist, Minnesota State
D Colton Parayko, Alaska
G Jamie Phillips, Michigan Tech

Jack: I think we can probably agree that Chris Bergeron is going to be coach of the year (although Tech’s Mel Pearson could swoop in and claim that honor). Either way, these awards are tough to dole out at midseason.

So here’s a guesstimate. There are too many good players in the WCHA this year.

Player of the year: Tanner Kero, Michigan Tech
Rookie of the year: Max McHugh, Alabama-Huntsville
Defensive player of the year: Colton Parayko, Alaska
Coach of the year: Chris Bergeron, Bowling Green

All-WCHA
F Bryce Gervais, Minnesota State
F Tanner Kero, Michigan Tech
F Tyler Morley, Alaska
D Matt Prapavessis, Bemidji State
D Colton Parayko, Alaska
G Jamie Phillips, Michigan Tech

Bold prediction

Shane: A WCHA team will compete for the national title. Is this bold enough? Do I need to pick an actual team? Would it be better to pick a team winning the actual championship? Probably not. Might be nice. Have some guts, man!

Let’s just say this: The feel-good story of this sport come April 11 will be the WCHA team that is playing for a championship. Will it be Michigan Tech, going for its fourth title but first since 1975 (the Huskies last shot at a fourth came in ’76)? Will it be Bowling Green, going for its second but first since Jerry York’s team won that four-overtime thriller over Minnesota-Duluth in 1984? Will it be Minnesota State, going for its first as a Division I program (it won a D-II title in 1980)? Stay tuned.

Jack: How about Alabama-Huntsville in the Final Five? Due to Alaska’s postseason ineligibility, only one team (besides the Nanooks) is going to be left out of the playoffs rather than two, so there’s another shot for a team in the lower half of the standings to make a playoff run.

If the Chargers can get into the playoffs, I think they’d have a chance to steal two games from someone. We’ve seen their ability to stay in games against the top teams in the league, especially with goaltender Carmine Guerriero. Can they do it twice in the row in the playoffs?

Who makes the NCAA tournament and why?

Shane: Commissioner Bill Robertson boldly said last summer that he hoped the WCHA could get three or more teams in the national tournament, and I believe that will happen. Three teams are in position to do that, with Minnesota State, Michigan Tech and Bowling Green (sensing a theme here?) all in the top 10 of the PairWise Rankings to start 2015.

Those teams’ consistency in conference play and success outside the league (a combined 10-6-1 record against solid competition) will keep them in the mix, and there might even be a No. 1 seed in the group.

Jack: If those three teams stay in their positions at the end of the season, the WCHA may have the opportunity to sneak in a fourth team if someone else wins the Final Five and wins the at-large bid. Even if that doesn’t happen, there’s a good chance the WCHA will have more teams in the tournament than the Big Ten, which should at least make old-school WCHA fans happy.

If Minnesota State, Michigan Tech and Bowling Green don’t all make it, I’d be surprised.

With the top half of the league separated by two points, here’s an NCHC second-half primer

North Dakota and Miami close the regular season against each other on March 6 and 7 in Oxford, Ohio (photo: Bradley K. Olson).

The first half of the season has been a successful one for the NCHC, which had as many as six teams in the USCHO.com Division I Men’s Poll at one point. At the close of the first half, five teams are in the top 12, with three in the top seven.

With so many teams having good seasons, it’s no surprise that the league is once again ultra-competitive. Miami and Minnesota-Duluth sit in a tie for first place with 21 points, one point ahead of Omaha and two points ahead of North Dakota. Denver sits in fifth place with 12 points, but has three games in hand on the four teams above it, which potentially equals nine points.

The second half is shaping up to be a fierce race for the Penrose Cup, awarded to the league’s regular season champion, so we’ll start by looking at some key series in the second half, predict a champion and the overall standings, predict some stat leaders, and look at who from the league might be in the NCAA tournament come March.

Key series

Jan. 9-10: Minnesota-Duluth at North Dakota

The Ralph is always a tough place to play, and with these two neck-and-neck in the standings, this series could go a long way to determining the league champ.

Jan. 9-10: Denver at Omaha

As stated earlier, Denver has three games in hand on Omaha and trails the Mavericks by eight points. Denver needs to at least split, and preferably sweep, to have a chance at home ice in the league playoffs.

Jan. 23-24: Denver at Miami

Another key series for the Pioneers, who will be in a dogfight for home ice, as well as an important one for the RedHawks, who have to get points to stay in first.

Jan. 30-31: North Dakota at Omaha

In the two weeks before this series, each squad plays Colorado College, the current NCHC cellar dweller, but a team that has shown it is a problematic out. If CC gets points against either, this series becomes even more critical.

Jan. 30-31: Minnesota-Duluth at Denver

Expect another battle between these two huge rivals.

Feb. 13-14: Denver at North Dakota

These two played to close the first half in Denver, and it was an incredible series that resulted in a split. Both teams demonstrated exceptional speed and toughness. This could be the series of the second half.

Feb. 20-21: Minnesota-Duluth at Miami

Depending on what happens in the first six weeks of the second half, this series could decide the Penrose Cup champion.

Feb. 27-28: Omaha at Minnesota-Duluth

Again, a huge series that could decide the Penrose Cup.

Feb. 27-28: Miami at Denver

There won’t be many places for either team to gain ground after this series.

March 6-7: North Dakota at Miami

Talk about a way to end the regular season. These are two top teams that both could have a chance to win the Penrose Cup. Last season, North Dakota lost the Penrose Cup in the regular season’s final game when it fell to Western Michigan. Will history repeat itself?

Predicted champ

The NCHC is such a tough league to pick a champion for. With the way five teams are potentially bunched up right now, I think you could flip a coin and have a better chance of picking a regular season champ.

Of the five teams that could be in contention (six, if Western Michigan builds momentum from its closing weekend in the first half), I’ve seen only two: North Dakota and Denver. In some ways, Omaha has the best chance to gain points, because the Mavericks are the only team in contention that has four games against Colorado College in the second half, though I still think CC is better than its record shows.

That said, I picked Miami at the start of the year, and I think I’ll stick with it, with the last series of the season in Oxford deciding it.

Predicted standings

I’m not the best prognosticator, but here’s my best guess at a finish order:

1. Miami
2. North Dakota
3. Omaha
4. Minnesota-Duluth
5. Denver
6. St. Cloud State
7. Western Michigan
8. Colorado College

Miami’s Austin Czarnik has 20 assists and no goals through 18 games (photo: Bradley K. Olson).

Predicted stat leaders

This is a tough one as well. The NCHC has four players in the top 20 in scoring nationally: North Dakota’s Drake Caggiula and Michael Parks, Omaha’s Austin Ortega and Miami’s Austin Czarnik.

Dominic Toninato of Minnesota-Duluth leads the league in goals scored with 13, two ahead of Ortega. Jay Williams of Miami leads all goaltenders with a 1.66 GAA, with Denver’s Evan Cowley second at 1.89. North Dakota’s Zane McIntyre leads the league in wins with 13, one ahead of Williams.

My best guess on the league scoring champ is Czarnik. The reason: Through 18 games, he has 20 assists and no goals. That has to change, and when Czarnik starts potting a few goals of his own, I expect he’ll overtake Caggiula, who I think will finish second in points.

Toninato and Ortega, both sophomores, are 1-2 in goals scored. Jonny Brodzinski of St. Cloud State is third, although he has played two fewer games than both Toninato and Ortega. Given that, I’m going with Brodzinski to finish atop the league in goals scored, as I think his extra year of experience will get him a few more points. Further, St. Cloud will be playing desperate hockey and trying to get back into contention for an NCAA tournament berth, and I think the Huskies might try to open up their offense a little more as a result.

For goalie wins, I expect North Dakota’s McIntyre to lead the league, partly because I think he will likely play more games than Williams in the second half. However, I think Williams will continue his excellent play and lead the league in GAA. I expect Omaha’s Ryan Massa to lead in save percentage, however, in part because Omaha tends to play a more open style and Massa will face more shots as a result.

NCAA tournament

Last year, the NCHC sent three teams to the 16-team NCAA tournament field. Could more make it this year? It’s certainly possible.

All five NCHC teams ranked in the USCHO.com Division I Men’s Poll are also in the top 16 in the PairWise Rankings, which means barring upsets in the conference tournaments, all five would make the NCAA tournament. Denver is the lowest, at 15th, while Minnesota-Duluth and Omaha are third and fourth, Miami is sixth and North Dakota is 10th.

Why not? I’ll be a league homer and pick all five to make the NCAA tournament field and make it an NCHC party. After all, the games each play against the other will help in the PairWise.

Minnesota-Duluth is the only team with more than two out-of-conference games left, and while those games are tough (two against Northern Michigan, one against Bemidji State and one against either Minnesota or Minnesota State), I think the Bulldogs are strong enough to at least split those four and keep their PairWise high.

I also think the winner of the league autobid is likely to be one of those five teams.

Random prediction

All the USCHO writers were asked to make a bold prediction in this second half preview, so after thinking it over, here’s mine: The NCAA tournament champion will be a team from the NCHC.

I’m not sure which yet, but I think in the league’s second year, one of its teams will be crowned national champion.

Bring on the second half!

Canada knocks off Team USA in New Year’s Eve World Junior contest

MONTREAL — Canada topped the United States 5-3 Wednesday afternoon in both teams’ final preliminary game of the IIHF World Junior Championship at the Bell Centre.

[scg_html_wjc2015]Boston College’s Thatcher Demko made 38 saves for Team USA and was named the U.S. Player of the Game.

“It was a heck of a hockey game between two good teams,” said Team USA coach Mark Osiecki in a news release. “Our guys battled to the finish. Certainly it’s disappointing to lose, but we’ll be better from this game.”

Dylan Larkin (Michigan) scored twice in the third period and Anthony DeAngelo added the other goal for the Americans.

The U.S. faces Russia in the quarterfinals on Friday at 1 p.m. EDT.

A second-half Big Ten forecast, with a bold pick for tournament champion

Can Michigan State make some noise in the Big Ten’s second half? (photo: Shelley M. Szwast)

For most leagues, the start of the second half brings with it a return to full-on conference play, competition that began months ago. For the Big Ten, however, the start of the second half feels like the start of the season.

No one in the league has played more than four conference games, which means that the bulk of what will be decided for Big Ten teams will be decided between now and March 21, when the league playoff champion will emerge from Joe Louis Arena. Given what we saw in the first half of the season, there is very interesting hockey ahead.

It’s a good time to look at the rest of the season in light of the recent past, and each of USCHO.com’s conference columns is doing just that this week — and likely doing a better job of prognostication than I can. Have you seen my picks record this season?

Don’t take any of this to the bank.

Games and series to watch

It’s too cheap to say that every single series counts for B1G teams because nearly all of the conference play is in the second half. Here are three series that I’m anticipating will significantly influence the final regular season standings:

Minnesota at Michigan, Jan. 9-10

Straight away in the second half, the Gophers face the Wolverines in Ann Arbor, with Minnesota looking to pick up key road points from arguably its best conference competition. Last season, the Golden Gophers were 3-1 against Michigan, with the sole win by the Wolverines their last meeting of the season, a 6-2 drubbing in Ann Arbor on March 15.

Minnesota hosts the Mariucci Classic on Jan. 2-3, a weekend that sees the Wolverines resting after capturing their 16th Great Lakes Invitational title on Dec. 29. Michigan will also get a boost from returning forwards JT Compher, Dylan Larkin and Tyler Motte, as well as defenseman Zach Werenski, all of whom play for Team USA in this year’s World Junior Championship.

The Wolverines travel to Minneapolis a month later to face the Gophers for another two-game series.

Michigan vs. Michigan State, Jan. 30 and Feb. 7

These two games will be played in Joe Louis Arena, where the Wolverines and Spartans met for the GLI championship game — a dandy game that saw the Wolverines hang on for a 2-1 win. The Wolverines are 29-18-5 all-time against the Spartans at the Joe and have won six straight games against Michigan State in JLA, dating to Jan. 29, 2011.

In this series played eight days apart, each team will have the home-ice advantage once. The teams end the regular season with a true home-and-home series, with the Spartans hosting in Munn Ice Arena on March 13 and Michigan the following night in Yost.

Obviously, if Michigan can continue to take advantage of the Spartans in what seems like the not-so-neutral Joe, the games in Detroit can help the Wolverines chase the Golden Gophers.

Minnesota at Penn State, Feb. 20-21

The Golden Gophers swept the Nittany Lions last season, winning 3-2 and 5-2 in Pegula Arena the second week in January, followed by 5-1 and 2-1 games in Mariucci on Feb. 28 and March 1. That was then, though. So far this season, the Nittany Lions are 5-0-1 at home and at this point sit atop the Big Ten standings with their 3-0-1 record. I don’t think anyone expects Penn State to remain at the top of the standings, but the Nittany Lions will push every team they play this season.

After losing two games at the Three Rivers Classic, the Nittany Lions have a home stretch of nine games, including three conference series. The weekend before Penn State welcomes Minnesota, the Nittany Lions are on the road for two games against Michigan State — another series that could very well be key. Returning home will give the Nittany Lions the boost they need as they attempt to take their first league points from the Golden Gophers, especially if Pegula is particularly friendly to Penn State during that nine-game home stretch.

Making that weekend even more interesting is a home-and-home series between Michigan and Ohio State.

Meet the new boss, same as the old boss

Here’s how the Big Ten coaches predicted that the league would finish at the start of this season:

1. Minnesota
2. Michigan
3. Wisconsin
4. Ohio State
5. Michigan State
6. Penn State

Here’s how I picked them at the start of the season:

1. Minnesota
2. Wisconsin
3. Michigan
4. Ohio State
5. Michigan State
6. Penn State

How nice to have a chance to revise these picks at midseason. It’s also nice to see that I wasn’t alone in some of my mistaken assumptions.

The one position I won’t revise is Minnesota at the top. Here’s how I now see the final standings:

1. Minnesota
2. Michigan
3. Penn State
4. Michigan State
5. Ohio State
6. Wisconsin

I’d say there’s a good chance for just a point or two to separate Penn State from Michigan State in the final standings. I don’t think that the Buckeyes or Badgers will make enough noise to affect the top four places in the standings, although it’s possible they swap places at the end of the season.

Penn State’s Guy Gadowsky could be on his way to the coach of the year award (photo: Jim Rosvold).

These guys will take home some hardware

Here are my picks for postseason Big Ten honors:

Coach of the year — Guy Gadowsky, Penn State

I think Gadowsky will lead the Nittany Lions to a winning season and into the NCAA tournament. He’s certainly proven in just three short years that he was an excellent choice to build Penn State’s new program.

Player of the year — Casey Bailey, Penn State

The junior forward is on pace for a career scoring season (11-8–19) and if the Nittany Lions can take their lessons from the second half of 2013-14 and the first half of this season all the way to March, they’ll be a team to reckon with in every single series. Bailey will be a big reason for Penn State’s success. He’s the kind of guy who scores in the clutch, and I think he’ll do so repeatedly in the second half.

Goaltender of the year — Adam Wilcox, Minnesota

The Big Ten hasn’t exactly established itself as a league of fearsome goaltending in the early going, but the Minnesota junior has been steady and is likely to remain so. His .926 save percentage at midseason is slightly down last year’s final season total of .932 and his 2.15 GAA is up from last year’s 1.97, but I attribute that to an overall Golden Gophers team defense that will only improve as the season progresses.

Defensive player of the year — Mike Reilly, Minnesota

The junior defenseman plays both sides of the puck well, and can play in any situation.

Freshman of the year — Zach Werenski, Michigan

It was tough to choose between Werenski, a defenseman, and Michigan forward Dylan Larkin. They’re both terrific players, but I think Werenski is the kind of player who noticeably elevates the level of play of every player on the ice when he’s in the mix.

First team

Casey Bailey, F, Penn State
Andrew Copp, F, Michigan
Connor Reilly, F, Minnesota
Michael Downing, D, Michigan
Mike Reilly, D, Minnesota
Adam Wilcox, G, Minnesota

All-freshman team

Tony Calderone, F, Michigan
Scott Conway, F, Penn State
Dylan Larkin, F, Michigan
Josh Jacobs, D, Michigan State
Zach Werenski, D, Michigan
No goalie

This year’s playoff champion: Michigan State

Yup. I predict that the Spartans will play their way into the NCAA tournament by capturing the league’s second playoff championship — and I think it’s the only way that Michigan State will get a bid.

When this Michigan State teams plays the game it can, it can compete with anyone and take points in every weekend. I don’t think, however, that the Spartans will take points in each series and Michigan State will wind up on the losing side of hard-fought, close, heartbreaking games, like this year’s 2-1 Great Lakes Invitational title game loss to Michigan.

That kind of effort — coupled with significant belief in their collective mission — will fuel the Spartans in Detroit in March. The Big Ten tournament this year will be gritty regardless, given the way each of the league’s teams plays, but Michigan State’s determination will make it even grittier, with low-scoring matches that are toughed out by players who are not yet and may never be household names.

Look for forwards Michael Ferrantino and Brent Darnell to be named to the all-tournament team.

Four Big Ten teams will make the NCAA tournament

This is an incredibly unlikely scenario. Only Minnesota is among the top 16 teams in the PairWise Rankings at midseason. Still, Michigan and Penn State aren’t that far off and a lot can happen between now and March.

Minnesota will be a high seed in the NCAA tournament and Michigan will play its way up to a top-10 seeding. Penn State will be a bubble team that gets to go in just its third year of Division I play, and Michigan State will be the 15th or 16th seed in the tournament, depending on everything else that transpires.

Will Atlantic Hockey see another unpredictable second half?

Watch for Matthew Zay and Mercyhurst in the Atlantic Hockey playoffs when March comes around (photo: Omar Phillips).

With the calendar about to turn to 2015, there’s one thing certain when it comes to Atlantic Hockey — insanity and chaos reign supreme.

Last season, a Robert Morris team that entered the semester break at 2-12-2 ripped off a nine-game undefeated streak and went 11-4-4 in the second half en route to the conference playoff championship. The year prior, Canisius lost five in a row before stringing together eight straight wins to claim its banner.

Those two unpredictable years came on the heels of a 2012 tournament where the final four teams playing for a league championship were the top four seeds. In 2011, the top three teams made it to the league championship weekend. Both times, the top seed won it all.

Second-half points come at an even higher valuation. Every game, every period and every shift become even more important than previous ones. Teams can’t focus on anything more than the immediate step in front of them. As Sacred Heart coach CJ Marottolo said in our season preview: “There’s no days off. Points in any game are hard to come by, so it puts an importance on being able to come out every night.”

Key games and series

Jan. 2-3: Air Force at Holy Cross

Air Force is in unfamiliar territory at 5-12-2 overall. But its 4-5-1 AHA record represents the fewest games played in conference. The Falcons open their second half with just their second trip east this year, and they draw one of the best defensive teams in the league. Typically a ferocious second half team, this is a fantastic litmus test for the Falcons.

Jan. 9-10: Bentley at Robert Morris, Holy Cross at Canisius

Bentley finished its first half by waxing Air Force, while Holy Cross leads the pack of teams playing catch-up to the Colonials. Canisius entered the break going 2-1-2. Robert Morris is Robert Morris. All four teams are in the top five of the league standings. Business, as they say, is about to pick up.

Feb. 6-7: Air Force at Sacred Heart

After Holy Cross, Air Force hosts Niagara and Army before hosting American International. Robert Morris is forced to travel to Colorado after the Falcons took three points from the Colonials in Pittsburgh. If it starts heating up, Air Force easily could be threatening for one of the league’s top four seeds. The Pioneers, meanwhile, are in the thick of things with a reputation for playing everybody tough. If they’re in that middle pack after games with Mercyhurst, Niagara, Rochester Institute of Technology and American International, this series will be incredibly pressure packed. The shadow of postseason travel to Air Force gives it even higher stakes.

Feb. 20-21: Mercyhurst vs. Canisius

Two of the league’s original rivals enter the second half situated in the top five. Both project to be huge factors in the playoff race. Played on the league’s second-to-last weekend, this is the heavyweight matchup nearly every fan will keep an eye to while their team’s games are going on.

Predicted standings

Because of the discrepancy in games played, I’ve grown the habit of reorganizing the standings according to win percentage and not points. If that were the case, the standings today would look something like this (with actual place in standings in parentheses):

1. Robert Morris (1)
2. Holy Cross (2)
3. Mercyhurst (T-4)
4. Bentley (3)
5. Canisius (T-4)
6. RIT (6)
7. Air Force (9)
8. Sacred Heart (T-7)
9. American International (10)
10. Army (T-7)
11. Niagara (11)

Taking that into account, along with remaining schedules, I’ll predict the final standings as something like this:

1. Robert Morris
2. Holy Cross
3. Bentley
4. Mercyhurst
5. Air Force
6. Canisius
7. Sacred Heart
8. RIT
9. Niagara
10. American International
11. Army

If I’m right, the first round of the playoffs will have the following series:

Army at Canisius
AIC at Sacred Heart
Niagara at RIT

Bentley, Holy Cross, and Robert Morris await results in the quarterfinals. Air Force heads to Mercyhurst with the fifth-place bye.

Holy Cross’ Matt Ginn is in the running for Atlantic Hockey’s MVP award (photo: Melissa Wade).

Predicted award winners

Professor Chris Lerch handed out his “midterm grades” a couple of weeks ago. Here are mine, although there aren’t many differences:

Midseason all-conference

F Andrew Gladiuk, jr., Bentley
F Cody Wydo, sr., Robert Morris
F Matt Garbowsky, sr., RIT
D Steve Weinstein, sr., Bentley
D Chris Rumble, sr., Canisius
G Matt Ginn, sr., Holy Cross

Midseason all-rookie

F Brady Ferguson, Robert Morris
F Tyler Pham, Army
F Jonathan Charbonneau, Mercyhurst
D Jack Riley, Mercyhurst
D Andrew Debrincat, AIC
G Jayson Argue, Bentley

Midseason MVP: Matt Ginn, Holy Cross

Bold second-half predictions

I’m good for a few crazy thoughts, so let’s go:

• Robert Morris and Holy Cross finish 1-2 in the league, but they will not play each other for a league championship. For the third straight year, I’ll go so far to say one of the top two seeds doesn’t go to Rochester.

• Bentley will play Canisius in the playoffs for the third straight year. This time, however, I think Bentley wins it.

• AIC will win some games down the stretch, and it will have huge ramifications in the playoffs. This seems to happen every year, for what it’s worth.

• Sacred Heart is my sleeper team to really do some damage in the second half and in the playoffs.

• Mercyhurst will advance to Rochester for a fourth straight year, and it will meet Bentley in the semifinals. The winner is going to the national tournament with a trophy in its case.

So who makes the NCAA tournament?

I’m going to start with a criticism of the PairWise Rankings. Robert Morris is going to be held back by statistics out of its control. If the Colonials have a solid second half, they will finish the year ranked as one of the best 15 teams in the national poll. Because of computer statistics, however, RMU is going to be denied a chance at the national tournament unless it wins it all.

I’m picking Mercyhurst to win the league championship. I believe Atlantic Hockey deserves a second team in the tournament, but unless some computer math breaks the right way, the champion’s the only team getting in. For the first time since 2005, that’s the Lakers.

2014’s top 20: The year’s most-read stories on USCHO.com

Union coach Rick Bennett holds the national championship trophy after the Dutchmen’s win over Minnesota on April 12 (photo: Jim Rosvold).

As we prepare to welcome 2015, let’s take a look back at college hockey’s biggest stories of 2014.

You can debate whether Union’s win over Minnesota for the Division I men’s national championship was the top story, or whether Arizona State’s announcement that it’s elevating its program to varsity status had a bigger impact.

For our purposes here, we’re looking at the 20 most-read stories on USCHO.com during 2014. Here’s that list:

1. Bracketology: Here’s our final prediction for the NCAA tournament brackets (March 22)

2. Here’s the TV schedule for the NCAA Division I men’s tournament (March 23)

3. An early look at the 2014 Frozen Four after Boston College, Minnesota, North Dakota, Union claim spots (March 30)

4. ECAC Hockey studying video of brawl after Rensselaer-Union game (Jan. 26)

5. Ten to watch: Meet some of college hockey’s impact forwards for 2014-15 (Sept. 30)

6. Minnesota lands No. 1 seed in 2014 NCAA tournament (March 23)

7. Bracketology: One week out, and the No. 3 seeds pose some challenges (March 12)

8. Ten to watch: Meet some of college hockey’s impact defensemen for 2014-15 (Oct. 1)

9. Departures don’t equal weakness for ECAC Hockey in 2014-15 (Oct. 6)

10. Overtime, visors among topics for rules committee in Naples meetings (April 28)

11. Recruiting: Highly touted Matthews has five colleges and major juniors as options, but he’s in no hurry (Oct. 29)

12. Coaches see importance of early nonconference games as Big Ten enters year two (Oct. 8)

13. Another season, another change for talent-laden Hockey East (Oct. 9)

14. Balance could make NCHC as unpredictable in 2014-15 as in its opening act (Oct. 7)

15. NCAA Division III men’s tournament field of 11 announced (March 9)

16. The sound of victory: The tunes that get cranked up in winning locker rooms (March 4)

17. Bracketology: Just days out, and moving around the third band could solve some attendance issues (March 19)

18. Bracketology: Three weeks out, and we can build a better West Regional (Feb. 26)

19. Ten to watch: Meet some of college hockey’s impact goaltenders for 2014-15 (Oct. 2)

20. Bracketology: Two weeks out, and one swap creates a regional of familiar foes (March 5)

Here’s picking Harvard to win some hardware, and other ECAC Hockey second-half thoughts

Harvard’s Seb Lloyd (far left) scores his first collegiate goal in Tuesday’s win over Rensselaer (photo: Melissa Wade).

For those of you who peruse the other conference columns, you may notice a trend this week. Like a living, working, many-headed and sarcastic Ouija board, the USCHO correspondents are making second-half insider predictions, guesses, and random shots-in-the-dark regarding how each of their respective leagues are going to shake out.

Here are mine; where they fall on the spectrum between “insider predictions” and “random shots in the dark” is debatable.

Mark your calendars

The standings are pretty tight right now from first place all the way down to 10th, but here are a couple upcoming games and three weekends that loom large for the teams involved.

Jan. 9-10: Colgate at Clarkson and St. Lawrence

The Raiders aren’t having the blow-’em-away kind of year that many foresaw in September, but Colgate’s 3-2-1 league record through six games places it alone in fourth in terms of win percentage, and that’s not a bad place to be through the first quarter of the conference schedule. The North Country teams are a combined 8-4-2, each hovering around the top four spots, but sum a sub-.500 4-7-2 home record overall. These will be tough points to drop for all involved.

Jan. 23-24: Yale at St. Lawrence and Clarkson

Much like Colgate, Yale is definitely in the mix for a top-four finish and its accompanying first-round bye. The Bulldogs are fourth in the standings by points (4-3-1 through eight games), but they are only mediocre in terms of team scoring and defense thus far. SLU likely will challenge Yale’s defense and goaltending with a dynamic up-tempo offense, while Clarkson has been a tough nut to crack all season long. These are likely to be two very entertaining yet very different contests.

Saturday, Jan. 31: St. Lawrence at Clarkson

Offense versus defense? Battle for a bye berth? Forget all of that, it’s the rubber match of these neighbors’ four-game season series. Each squad has one win and a tie against the other, and the fact that this decisive tilt goes down with just a month to play in the regular season only raises the stakes higher still.

Friday, Feb. 27: Quinnipiac at Harvard

ECAC Hockey’s top two teams at the break don’t meet again until the penultimate day of the regular season. The Crimson took Game 1 in Hamden by a 5-2 score in early December, and the Bobcats will have to mount a substantially better effort if Harvard keeps playing the way it did in late 2014.

Feb. 27-28: Yale vs. Colgate and Cornell

The final weekend should bear all sorts of juicy and dramatic fruit, but one site that stands out is Ingalls Rink, where Yale will host the Raiders and Big Red. All three teams have demonstrated (at one time or another) the type of elite, cohesive play necessary to make postseason waves, and while it’s tough to sit here on New Year’s Eve and say that New Haven will be The Place to Be in two months’ time, it is as safe a bet as any. The wild card, really, may be Cornell’s ability to dig a few more goals out of its back pockets than it did between October and December.

Riding a Crimson tide

I’m not going to beat around the bush here: Harvard is my team to beat in the consecutive races for the Cleary and Whitelaw Cups.

I’ve been burned by the Crimson before — Lord, how they have practically pilloried this poor prognosticating putz — but in my 15 years as a Boston college hockey fan and nine years as USCHO’s ECAC Hockey columnist, I have never seen Harvard start so genuinely well.

This is not smoke-and-mirrors success: The top line of Jimmy Vesey, Alexander Kerfoot and Kyle Criscuolo has given everyone fits, and together they are only accounting for 42 percent of Harvard’s goals so far. Senior goaltender and Minnesota Wild pick Steve Michalek is playing like a man possessed, stopping 19 of every 20 shots on goal faced this season. The power play is scorching at 30 percent efficiency. The penalty kill is doing its job nine times out of 10. This is a legitimately scary team, and no one else in the league has looked remotely as dangerous.

Dark-horse candidates for the title: Quinnipiac — The Bobcats have played terrific defense and put themselves in excellent position with an 8-2 league record at the break. On the other hand, they have played only four league games against better-than-.500 opponents (2-2 against Colgate, Clarkson, St. Lawrence and Harvard).

Clarkson — The Golden Knights have the best defensive numbers in the league, and no matter how you feel about the “defense wins championships” chestnut, there is no denying that it is much easier to build from the back than the other way around. The Golden Knights are an impressive 2-0-2 against top ECAC competition this year (Yale, Colgate, Quinnipiac and St. Lawrence), but there is no way Clarkson will climb to the top of the pile without substantially improving its offensive production as well.

Harvard’s Jimmy Vesey has 10 goals and 10 assists through 13 games (photo: Melissa Wade).

And the awards will go to …

Player of the year: Jimmy Vesey — Harvard

Vesey is by no means running away with the goal-scoring or point lead, but his competitors — Sam Anas (Quinnipiac) and Daniel Ciampini (Union) — may have more marks against them than Vesey.

The Crimson junior has been a dynamic player since arriving on campus, and has been named to Ivy and/or ECAC Hockey all-league teams in each of his first two seasons. This year, Vesey is scoring three goals for every four games, best in the conference; his 1.42 points per game (overall) trail only linemate Kerfoot’s 1.50.

Admittedly, Vesey ranks fourth in league point production and second in ECAC goals per game, trailing Ciampini in each category. So why do I think Vesey will end up with the hardware? Simply put, I think Harvard will have a significantly better season, and for better or worse, that matters in most of these kinds of votes. Is it right? Not across the board.

But would I vote for Ciampini over Vesey? Not at the moment.

Harvard will win the Beanpot

Do I have your attention yet?

While Boston University has been the highest-ranked team in town this year, Harvard is the top dog in terms of head-to-head competition. The Crimson already knocked off BU and Boston College — both on the road — in the fall portion of the docket, and Northeastern (5-10-1) is not evolving as much of a threat this season.

Granted, the Beanpot is a different animal from any other regular-season game, but the pressure is not distributed unevenly. If anything, BU is in line to carry the heaviest burden of expectations, given its lofty rank and record and — what’s his name? — oh right, that Eichel character.

Harvard takes on BU on the first Monday evening of February. A little early momentum could be practically all it takes to boost Harvard right on through a ‘Pot presentation at the TD Garden the following week.

The super-early, wildly premature NCAA picture

As of this moment, Harvard is the second-ranked team in the nation in the PairWise Rankings. Also as of this moment, the PairWise Rankings are variable to the extent of near-meaninglessness. But hey, it’s a starting point.

Backed up around the critical 15th spot on this ever-changing list are the next four ECAC teams: Yale, Quinnipiac, Colgate and Dartmouth.

ECAC Hockey has never put more than three teams in the 16-team NCAA field, though it has often been left with just two representatives, and once — in 2004 — the conference only had one member (Harvard) in the mix. So let’s hope for three. Who will make it?

Harvard has obviously put itself in a great position with a wicked strong first half, though it can’t just call it a day and wait for the NCAA to call with a bid. A better-than-.500 winter ought to keep the Crimson in the hunt, though.

Yale appears to be playing the most complete, cohesive hockey in the league behind Harvard. The Bulldogs have reinvented themselves of late, playing excellent defense in front of reliable goaltending and seeking offensive opportunities when they present themselves, rather than recent teams’ habits of just trying to out-score opponents and nothing more.

Vermont and Harvard are shaping up as Yale’s last remaining nonconference challenges (the Bulldogs play the Crimson in a nonleague game at Madison Square Garden on Jan. 10), meaning the Bulldogs will have to win PWR points by and large through league play.

I have to admit, I like Dartmouth’s chances down the stretch. The Big Green are the most experienced team in the conference, they have two more ECAC home games remaining than road games, and they have a stacked stretch of nonconference heavyweights to play before mid-January (Denver, BC, at New Hampshire and Vermont). We will have a much better picture of Dartmouth’s odds come Jan. 12, but for the sake of predictions, I’ll take a flyer on the Green. That bet comes at the expense of …

… Quinnipiac. The Bobcats are a pleasant surprise for sure, but they are young and inconsistent. True, QU does have a number of moderately impressive victories (Colgate, Cornell, Union, St. Lawrence and Dartmouth), but the Cats have also dropped decisions to the likes of Massachusetts and Connecticut and are piling on wins against Princeton (twice) and Northeastern (twice). I’m not writing Quinnipiac off, but I am definitely skeptical.

For former Massachusetts player Raiola, giving back is second nature

Anthony Raiola played in 34 games for Massachusetts from 2010 to 2014 (photo: Melissa Wade).

Massachusetts hockey alum Anthony Raiola grew up in a Minnesota family that has always been active with charitable works, so it’s no surprise that sense of giving has rubbed off.

“Just being able to give back and help others is something that has always been a big part of me,” Raiola said. “I really like making other people happy — that’s what it’s really about for me. It’s just the experiences that come along with it and being able to feel good about yourself and doing good for others.”

Fresh out of college last spring, Raiola was hired as an intern and now works full-time with BOKS, Build Our Kids’ Success, an initiative of the Reebok Foundation. BOKS is a free, before-school program that is designed to encourage physical activity for children. The program is used in 1,240 schools in six countries.

“Our main goal is to get kids active and moving throughout the day, and ready for a day of learning in school,” Raiola said.

Recent studies report staggering rates for children’s obesity: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention report the percentage of obese children aged 6-11 years increased from 7 percent in 1980 to nearly 18 percent in 2012. For adolescents aged 12-19 years, the numbers rose from 5 percent to 21 percent.

“Kids in this generation are supposed to be dying five years earlier than our generation due to health problems,” said Raiola, who will be 24 in January. “So it’s really about getting the kids moving.”

BOKS has a pair of 12-week programs that are used in the schools. There is an emphasis on skills of the week, such as sit-ups, push-ups and lunges. BOKS is working with the Aspen Institute to create another 12-week program that will be skill-based, such as kicking, throwing, bouncing and jumping.

“It’s physical literacy at the basics,” said Kathleen Tullie, the founder of BOKS and Raiola’s boss. “Every kid needs to be physically literate, and this country is failing with that, ever since taking physical education out of schools. Unfortunately, we’ve gotten away from how important physical literacy and sports is. We need to bring that back as a priority. It should be part of the Common Core curriculum.”

Aside from the physical benefits, exercising in the morning has direct benefits for children’s learning, Tullie said.

“All the evidence shows that if kids are physically active they will do better in school,” she said.

Tullie was influenced by Harvard psychiatry professor Dr. John Ratey’s book, “Spark,” which addressed the relationship of exercise and brain function. Ratey wrote that 15-20 minutes of exercise at 60-80 percent of maximum heart rate has the same effect as taking Prozac or Ritalin.

“We have seen the kids participate in physical activities before school,” Tullie said, “and they are more confident, they are more alert, their executive functions increase, their working memory is significantly increased, they do better on standardized testing and they have better classroom behavior. Exercise is medicine.”

Anthony Raiola (yellow shirt at left) poses with students from Boston’s Oliver Hazard Perry School.

Raiola, who played four seasons of defense for UMass, works on developing the social media content for BOKS. Since he has a hockey background, Raiola thought it would be a good idea to tie BOKS with Reebok’s hockey division, and then he took it one step further by developing a tie-in with the 2015 NHL Winter Classic in Washington.

BOKS partnered with fundraising organization Omaze and the NHL to create a Winter Classic Experience. Donors will receive gifts ranging from digital video thanks to apparel to skating opportunities for the Classic, which this year features the Chicago Blackhawks and Washington Capitals.

“We are hoping to raise exposure for BOKS and hopefully raise funds so we can grow the program and get more kids in the inner city active,” Tullie said.

“I’m very excited,” Raiola said. “Just being a hockey player and being new to this position and being able to bring the two things together is very cool and a heartwarming experience for me.”

Gallery: Harvard’s defeat of RPI puts winning streak at seven, longest in Division I

Images from Harvard’s 6-2 win over Rensselaer on Tuesday:

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Jutzi back with Minnesota State after undisclosed personal leave

Minnesota State defenseman Jon Jutzi takes a shot against Bowling Green in the WCHA Final Five on March 21, 2014 at Van Andel Arena in Grand Rapids, Mich. (photo: Adele Whitefoot).

The Mankato Free Press has reported that Minnesota State junior defenseman Jon Jutzi has returned to the team after leaving the team and school for a semester due to undisclosed personal reasons.

“He’s registered for school, he’s back in town and he’s skating with us,” Minnesota State coach Mike Hastings told the paper. “I think he’s in pretty good shape. I think he’s taken care of his body, which I thought might be a major issue.”

“I tried to stay in shape and skate as often as I could so if and when I came back I wouldn’t be too far behind,” added Jutzi in the same article.

Jutzi played in all 82 Mavericks’ games in his first two seasons, compiling one goal and 14 assists.

Hastings noted Jutzi returning may be a boost, but time will tell.

“From a depth standpoint, [Jutzi] can potentially help us,” Hastings said. “But the guys we have, up to this point, have done a pretty good job. … We’ll wait and see how he practices.”

“I just want to help the team any way I can,” Jutzi said.

Demko, Larkin send Americans past Slovakia at World Juniors

MONTREAL — Boston College’s Thatcher Demko made 17 saves for the United States’ second straight shutout, a 3-0 victory over Slovakia on Monday.

[scg_html_wjc2015]Michigan’s Dylan Larkin scored his third goal in the last two games and added an assist as the Americans got their second regulation win of Group A play to go along with a shootout win.

Yale’s John Hayden and Sonny Milano also scored for the U.S., which followed up a 6-0 victory over Germany a day earlier.

The Americans outshot Slovakia 45-17.

Milano ended a scoreless draw with 2:18 left in the second period, scoring from a sharp angle on a drive up the left wing.

Larkin made it 2-0 in the third period, also from just above the goal line. Hayden scored in the final minute.

The U.S. closes Group A play against Canada on Wednesday before entering the quarterfinal round on Friday.

Sophomore Kinne not returning to Bemidji State

According to an email from a Bemidji State spokesman, sophomore forward Bob Kinne will not be returning to the Beavers for the upcoming semester. Kinne had not played this season and tallied a goal and two assists in 26 games during the 2013-14 season.

NCHC picks: Dec. 29

Monday, Dec. 29

No. 6 Miami vs Cornell
Candace: Yes, both Matthew and I were surprised by the Notre Dame result, and Cornell beat Denver a few weeks ago, but I favor the RedHawks. Miami 2-1
Matthew:
Miami didn’t pick up the result it wanted against Notre Dame – and which we both expected – but I like the RedHawks to get past the Big Red and lock up third place in this tournament. Miami 3-1

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